We don’t have long to wait until we find out who will be next to leave Dancing with the Stars, and prediction market traders are making their selections.
There’s now nearly $5 million on the episode six DWTS elimination market on Kalshi. Traders are piling money on Tyler Cameron as next to go, after significant upward movement in his exit odds. He’s partnered with pro dancer Sharna Burgess.
Dancing with the Stars Elimination Odds Episode Six
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| Celebrity | |
Buy 'Yes' | Buy 'No' |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cameron | 39% | 39¢ | 62¢ |
| Jackson Olson | 28% | 28¢ | 73¢ |
| Guillermo Rodriguez | 18% | 19¢ | 82¢ |
| Tatyana Ali | 15% | 15¢ | 86¢ |
| Julia Stiles | 7% | 7¢ | 94¢ |
Key Takeaways:
- Tyler Cameron Leads Exit Odds: Tyler Cameron is now the frontrunner on this week’s elimination market, at 39¢. Traders are increasingly skeptical about his chances of surviving episode six.
- Jackson Olson in Danger: Savannah Bananas player Jackson Olson isn’t far behind Cameron. Olson’s current price is 28¢.
- Market History: This one’s proven hard to predict in recent weeks. Recent elimination favorites are still in the show.
- Best Value: In terms of mid-tier plays, Guillermo Rodriguez is a good option at 19¢.
As the stars put the finishing touches on their routines for tomorrow night’s live show, we’re looking for value on the prediction market that’s proven almost impossible to predict in the last few weeks! Here’s the latest.
Dancing with the Stars Elimination Odds: Episode Six
Traders are focusing their attention on a few key stars in this week’s elimination market.
The star with the highest exit probability for week six is former Bachelorette favorite Tyler Cameron, followed by baseball star Jackson Olson.
If the market is to be believed, contestants like Amber Glenn, Ezra Frech, Harry Shum Jr., and Maura Higgins are safe, all trading at under 1%.
Three Picks from the Dancing with the Stars Elimination Prediction Market
Tyler Cameron | 'Yes' 39¢
Tyler Cameron has emerged as this market’s top pick for elimination heading into episode six.
Bachelor Nation has historically demonstrated massive voting power on shows like Dancing with the Stars, but traders still think Cameron’s time is up.
This, combined with relatively low judges' scores, compared to top performers, adds up to a high likelihood of exit on October 13.
Jackson Olson | 'No' 73¢
There are some good ‘No’ options on this board. Considering how hard this market has been to predict in recent weeks, these are well worth considering.
Jackson Olson has a 73% probability of making it through episode six, but we’d say his realistic chances might be higher.
Partnered with Emma Slater, the Savannah Bananas star brings a huge fan base and entertainment factor that could keep him afloat even if the pair’s actual scores leave something to be desired.
Guillermo Rodriguez | 'Yes' 19¢
Another crowd favorite who is now in danger is Guillermo Rodriguez, currently trading at 19¢.
His comedic appearances on Jimmy Kimmel Live! have made him hugely popular with fans, but those dance scores aren’t looking too good right now.
At 19¢, Rodriguez offers a good risk-to-reward ratio if Tyler Cameron manages to squeeze through this week.
Looking Beyond Episode Six? The Season 35 Winner Market
Surviving this week’s vote is the top priority for several contestants, but others have their sights set on the bigger picture.
Traders have been backing their picks for the eventual champion since before opening night, and it’s resulted in one of the fastest moving markets on Kalshi right now.
Odds have been shifting fast as traders react to performances and immediate fan reactions, but Ezra has held on to the top spot for the past couple of weeks.
For an in-depth look at overall Dancing with the Stars winner odds, value longshots and reality show trading tips, visit our dedicated Dancing with the Stars Season 35 winner market page.
How to Trade Dancing with the Stars on Kalshi
Kalshi prediction markets are different from traditional sports betting. Instead of placing basic bets on outcomes, Kalshi lets traders put money on ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ answers to real-world events.
There are markets for almost every outcome, from sports and politics to reality shows and music charts. Here’s how to sign up and start trading Dancing with the Stars on Kalshi:
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Account Setup: Sign up on Kalshi, complete the quick verification process, and deposit funds via ACH or bank transfer.
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Navigate: Search for "Dancing with the Stars" or browse under the Pop Culture tab to locate the Episode 6 Elimination market.
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Execute: Select your chosen contestant, choose 'Yes' or 'No', enter your contract quantity, and confirm your order.
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Monitor: Track price shifts in real time and choose to either hold until official resolution or sell early to lock in profits.
Dancing with the Stars Episode Six Elimination FAQs
Tyler Cameron is currently the market favorite for elimination with a 39% implied probability on Kalshi. Jackson Olson and Guillermo Rodriguez follow behind as secondary contenders for exit. Prices fluctuate continuously based on fan voting and rehearsal updates.
Prices on Kalshi directly mirror the market's implied probability for an event outcome. For instance, a ‘Yes’ contract trading at 39¢ represents a 39% chance of exit. A 'No' contract at 73¢ implies a 73% chance the contestant stays safe.
The market resolves to 'Yes' for whichever contestant is officially declared eliminated during the broadcast or press release. Multiple simultaneous eliminations both count toward payouts. If no elimination occurs during the episode, contracts resolve according to official show rules.
Yes, traders can buy or sell their positions at any point before the market closes. This allows investors to profit off price swings driven by social media hype or live performances. You do not need to hold contracts until the final broadcast resolution.
