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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Currently Back Testing A New System

    «First Previous 8910 ... 171819 Next Last»
    smacksmiter
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    redtagboys
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    Dogberto
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    «First Previous 8910 ... 171819 Next Last»
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 10:15 AM ET #176

    Wanted to get the SGS1 selections for today up as early as possible.
    Here is the list for Friday.

    Dayton +2.5
    Canisus +3.5
    Niagara +4.5
    High Point +3.5

    MS1 will be out later today.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Wanted to get the SGS1 selections for today up as early as possible.
    Here is the list for Friday.

    Dayton +2.5
    Canisus +3.5
    Niagara +4.5
    High Point +3.5

    MS1 will be out later today.

     
    Upside
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 10:20 AM ET #177

    Thx bro ... Will you have Saturday's SGS1 selections up tonight ? Appreciate the feedback ... 
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    Thx bro ... Will you have Saturday's SGS1 selections up tonight ? Appreciate the feedback ... 
     
    Upside
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 10:29 AM ET #178

    2 more games added for Friday .... 

    Campbell at Gardner-Webb
    Fri 2/6 853 Campbell +7½ -120 o139½ -120     
    7:00PM 854 Gardner-Webb -7½ -120  u139½ -120     
    Jacksonville at North Florida - ESPN3
    Fri 2/6 855 Jacksonville +17½ -120 o143½ -120     
    7:00PM 856 North Florida -17½ -120  u143½ -120     
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    2 more games added for Friday .... 

    Campbell at Gardner-Webb
    Fri 2/6 853 Campbell +7½ -120 o139½ -120     
    7:00PM 854 Gardner-Webb -7½ -120  u139½ -120     
    Jacksonville at North Florida - ESPN3
    Fri 2/6 855 Jacksonville +17½ -120 o143½ -120     
    7:00PM 856 North Florida -17½ -120  u143½ -120     
     
    redtagboys
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 10:39 AM ET #179

    I watched the Colgate game, what an embarrassing second half by them

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    I watched the Colgate game, what an embarrassing second half by them

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 12:50 PM ET #180

    Quote Originally Posted by Upside:

    Thx bro ... Will you have Saturday's SGS1 selections up tonight ? Appreciate the feedback ... 

    Yes, I will do my best to have them up in the evening after today's games are completed.

    Colgate was the most surprising game of all to me yesterday. The Citadel never got off the bus but Colgate was competing well in the first half, ahead 36-27,  and then the bottom dropped out of the barrel.  

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by Upside:

    Thx bro ... Will you have Saturday's SGS1 selections up tonight ? Appreciate the feedback ... 

    Yes, I will do my best to have them up in the evening after today's games are completed.

    Colgate was the most surprising game of all to me yesterday. The Citadel never got off the bus but Colgate was competing well in the first half, ahead 36-27,  and then the bottom dropped out of the barrel.  

     
    Rusty123
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 1:00 PM ET #181

    which teams were taken for the added 2 games, or am i missing something  thanks
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    which teams were taken for the added 2 games, or am i missing something  thanks
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 1:09 PM ET #182

    Those 2 games have not been added at my book as of right now.  If they do, I will check them vs the systems and see if we have any additions to make before game time tonight.

    There is only one MS1 selection so far for tonight.

    Brown +17

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Those 2 games have not been added at my book as of right now.  If they do, I will check them vs the systems and see if we have any additions to make before game time tonight.

    There is only one MS1 selection so far for tonight.

    Brown +17

     
    Dogberto
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 1:21 PM ET #183

    Great work. Parlayed the SGS1 games last night an won.  Good thing is my book didn't allow for the Colgate in parlay.  Thanks for the help.
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    Great work. Parlayed the SGS1 games last night an won.  Good thing is my book didn't allow for the Colgate in parlay.  Thanks for the help.
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 3:05 PM ET #184

    Guys, been watching these lines during the day and there have been some significant moves.  Just a quick update...

    Dayton moved from +2.5 to +3.
    Canisus moved from +3.5 to +4.
    Niagara moved from +4.5 to +6...........wow!
    High Point moved from +3.5 to +3.

    Only the last one moved against our play so you might just want to keep an eye on these as we get closer to game time.

    Regarding Niagara, I would lock that in right now if you can get it at +6 -110 or better.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Guys, been watching these lines during the day and there have been some significant moves.  Just a quick update...

    Dayton moved from +2.5 to +3.
    Canisus moved from +3.5 to +4.
    Niagara moved from +4.5 to +6...........wow!
    High Point moved from +3.5 to +3.

    Only the last one moved against our play so you might just want to keep an eye on these as we get closer to game time.

    Regarding Niagara, I would lock that in right now if you can get it at +6 -110 or better.

     
    Upside
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 3:16 PM ET #185

    Niagara ... + 6 done ... thx bro 
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    Niagara ... + 6 done ... thx bro 
     
    Upside
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 3:16 PM ET #186

    can u accept as friend ?
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    can u accept as friend ?
     
    Kiwigamble
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 4:52 PM ET #187

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    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 4:56 PM ET #188

    Upside...friend accepted 


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Upside...friend accepted 


     
    jpjohnson044
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 5:34 PM ET #189

    Good luck tonight sir. 
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    Good luck tonight sir. 
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 5:49 PM ET #190

    jpjohnson...good luck to you as well, Sir!  

    This afternoon I spent a few hours working on the system and noticed something that may be worth checking on.  I am going to list the play tonight as a stand alone,  my personal selection game for the evening.

    Iona -10

    This line has been moving down all day...started at around -12..and it appears that Siena has gathered quite a following.  All the stats I am looking at say that Iona should win this game by around 20 points.  Anytime I can get 10 points, I have to take it.  You may want to consider this as a teaser candidate as well.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    jpjohnson...good luck to you as well, Sir!  

    This afternoon I spent a few hours working on the system and noticed something that may be worth checking on.  I am going to list the play tonight as a stand alone,  my personal selection game for the evening.

    Iona -10

    This line has been moving down all day...started at around -12..and it appears that Siena has gathered quite a following.  All the stats I am looking at say that Iona should win this game by around 20 points.  Anytime I can get 10 points, I have to take it.  You may want to consider this as a teaser candidate as well.

     
    Upside
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 5:51 PM ET #191

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    jpjohnson...good luck to you as well, Sir!  

    This afternoon I spent a few hours working on the system and noticed something that may be worth checking on.  I am going to list the play tonight as a stand alone,  my personal selection game for the evening.

    Iona -10

    This line has been moving down all day...started at around -12..and it appears that Siena has gathered quite a following.  All the stats I am looking at say that Iona should win this game by around 20 points.  Anytime I can get 10 points, I have to take it.  You may want to consider this as a teaser candidate as well.

     HEADS UP !!!! REASON FOR DROP ...

    02/06/15GA.J. EnglishSuspensionis downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs. Siena
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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    jpjohnson...good luck to you as well, Sir!  

    This afternoon I spent a few hours working on the system and noticed something that may be worth checking on.  I am going to list the play tonight as a stand alone,  my personal selection game for the evening.

    Iona -10

    This line has been moving down all day...started at around -12..and it appears that Siena has gathered quite a following.  All the stats I am looking at say that Iona should win this game by around 20 points.  Anytime I can get 10 points, I have to take it.  You may want to consider this as a teaser candidate as well.

     HEADS UP !!!! REASON FOR DROP ...

    02/06/15GA.J. EnglishSuspensionis downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs. Siena
     
    LeatherLeagues
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 6:23 PM ET #192

    interesting
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    interesting
     
    Russ-SVTF150
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 6:32 PM ET #193

    Thanks Smack... BOL tonight....  Looking forward to Sat huge card! Will the plays be up tonight??
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    Thanks Smack... BOL tonight....  Looking forward to Sat huge card! Will the plays be up tonight??
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 7:24 PM ET #194

    Quote Originally Posted by Russ-SVTF150:

    Thanks Smack... BOL tonight....  Looking forward to Sat huge card! Will the plays be up tonight??

    SGS1 plays for Saturday will be up later tonight once all games are completed.

    MS1 plays will not be up until around 10 to 11am CST on Saturday.

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by Russ-SVTF150:

    Thanks Smack... BOL tonight....  Looking forward to Sat huge card! Will the plays be up tonight??

    SGS1 plays for Saturday will be up later tonight once all games are completed.

    MS1 plays will not be up until around 10 to 11am CST on Saturday.

     
    Upside
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 10:43 PM ET #195

    2-1 ...1 pending .. thx bro ... ready for a big Saturday ...
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    2-1 ...1 pending .. thx bro ... ready for a big Saturday ...
     
    redtagboys
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 10:48 PM ET #196

    i played Dayton and Niagara, thanks smack! much love
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    i played Dayton and Niagara, thanks smack! much love
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 11:28 PM ET #197

    Day 8 of the MS1 in the books and we went 1-0 with the selection.

    Brown +17.............cover by 15......... 

    The MS1 overall record stands at 25-6-3.

    Day 3 of the SGS1 with the selections going 2-2.

    Dayton +2.5..........cover by 1..............
    Canisus +3.5.........losing by 6..............
    Niagara +4.5..........cover by 2...............
    High Point +3.5.......losing by 3.............

    The SGS1 overall record now stands at 11-3.

    High Point wilted in the final minute to just hand that one over to Coastal Carolina...just painful to watch...ugh.  

    That Iona game...I appreciated the posting regarding the suspension but it was too late for me to buy out of the game.  Watching it all game it seemed like Iona would breakout as they had 10 and 11 point leads several times but they never could pull away.  

    Working on the SGS1 selections for tomorrow.  Going to be a huge slate of games.


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Day 8 of the MS1 in the books and we went 1-0 with the selection.

    Brown +17.............cover by 15......... 

    The MS1 overall record stands at 25-6-3.

    Day 3 of the SGS1 with the selections going 2-2.

    Dayton +2.5..........cover by 1..............
    Canisus +3.5.........losing by 6..............
    Niagara +4.5..........cover by 2...............
    High Point +3.5.......losing by 3.............

    The SGS1 overall record now stands at 11-3.

    High Point wilted in the final minute to just hand that one over to Coastal Carolina...just painful to watch...ugh.  

    That Iona game...I appreciated the posting regarding the suspension but it was too late for me to buy out of the game.  Watching it all game it seemed like Iona would breakout as they had 10 and 11 point leads several times but they never could pull away.  

    Working on the SGS1 selections for tomorrow.  Going to be a huge slate of games.


     
    mp5070
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2015 - 11:34 PM ET #198

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    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2015 - 1:30 AM ET #199

    Day 4 of the SGS1 and we have a whopping 10 selections...and its possible there may be one or two more when the late lines get put up on the 5 or 6 games that do not have lines yet at my book. The record stands at 11-3 when action starts Saturday.


    Baylor +3.5
    Buffalo +3
    Temple +1
    Florida St. +1
    South Carolina +3
    Syracuse +2.5
    Alabama +4
    Texas St. +1.5
    SMU +1
    UC Riverside +3.5

    An interesting side note about that Colgate game a couple of nights back.  I went back and looked at it again and found that it was a very close borderline selection of the system.  Basically, the line move from PK to +1 made it a late day selection but based on the early line it would not have been a selection.  

    We only have 2 other losses for the system other than the Colgate loss and both of those losses have been games lined at +3.5. The Saturday selection list has two games at +3.5.

    Baylor +3.5
    UC Riverside +3.5

    Hmm...May not mean anything at all...just something to keep an eye on.

    Again, I must give my standard disclaimer regarding the SGS1.  It has not been back tested and only has 14 total selections sampled to this point.  Play them at your own risk.  I will freely admit they are looking very good but its such a small sample it could be tricking us.  I would hate for anyone to get tagged hard when playing them...so just be smart.


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    Day 4 of the SGS1 and we have a whopping 10 selections...and its possible there may be one or two more when the late lines get put up on the 5 or 6 games that do not have lines yet at my book. The record stands at 11-3 when action starts Saturday.


    Baylor +3.5
    Buffalo +3
    Temple +1
    Florida St. +1
    South Carolina +3
    Syracuse +2.5
    Alabama +4
    Texas St. +1.5
    SMU +1
    UC Riverside +3.5

    An interesting side note about that Colgate game a couple of nights back.  I went back and looked at it again and found that it was a very close borderline selection of the system.  Basically, the line move from PK to +1 made it a late day selection but based on the early line it would not have been a selection.  

    We only have 2 other losses for the system other than the Colgate loss and both of those losses have been games lined at +3.5. The Saturday selection list has two games at +3.5.

    Baylor +3.5
    UC Riverside +3.5

    Hmm...May not mean anything at all...just something to keep an eye on.

    Again, I must give my standard disclaimer regarding the SGS1.  It has not been back tested and only has 14 total selections sampled to this point.  Play them at your own risk.  I will freely admit they are looking very good but its such a small sample it could be tricking us.  I would hate for anyone to get tagged hard when playing them...so just be smart.


     
     
    Brightsizelife
    Brightsizelife
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    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 946
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2015 - 1:40 AM ET #200

    Thanks for sharing the work
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    Thanks for sharing the work
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