F1 Belgian Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Spa-Francorchamps 2025

Lewis Hamilton has won the Belgian GP five times, and another victory would tie him with Michael Schumacher for most all-time at the event. At +1400, books don't expect him to make a run at favorites Oscar Piastri or Lando Norris.

Jason Wilson - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Betting Analyst
Jul 23, 2025 • 12:52 ET • 4 min read
Lewis Hamilton Ferrari F1
Photo By - Imagn Images. Lewis Hamilton has historically fared very well at Spa-Francorchamps.

After three weeks off, F1 returns with the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps on Sunday, July 27.

No active driver has won the event more often than Lewis Hamilton, who took his fifth checkered flag here just last year. Still, McLaren's dynamic duo is co-favored by a significant margin over the field.

Here are the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix odds.

2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
McLaren Oscar Piastri +162
McLaren Lando Norris +162
Red Bull Max Verstappen +400
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +1400
Mercedes George Russell +1400
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +1400
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +6600
Aston Martin Fernando Alonso  +15000
Williams Alex Albon +30000
Williams Carlos Sainz +40000
Kick Sauber Nico Hulkenberg  +40000
VCARB Liam Lawson +50000
VCARB Isack Hadjar +50000
Alpine Pierre Gasly +50000
Alpine Franco Colapinto +50000
Haas Esteban Ocon +50000
Haas Oliver Bearman +50000
Red Bull Yuki Tsunoda +50000
Kick Sauber Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
Aston Martin Lance Stroll +50000

Odds as of 7-23.

F1 Belgian Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites

Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris are drawing the shortest odds to win the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix in the lead-up to weekend qualifying. 

Norris has won four races this year, including two straight, while Piastri has five victories under his belt. Both drivers have finished on the podium in 10 of 12 events, helping lead McLaren to the top spot in the Constructors' Standings by a healthy margin.

And Belgium could represent a first for one of them as neither has won the Belgian Grand Prix. Norris has particularly struggled, never finishing better than fifth in six attempts. Piastri came close in 2024, though, finishing as the runner-up to Lewis Hamilton.

With a win this weekend, Hamilton would match Michael Schumacher for most Belgian GP checkered flags in F1 history. The odds appear stacked against him at +1400, and he's yet to record a podium finish in 2025, his first season with Ferrari. 

However, his win at Spa-Francorchamps in 2024 was his last victory and only second since 2021. Can he - or Max Verstappen, the guy who won here three straight years from 2021-23 - turn back the clock, or will McLaren continue its torrid pace?

Previous F1 Belgian Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2024 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2020 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2019 Charles Leclerc Ferrari

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Charles Leclerc +400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Wilson Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Jason Wilson is an experienced journalist who has worked in a variety of roles within the industry for the past 18 years. Working at community newspapers in New Brunswick, Jason wore many hats as a reporter, editor, and photographer, covering everything from sports to courts to municipal politics. After shifting gears and working as an educator for a few years in the 2010s, Jason returned to full-time work in media as an MLB news editor for six years at theScore in Toronto before joining Covers in late 2021.

He has honed his editorial acumen over his years in the industry, showcasing flexibility, patience, and a strong work ethic. While he was relatively new to sports betting upon joining Covers, Jason has taken the plunge with gusto to learn the ins and outs of the industry, both as a method to improve professionally and to add an extra angle to his sports fandom.

In addition to sports, Jason is an avid film nut and former movie critic who monitors the Academy Awards betting odds for Covers. Jason holds a Bachelor of Arts in journalism degree and a Bachelor of Education degree from St. Thomas University.

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