NASCAR odds and betting predictions for the Pocono 350

Kevin Harvick took the first half of this weekend's Pocono Raceway doubleheader, and is among the favorites to win the second leg on Sunday.

Eric Smith - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Smith • Betting Analyst
Jun 28, 2020 • 11:58 ET
Kevin Harvick drives ahead of Kyle Busch in NASCAR action.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

NASCAR odds make a quick turnaround, as just one day after at the Pocono Organics 325, NASCAR betting is back at Pocono Raceway with the Pocono 350. The second half of this Pocono Pocono doubleheader should be interesting, with the first 20 spots based on the inverted standings of the Top 20 from Saturday's race, and betting co-favorite Kyle Busch is still searching for his first victory of the season.

Covers Experts’ Auto Racing Advisor sizes up the NASCAR betting odds for the Pocono 350 and gives his favorite NASCAR predictions and betting picks for the Sunday, June 28 race at Pocono Raceway.

NASCAR betting odds for Pocono 350

Driver Odds to Win Odds to finish Top 3
Kyle Busch +400 +120
Denny Hamlin +400 +120
Kevin Harvick +500 +135
Martin Truex Jr. +800 +225
Brad Keselowski +1,100 +300
Ryan Blaney +1,200 +350
Chase Elliott +1,300 +375
Joey Logano +1,400 +400
Aric Almirola +1,800 +500
Erik Jones +2,000 +550
William Byron +2,500 +650
Clint Bowyer +3,000 +700
Alex Bowman +3,300 +800
Kurt Busch +3,300 +800
Jimmie Johnson +4,000 +1,000
Christopher Bell +6,600 +1,500
Matt DiBenedetto +6,600 +1,500
Tyler Reddick +6,600 +1,500
Austin Dillon +10,000 +2,000
Matt Kenseth +10,000 +2,000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +10,000 +2,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Who will win the Pocono 350?

Favorites to bet

Kyle Busch (+400)

Busch has seven straight Top-10 finishes at the Tricky Triangle, including three of his last six visits resulting in victories. What’s plagued him was not having practice much this season — but he had 325 miles of it on Saturday.

Denny Hamlin (+400)

Pocono has been his playground: Hamlin has five wins here in his career, including in this race a year ago. He also finished second on Saturday.

Kevin Harvick (+500)

He won Saturday's race, so why not Sunday as well? Harvick has seven Top-6 finishes in his last eight Pocono starts, six of which resulted in him being in the Top 4.

 

Long shots to bet

William Byron (+2,500)

Why not here? Three of his last four Pocono starts have seen him finish in the Top 10. He rolls off seventh on Sunday and has the best crew chief in terms of strategy.

Kurt Busch (+3,300)

He’s been a Top-10 machine this season overall, and he has 10 Top-10 finishes in his last 18 Pocono starts, including seven in the Top 5. He also rolls off third on Sunday.

Matt DiBenedetto (+6,600)

This isn’t normally a great track for him, but DiBenedetto was seventh and fifth, respectively, in the first two stages on Saturday and starts eighth on Sunday.

Betting Pocono Raceway

The first part of the doubleheader weekend is in the books, with race No. 1 going off without a hitch. Now, instead of having two race weekends spread apart by two months, NASCAR is back again 24 hours later.

We don’t have much to base this race off of now, because we’ve never seen anything like it. Five of the last seven race winners have come from the Top 10. In fact, since 2014, 11 of the 14 Cup Series races here have been won from a Top-10 starting spot, with one of the two exceptions being Chris Buescher’s flukey rain-shortened win in 2016.

Keep that in mind as Sunday's race hosts an inverted field, meaning the best cars from Saturday’s race will be starting from further back on Sunday. The lineup isn’t determined by qualifying or by owner’s points, which rewards the best cars on the season to start up front.

Strategy was key to winning on Saturday, and in a race where attrition could play a factor, good tactics will be the main way these top contenders make their way up on Sunday.

Stat To Watch

When inverting the field, like we did in the second races at Darlington and Charlotte earlier this year, the winners started 16th and 19th, respectively. That’s great news for the top cars, but not so good if you’re risking a bet on a longer odds driver with a prime starting position

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Eric Smith - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Eric Smith has over a decade of experience in motorsports. Beginning with Bleacher Report in 2011 to becoming a nationally accredited motorsports journalist, Eric has been featured in numerous publications. His love of the sport helped spark a path to Covers in 2019 as an auto racing analyst providing insights into how to bet and who to be on the NASCAR scene.

NASCAR is a unique sport to wager on with the percentages of a win less than the 50-50 venture of stick-and-ball sports. However, Eric found a method to wager on multiple drivers to come away profitable in the end. His experience in the sport and his aforementioned technique has allowed Eric to decipher pages of data to compute a winner at a 70% clip.

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