Posted:
#1601
@MITM
Train is a very well-known handicapper. That’s been on this site for many years.
1
Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge)
Posted:
#1606
Look forward to seeing basketball totals again.
I had to sit out the bowl games today after the Troy game. Too many variables at hand that skew any mathematical formula based off the numbers a team puts up with a full roster giving their all VS a depleted who gives a damn roster missing said players
0
Posted:
#1609
Quote Originally Posted by kammer55:
@TDHCentral a good guy but not as good as falcon-falcon is very consistent
@TDHCentral a good guy but not as good as falcon-falcon is very consistent
You mean Falcon's math has been consistent with the last 32 plays.... at 50%
I am trying to figure out why that has worked that way and believe I have and answer. I love that he has has potential power with this math, BUT THAT IS NOT ENOUGH.... always looking for a better result and get on an even better run, so do not get your head in a fluster here. In the end, the picks are free for everyone and its up to YOU to maximize how to use them.
Taking every play is not sensible. DOUBLING UP if you can afford it is the way to go here.
Lose $5 > bet $10 next > lose $10/bet $20 third time and so on......and not bet a high amount the first time or you will tap out when a streak goes way too high like the 5 - 6 in a row he lost
Just like sitting at a blackjack table and taking a hit on 16 EVERY TIME is not sensible (the dealer has to, but you do not every time!) Vegas puts up numbers to thwart all trends I am learning which is why analytics are so valuable if you put in the work.
Everything I post in here is NOT to make Falcon look bad, on the contrary.......but how to best use his system and plays
57% is not good enough in my view to just bet $100/$200/$1000 each time .....and with horses, I have figured out that actually betting PICK4's and PICK5's are the better way to go in the long run but just make sure you are a good capper too! Just like in sports betting, make sure you are also being intimate with numbers and trends and DO NOT hesitate occasionally to fade them because VEGAS will set lines to coax you into trusting them....so that is why, SELECTION of which one to play with your money down is vital....if I have 2-5 selections, now you look at the other factors like injuries, head to head tendencies, weather, coaching decisions and tendencies......etc
Believe in the FALCON SYSTEM but you can use it for an even better result and I hope to do so in 2024, if not, just continue to be selective in decision making. Every tout out there goes against the grain in moments and that is how you coax a trend and slay a trend-breaker, and no different to horse betting strategy or blackjack strategy too
Merry X-mas everyone and thank you Falcon for providing this very entertaining and valuable system to study and use.
Cheers
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
6
Posted:
#1611
Quote Originally Posted by kammer55:
@Last2thirst no he's 41-25 since i've been following-that is consistent-he wins at a nice rate
@Last2thirst no he's 41-25 since i've been following-that is consistent-he wins at a nice rate
Hey guy with an attitude (like me) and earmuffs/ blinders on saying "la la la la la...don't talk to me"..... he is 17 - 16 last 33 which is good and yes 41-25 since the beginning which is amazing
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Posted:
#1614
4th and goal from the 20 and u throw it, jax. Bucs throw it on 3rd down twice. To ice a 18 point game….
Instead of running and letting the kicker get a little practice which they may need in 2/3 weeks.
You have to be on the right side of the rig to win besides the math. A lot of this is about money and anyone that doesn’t know that shouldn’t play tbh.
I’ve got 100 flacon stories (for 8 years) and opinions on math, & like “last to thirst” hinted with some decent points on a few topics, it’s a great formula m.
I love following the falcon’s plays. Mand doing his and my own analytics. But who’s healthy, who’s not, I learned the over under mattered ms ALOT IF ITS A 4 point close game spread vs a 25 point beat down forecast. A beat of me means dribbling the shot clock out and 2nd stringers coming in for - both teams. So that influences the over under a lot and changes mathematics.
That said when I’ve won and he lost on the same day I felt lucky because he’s better then me. And I’ve lost and when he won I’ve learned to lean toward mostly his plays over mine. Which I’ll do again tomorrow on lost plays lol.
Thanks falcon for a lot of fun the last 2 months or so. Looking forward to tomorrow— and Merry Christmas to all, flagon and you guys on this thread!! Cheers ?? !
1
Posted:
#1616
good luck moving forward Falcon!!
I was along for a decent run but have come to realize I’ve got to cap and can’t blind trust the math on these football games especially bowls love the college and nbd basketball though!
appreciate your offering the plays to the forum and merry Christmas to you and yours
1
Posted:
#1618
Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge)
Starting Bankroll ($1000)
Current Bankroll ($2292.32)
Record (41-26)
(61.19%) Winners
Play #68
Lakers Over 234 (-110) NBA
$229.23 to win $208.50
Merry Christmas everyone
Tough loss yesterday and regression keeps grinding me lower. The sad part is, the win percentage is still too high. It will continue to grind lower, there is no stopping that.
We should however be due an uptick and the nba plays in The Grand Challenge are hitting (75%) Winners.
Check back when this one goes final.
Falcon Sports
4
Posted:
#1619
Here is the real reality of things.
We are still winning at too high of a rate, although things are becoming steady.
This is an automated Mathematical Formula. It doesn't recognize hot streaks or cold streaks, it doesn't need a day off. I might need one but the Formula doesn't.
The projected win rate for my Power Totals Formula is (57.14%) Winners against a (-110) line.
There are 67 plays in this thread. They can still be broken into 3 distinct groups.
1. A (25-8) start
2. A (1-7) regression
3. A (15-11) Current run
The reality is that group #3 is the correct group. That group is hitting (57.69%) Winners.
So over the last 26 plays, the Formula is running ahead of projections.
I'll focus on the board in my office (400-300) by Thanksgiving 2024.
The bad part is, many think they can do better than that. They have no idea how good that really is.
Have a Merry Christmas everyone
Falcon Sports
6
Posted:
#1625
Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge) Starting Bankroll ($1000) Current Bankroll ($2292.32) Record (41-26) (61.19%) Winners Play #68 Lakers Over 234 (-110) NBA $229.23 to win $208.50 Merry Christmas everyone Tough loss yesterday and regression keeps grinding me lower. The sad part is, the win percentage is still too high. It will continue to grind lower, there is no stopping that. We should however be due an uptick and the nba plays in The Grand Challenge are hitting (75%) Winners. Check back when this one goes final. Falcon Sports
Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge) Starting Bankroll ($1000) Current Bankroll ($2292.32) Record (41-26) (61.19%) Winners Play #68 Lakers Over 234 (-110) NBA $229.23 to win $208.50 Merry Christmas everyone Tough loss yesterday and regression keeps grinding me lower. The sad part is, the win percentage is still too high. It will continue to grind lower, there is no stopping that. We should however be due an uptick and the nba plays in The Grand Challenge are hitting (75%) Winners. Check back when this one goes final. Falcon Sports
0
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