***GWarner27's 11/30 NCAAB Picks (22-14 61.1% YTD)***

+6.73

Dogs 7-4 +2.73
Faves 15-8 +6.20
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 0-0 +0.00
1st Half 0-1 -1.10
Halftimes 0-1 -1.10
Buybacks: 0-0 +0.00

Posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085

November 22-14 +6.73
December 0-0 +0.00
January 0-0 +0.00
February 0-0 +0.00
March 0-0 +0.00
April 0-0 +0.00

Notes:
-Michigan did a lot of what I expected, even had three separate 5-point leads, but couldn't defend Mike Scott when Smotrych picked up his 4th foul. A 15-0 run ensued and that was all she wrote
-Tried to get frisky with Duke 2H and lost. Coach K sent a message by playing the end of his bench for the majority of his minutes, wonder how long Rivers will stay out of the doghouse because he flat out sucks

Dog wins SU: 1
Losses by <1: 3

from yesterday's thread...

locked in at the open:
Indiana +1 (-110) @ NC State
-Indiana was on my sleeper list and I'm starting to think their value is almost gone so we might as well buy them before it is. Even with Mo Creek out for the season, they have legitimate scoring threats in their backcourt and on the wing while the newest Zeller brother is wreakin' havoc on the interior. NCSU has a decent post in C.J. Leslie and a great 3pt shooter in Scott Wood, but both have missed time and I'm unsure about their supporting cast as well as their coach's abilities. IU is a far better team and I think they will prevail in Raleigh.

Wednesday guesses:
Marshall 7-8
DAY 8-9
Pitt 11-12
St. Joe 4-5
BC 0-1
IND 5-6
TOL 4-5
LaS 4-5
Sparty 0-1
URI 5-6
KU 20-21
COL 1-2
Iowa St 4-5
Ok St 6-7
USU 12-13
Drake 2-3
NEB 11-13
MINN 2-3
UNC 9-10
USCw 5-6
SDSU 0-1
GONZ 8-9
Elon 4-5

leans (4-2 yesterday):
FSU +5.5
Drake +5.5
Riverside +4
UCSB +4
Creighton +2.5

Indiana is -1 not +1

It shouldn't make a difference, but I got it at the open. Posted it in yesterday's thread, too

really think fsu straight up beats msu tomorrow......i know fsu shot it pretty bad in the tourney they were in but msu isnt the same team they were and fsu defense has looked real strong they just have to make some shots

What do you think about VT?

Hard to know Minnesota's mental state right now after the loss of Trevor Mbakwe to the torn ACL. Mbakwe was a great player in a deep frontline, but now they won't be as big of an advantage and I think it exposes the backcourt weakness even more.

VT on the other hand is on the road in a tough place to play getting less than a possession. Not enough points to me because they have struggled to score this year (and they can't hit FT at the end of the game to cost me a bet by a 1/2 point). Their defense is good and I would imagine the loss of Mbakwe's athleticism would slow the pace so if anything I'd lean under

Bighurt-- Completely agree, see below

updated leans:
UNI +6
UCSB +3.5
UCR +4.5
Drake +5.5

add
Florida State +6 (-107) @ Michigan State
-Noles with the trees and they play great defense, while Sparty relies on rebounding and they are at a huge height disadvantage so I don't think that will come easy. FSU has plenty of problems scoring, but they have the length to bother the Spartan guards and try to keep Wood quiet from the perimeter while Appling will have trouble getting into the lane. Don't think MSU should be favored on a neutral here, nevermind by two or three points as demonstrated by this line, so I will trust Leonard Hamilton to take this to the wire on the road.

G

I am on Indiana myself, but unfortunately I got them at -1.  I say unfortunate, because I would have liked to have gotten the ML.  Which brings me to my question.  Why did you not take the ML here given that you think they are going to win?  I imagine it would have been somewhere around +100 to -103 so it seems like there would be a bit of value there.  Regardless, great start to the season.

Hoosier daddy!

The GG DO NOT have a "deep front line". Sampson is a box and way too soft, Wms is talented but has shown little or no desire to maximize those gifts.   there has been no indication that anyyone but Trevor could take over in the crunch.  I will give you that the "Barn" is tough.  BOL, I'm on VT +3. 

Gwarner, 

I just locked in 2 team 6 pt tease, UNC -1.5 and Pitt -1 pretty hard. 

Thoughts? 

Thanks for the work and help! 

add

bol today GW on the Loosiers tonight also. 

FSU up to +7.5 ?

GW - good job on the picks this season.  Was checking out FSU and its now +7.5.  Anything new that supports the big line move?  Mahalos.

HB

GW.. I was under the belief the game was at Breslin.  Am I wrong is it being played at the Palace?

BOL tonite GW