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🏀😎🥳 NCAA hoops bets hitting over 63% each year for past few seasons!...BUT will this continue? 🤔 ...or regress?? 🤒🤕😧

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Posted: #476

Quote Originally Posted by Shortporch:

@fubah2  What did you decide on Wofford?

@Shortporch

 cool Hi....don't believe we've met peace_5

 

So the line appears to have settled at 2 pts, indicating the early moves were highly likely just money (not an injury)...I still like the homies as a dog in what appears to be an even matchup - with REVENGE being a possible extra motivator for Woffie...

MIND YOU, I am on regression alert due to an unexpected HOT STREAK......bubbles tend to burst..... so,  there's that .... an_nailbiter

BoL whatever you bet today! clover

 
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Posted: #477

DraftKings has North Fla at +3.5, did something change, yours was +7.5?

 
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Posted: #478

@NNYHILLBILLY

 He bought it up to -140 3 pts 

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Posted: #479

Quote Originally Posted by NNYHILLBILLY:

DraftKings has North Fla at +3.5, did something change, yours was +7.5?

 

Quote Originally Posted by accfan1:

@NNYHILLBILLY  He bought it up to -140 3 pts

 

Yes, correct. peace_5  Ospreys were holding at or around +6.5 overnight into the early hours today and I saw what I hope is good value on a home dog (no guarantees!) and bet into the alt-line@B365 to gain an extra point to +7.5 -- albeit for much higher juice! 

Now I see the line on them has dropped....Either others are seeing the same value and loading on the Ospreys causing the line to fall, OR there might be an as yet not widely known player issue, and it is for that last reason that perhaps the savvy bettor just gwaking up today might consider waiting to see those pre-game lineups to see if Bella might be down a player unexpectedly....

 

North Florida Ospreys currently showing +5.0 @Bet 365

 

Line history:

 https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/ncaab/linemovement/bell-at-unf/363679

 
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Posted: #480

@fubah2

 Follow you when I can, appreciate the replyan_cheers

 
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Posted: #481

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Shortporch: @fubah2  What did you decide on Wofford? @Shortporch   Hi....don't believe we've met    So the line appears to have settled at 2 pts, indicating the early moves were highly likely just money (not an injury)...I still like the homies as a dog in what appears to be an even matchup - with REVENGE being a possible extra motivator for Woffie... MIND YOU, I am on regression alert due to an unexpected HOT STREAK......bubbles tend to burst..... so,  there's that ....  BoL whatever you bet today!
TRIBE -2.5 -127  alt@pinn   12:00pm ET tip

 
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Posted: #482

Tribe. ???????

 
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Posted: #483

@jimmy4u

 William & Mary I believe

 
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Posted: #484

@ALLIN22

 Thanks

 
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Posted: #485

Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22:

@jimmy4u  William & Mary I believe

Correct-a-mundos

 
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Posted: #486

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22: @jimmy4u  William & Mary I believe Correct-a-mundos

Of course they are being shut out at home early....sigh....sad

 
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Posted: #487

GL clover on your plays @fubah2peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #488

@fubah2

 an_cheers

 
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Posted: #489

I'll be monitoring the CHANTICLEERS  (1:00 ET tip) for game metrics and a better line

 
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Posted: #490

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by NNYHILLBILLY: DraftKings has North Fla at +3.5, did something change, yours was +7.5?   Quote Originally Posted by accfan1: @NNYHILLBILLY  He bought it up to -140 3 pts   Yes, correct.   Ospreys were holding at or around +6.5 overnight into the early hours today and I saw what I hope is good value on a home dog (no guarantees!) and bet into the alt-line@B365 to gain an extra point to +7.5 -- albeit for much higher juice!  Now I see the line on them has dropped....Either others are seeing the same value and loading on the Ospreys causing the line to fall, OR there might be an as yet not widely known player issue, and it is for that last reason that perhaps the savvy bettor just gwaking up today might consider waiting to see those pre-game lineups to see if Bella might be down a player unexpectedly....   North Florida Ospreys currently showing +5.0 @Bet 365   Line history:  https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/ncaab/linemovement/bell-at-unf/363679

Ospreys blow a sizable lead at home and it goes to OT.....but Ospreys TOP REBOUNDER is fouled out sad

 
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Posted: #491

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by NNYHILLBILLY: DraftKings has North Fla at +3.5, did something change, yours was +7.5?   Quote Originally Posted by accfan1: @NNYHILLBILLY  He bought it up to -140 3 pts   Yes, correct.   Ospreys were holding at or around +6.5 overnight into the early hours today and I saw what I hope is good value on a home dog (no guarantees!) and bet into the alt-line@B365 to gain an extra point to +7.5 -- albeit for much higher juice!  Now I see the line on them has dropped....Either others are seeing the same value and loading on the Ospreys causing the line to fall, OR there might be an as yet not widely known player issue, and it is for that last reason that perhaps the savvy bettor just gwaking up today might consider waiting to see those pre-game lineups to see if Bella might be down a player unexpectedly....   North Florida Ospreys currently showing +5.0 @Bet 365   Line history:  https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/ncaab/linemovement/bell-at-unf/363679 Ospreys blow a sizable lead at home and it goes to OT.....but Ospreys TOP REBOUNDER is fouled out

But N.Fla Ospreys WIN  in OT anyway!   moneybag 

 

 
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Posted: #492

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

I'll be monitoring the CHANTICLEERS  (1:00 ET tip) for game metrics and a better line

Seem to be playing well up 12 pts.... 

 
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Posted: #493

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Jan 24:        Regression Day????     Due to rising threat of regression, I have slightly reduced my actual bet sizes... Much of what follows are still overnight lines....After 10 am ET every day lines often vary!  

 

Woffie Bulldogs +1.5 -105 @B365    ...11am tip

 

80 - 77  WOFFIE!!!   an_2drinks

Leaning to PATRIOTS (1:00pm tip)  but LIVE play only pending good metrics....

 
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Posted: #494

LEAN  to Missouri in LIVE play for su win...maybe!

 
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Posted: #495

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Jan 24:        Regression Day????     Due to rising threat of regression, I have slightly reduced my actual bet sizes... Much of what follows are still overnight lines....After 10 am ET every day lines often vary!   Woffie Bulldogs +1.5 -105 @B365    ...11am tip  This line has JUMPED up to Mercer -2.5 or -3.0    It could just be money movements at a LOT of books.....OR.....it may be due to an as yet not publicly known report of player issue!! I could cash out and take a small vig hit.....but in this case I will wait to learn *WHY* the line moved before making any decision...and should it seem prudent I won't hesitate to hedge my bet later.... CAUTION if anyone might be following! Recommend waiting to see pre-game lineups just before or after tip... Adding:  Ospreys +7.5 -140    alt@B365      Still capping the early games....more to come...

AMERICAN -155  ml

               76 - 67  WINNER!!   an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #496

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Shortporch: @fubah2  What did you decide on Wofford? @Shortporch   Hi....don't believe we've met    So the line appears to have settled at 2 pts, indicating the early moves were highly likely just money (not an injury)...I still like the homies as a dog in what appears to be an even matchup - with REVENGE being a possible extra motivator for Woffie... MIND YOU, I am on regression alert due to an unexpected HOT STREAK......bubbles tend to burst..... so,  there's that ....  BoL whatever you bet today!

 

W&M TRIBE -2.5 -127  alt@pinn   12:00pm ET tip

     

  89 - 82  WINNER!  win

 
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Posted: #497

 

4 - 0   so far Saturday  with Morehead and UMBC pending...

 
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Posted: #498

@fubah2

 Well done sir 

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Posted: #499

@fubah2

 an_praise

 
 
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Posted: #500

Quote Originally Posted by accfan1:

@fubah2  Well done sir

@accfan1

TY sir....and BoL with your bets today! clover an_2drinks

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