Brian have you seen odds yet on the Missouri Valley? I gotta believe Wichita St is a heavy favorite but feel there could be some nice value with N Iowa depending on the odds.
Always a great tournament... but still havent seen lines out on it. I will be looking to take someone outside Creighton and Wichita State to win.... UNI is a real possibility, as is Evansville.
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Quote Originally Posted by billyweather:
Brian have you seen odds yet on the Missouri Valley? I gotta believe Wichita St is a heavy favorite but feel there could be some nice value with N Iowa depending on the odds.
Always a great tournament... but still havent seen lines out on it. I will be looking to take someone outside Creighton and Wichita State to win.... UNI is a real possibility, as is Evansville.
Love this value on LMU. They have been one of the most underrated teams in the country.... The biggest problem they have had this year is playing down to the opponents.. with losses to USD, Columbia and Morgan State. Besides that, I love the way they have played against the top teams in the WCC- In the 6 games against the 1-3 seeds, they are 2-4, with 3 of the 4 losses by 8 points or less. 25 to 1 to win? Crazy line by 5dimes. The big 3 teams have all been less then stellar away from home, whereas LMU has more road wins then any other team in the WCC (9). Tons of value and they are definitely capable of making a memorable run.
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Loyola Marymount to win WCC +2500 (0.5 Units)
Love this value on LMU. They have been one of the most underrated teams in the country.... The biggest problem they have had this year is playing down to the opponents.. with losses to USD, Columbia and Morgan State. Besides that, I love the way they have played against the top teams in the WCC- In the 6 games against the 1-3 seeds, they are 2-4, with 3 of the 4 losses by 8 points or less. 25 to 1 to win? Crazy line by 5dimes. The big 3 teams have all been less then stellar away from home, whereas LMU has more road wins then any other team in the WCC (9). Tons of value and they are definitely capable of making a memorable run.
Wow..... lost about 6k today..... frustrating day. Liberty and ccu both fall behind early,.cut let to 1 in 2nd half and then completely fall apart.... very frustrating.
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Wow..... lost about 6k today..... frustrating day. Liberty and ccu both fall behind early,.cut let to 1 in 2nd half and then completely fall apart.... very frustrating.
Great start to the first few days.... Liberty and CCU both had chances in the 2nd half, but just couldn't keep it together. Will have alot of plays, but not many writeups due to time constraints today.
- Evansville to win MVC +1500 (0.5 Units)
Really like how Evansville has fared against the top competition in the MVC. Split with Creighton (Losing the 1 game by 1 in OT) and lost both to Wichita, with one being in OT. Colt Ryan is capable of carrying this team and I think they have a fair chance to make the Finals, where anything can happen... especially in this tournament.
- North Florida +4.5 (4 Units)
- North Florida ML +175 (2 Units)
Both teams coming into this tourney playing well, but I don't feel ETSU is 5 points better on a neutral court. UNF lost both games, but Cooley, who is one of ETSU's best players, scored 11 each game and won't be playing today. UNF has a big psychological edge and have alot of momentum coming into this one after the best season in the history of the school. UNF wins going away today..... Really like it.
-More to come...
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Record: 1-7, -18.2 Units
Great start to the first few days.... Liberty and CCU both had chances in the 2nd half, but just couldn't keep it together. Will have alot of plays, but not many writeups due to time constraints today.
- Evansville to win MVC +1500 (0.5 Units)
Really like how Evansville has fared against the top competition in the MVC. Split with Creighton (Losing the 1 game by 1 in OT) and lost both to Wichita, with one being in OT. Colt Ryan is capable of carrying this team and I think they have a fair chance to make the Finals, where anything can happen... especially in this tournament.
- North Florida +4.5 (4 Units)
- North Florida ML +175 (2 Units)
Both teams coming into this tourney playing well, but I don't feel ETSU is 5 points better on a neutral court. UNF lost both games, but Cooley, who is one of ETSU's best players, scored 11 each game and won't be playing today. UNF has a big psychological edge and have alot of momentum coming into this one after the best season in the history of the school. UNF wins going away today..... Really like it.
Brian laverty, I don't think UNF wins going away from anyone, let alone a team that is going to crush them on the boards today.
Crush them on the boards?
It was 34-32 in the first game, and 30-23 2nd game.. not exactly "crushing".
ETSU is one of the worst in the country on defensive rebounding....And UNF is the best in the A-Sun this year at Defensive Rebounding %, which kind of cancels out ETSU's huge advantage.
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Quote Originally Posted by AirRainman:
Brian laverty, I don't think UNF wins going away from anyone, let alone a team that is going to crush them on the boards today.
Crush them on the boards?
It was 34-32 in the first game, and 30-23 2nd game.. not exactly "crushing".
ETSU is one of the worst in the country on defensive rebounding....And UNF is the best in the A-Sun this year at Defensive Rebounding %, which kind of cancels out ETSU's huge advantage.
Gonna ride a hot team...... I assume this line is this high because of Winthrop's past and the fact that VMI is playing 3rd game in 4 nights, but not only is VMI a better team- they are more then likely to be in much better shape then Winthrop. With the way VMI plays, typically the 3 games in 4 nights could break them down, but they have completely slowed the style of play down and therefore, I really don't think duration will be an issue at all. Winthrop has been horrible all yaer at defending the 3 (38%), so VMI should be able to shoot Winthrop out of the zone completely. Overall, VMI is probably the better team, and this gives them a golden oppurtunity to make something out of a lost year.
- Charleston Southern +8.5 (3 Units)
- Charleston Southern +335 (1 Unit)
Going against the home team is always tough in a conference tourney, but Charleston Southern is one of the only teams in the Big South who had the athleticism to actually matchup well with UNC-Asheville. Love the way the Buccaneers are playing right now.... They have now won 9 out of the last 13 and 5 out of 6. They will frustrate Asheville's defense because they don't turn the ball over at all (#1 in the Big South) and they can shoot the 3 ball well, which is UNC-Asheville's weakness. Charleston Southern has already beat Asheville once this year IN Asheville, and there's no reason why they can't do it again.... either way, it should be close enough to cover the spread. Should be a great game to watch.
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Adding:
- VMI +4 (5 Units)
- VMI ML +160 (2 Units)
Gonna ride a hot team...... I assume this line is this high because of Winthrop's past and the fact that VMI is playing 3rd game in 4 nights, but not only is VMI a better team- they are more then likely to be in much better shape then Winthrop. With the way VMI plays, typically the 3 games in 4 nights could break them down, but they have completely slowed the style of play down and therefore, I really don't think duration will be an issue at all. Winthrop has been horrible all yaer at defending the 3 (38%), so VMI should be able to shoot Winthrop out of the zone completely. Overall, VMI is probably the better team, and this gives them a golden oppurtunity to make something out of a lost year.
- Charleston Southern +8.5 (3 Units)
- Charleston Southern +335 (1 Unit)
Going against the home team is always tough in a conference tourney, but Charleston Southern is one of the only teams in the Big South who had the athleticism to actually matchup well with UNC-Asheville. Love the way the Buccaneers are playing right now.... They have now won 9 out of the last 13 and 5 out of 6. They will frustrate Asheville's defense because they don't turn the ball over at all (#1 in the Big South) and they can shoot the 3 ball well, which is UNC-Asheville's weakness. Charleston Southern has already beat Asheville once this year IN Asheville, and there's no reason why they can't do it again.... either way, it should be close enough to cover the spread. Should be a great game to watch.
Blindly betting unders has been great for me over the years in the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney. The #'s last year were just plain staggering.... The Under was: 9-0 in 2011, 5-4 in 2010, 6-3 in 2009, 5-4 in 2008, and 6-3 in 2007. So in the last 5 years, the under is 31-14
I'll continue to bet it until it loses.
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-Southern Illinois/Indiana Under 124 (3 Units)
- Bradley/Drake Under 126 (3 Units)
Blindly betting unders has been great for me over the years in the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney. The #'s last year were just plain staggering.... The Under was: 9-0 in 2011, 5-4 in 2010, 6-3 in 2009, 5-4 in 2008, and 6-3 in 2007. So in the last 5 years, the under is 31-14
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