week 12 CFL

Question

19-14 ATS season to date.Betting is hard.  This season has been a downer for me.   Overs and the better teams have dominated the league in 2017. I may take the week off or maybe even the rest of the season.My lines in brackets....Lions          -8      (-9)        Als              49.5  (54)  Ottawa      -12    (-10)      Tiger Cats    54    (56)Bombers  -1.5    (pik)       Riders         60     (56)  Eskimos     &#x2B;6     (&#x2B;6)       Stamps       56    (54)Going with the covers consensus plays would have gotten you a 1-3 weekend.  If I&#x27;m playing the CFL again this year, I am not going to play a consensus pick, that is it.Normally I&#x27;d consider the Alouettes off of two straight poor performances, but the Lions are also off of the same, and Travis Lulay is now the starting qb, so BC will not be matching interceptions thrown by Darren Durrant.  Teams that win the turnover battle win about 80% of the time and cover close to that....one guy is a turnover machine and the other isn&#x27;t......so the only play is the BC Lulays or nothing.  Note to the GM of the Als, what were you thinking when you put your roster together?....you know you need a quarterback to win in this league, right?Eskimos are in free fall and Calgary is the class of the league....I found a query that was 5-0 ATS favoring the Stamps that I&#x27;ve lost.  One has to take the Stamps or nothing, even with the books begging for Eskimo money.  Divisional away favorites on at least a three game winning streak, playing a team &gt;500 have been 3-7-1 ATS, 4-7 straight up.Teams that are dogs in the above situation have been 10-12 ATS........Saskatchewan looks like the second best team in the league...their defense is close to the Stamps now and their running game is good....that translates to very good performances at home where it&#x27;s most important, but not necessarily on the road where quarterbacking is more important.    Kevin Glenn on the road?...not so sure about that.Hamilton?  They won&#x27;t go winless this year.  Teams that won at home breaking at least a three game losing streak have been 6-7 ATS, but 4-1 ATS if the line is &gt;=7.  Maybe June Jones will weave some magic the rest of the year, at least in the East that looks possible.....they might even end up in first place by the end of the year with a 6-12 record.

Indigo999 · Answer

19-14 ATS season to date.Betting is hard.  This season has been a downer for me.   Overs and the better teams have dominated the league in 2017. I may take the week off or maybe even the rest of the season.My lines in brackets....Lions          -8      (-9)        Als              49.5  (54)  Ottawa      -12    (-10)      Tiger Cats    54    (56)Bombers  -1.5    (pik)       Riders         60     (56)  Eskimos     &#x2B;6     (&#x2B;6)       Stamps       56    (54)Going with the covers consensus plays would have gotten you a 1-3 weekend.  If I&#x27;m playing the CFL again this year, I am not going to play a consensus pick, that is it.Normally I&#x27;d consider the Alouettes off of two straight poor performances, but the Lions are also off of the same, and Travis Lulay is now the starting qb, so BC will not be matching interceptions thrown by Darren Durrant.  Teams that win the turnover battle win about 80% of the time and cover close to that....one guy is a turnover machine and the other isn&#x27;t......so the only play is the BC Lulays or nothing.  Note to the GM of the Als, what were you thinking when you put your roster together?....you know you need a quarterback to win in this league, right?Eskimos are in free fall and Calgary is the class of the league....I found a query that was 5-0 ATS favoring the Stamps that I&#x27;ve lost.  One has to take the Stamps or nothing, even with the books begging for Eskimo money.  Divisional away favorites on at least a three game winning streak, playing a team &gt;500 have been 3-7-1 ATS, 4-7 straight up.Teams that are dogs in the above situation have been 10-12 ATS........Saskatchewan looks like the second best team in the league...their defense is close to the Stamps now and their running game is good....that translates to very good performances at home where it&#x27;s most important, but not necessarily on the road where quarterbacking is more important.    Kevin Glenn on the road?...not so sure about that.Hamilton?  They won&#x27;t go winless this year.  Teams that won at home breaking at least a three game losing streak have been 6-7 ATS, but 4-1 ATS if the line is &gt;=7.  Maybe June Jones will weave some magic the rest of the year, at least in the East that looks possible.....they might even end up in first place by the end of the year with a 6-12 record.

Suicane · Answer

That seems like the most CFLish of CFLish outcomes.

Indigo999 · Answer

streak&gt;2 and AF and DIV and po:team=o:teamA team on at least a 3 game winning streak that is an away favorite and played the same divisional team last week.5-0 ATS (&#x2B;4.40) and 5-0 straight up (&#x2B;8.80)StampsAn away dog that has a worse W/L record and also a worse average ats margin for the season...AD and tA(ats margin)&lt;oA(ats margin) and tA(W)&lt;oA(W)122-92-5 (57%)Tiger Cats and AlouettesDivision games 66-42 (61.1%) if line&gt;7  66-42 ATS (58.5%)Tiger CatsNon-div   56-50 (52.8%) and line&gt;7    25-29 ATS (46.3%) Alouettesplayoffs=0 and AD and streak&lt;-2 and week&gt;6 and not DIV and tA(W)&lt;oA(W)Team with a losing streak of at least 3 games, now a non-divisional away dog with a worse record than their opponent.16-11 ATS   Alouettes, however this moves to 1-3 ATS if their opponent has also lost its last two games.A team with a better record than their opponent having lost their last two games, now a home non-divisional favorite......12-5 ATS   (&#x2B;9.57) 14-3 straight up (&#x2B;15.71)playoffs=0 and HF and week&gt;6 and not DIV and tA(W)&gt;oA(W) and p:L and pp:LPlays:1)  Lions -7.52)  Stamps -63)  Tiger Cats &#x2B;124)  UNDER Bombers/Sasquatches 60

Indigo999 · Answer

playoffs=0 and tA(W)&lt;oA(W) and tA(ats margin)&lt;oA(ats margin) and DIV and AD and p:HWDivisional away dog with a worse record and a worse average covering margin off a home win has been 14-9-1  .......Tiger CatsWould have covered the 12 point line 16 out of 24 times.  If they were on at least a 3 game losing streak prior to their home win they covered 4 out of 5 times.

Indigo999 · Answer

Divisional home favorites of greater than 7, with a less than 500 record but better record than their opponent have been 1-6-1 ATS. 2-6 ATS versus the number of 12.AGAINST Redblacks

Indigo999 · Answer

Lions -7.5   winThe travesty that is the Alouettes continues on.  They might have to blow up the team...........the coach, the offensive coordinator and the quarterback.

week 12 CFL

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