Cook Out 400 Sleeper Picks and Predictions — Martinsville Speedway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 24, 2026 , 03:04 PM ET • 4 min read

Find out why our NASCAR expert believes Ryan Preece will outrun his odds, and which 100-1 long shot you should have on tickets at Martinsville this Sunday.

Ryan Preece NASCAR Cup Series
Photo By - Reuters Connect. RFK Racing driver Ryan Preece.

The NASCAR Cup Series goes short track racing this Sunday when Martinsville Speedway hosts the Cook Out 400.

I'm looking at some long shots to help you spice up your tickets for this week's NASCAR action.

Here are my free betting picks for the Cook Out 400, featuring Ryan Preece.

Cook Out 400 sleeper picks

  • Chase Elliott (+900)
  • Ryan Preece (+2800)
  • Todd Gilliland (+10000)

Picks were made on 3-24 at 3:00 p.m. ET.

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Cook Out 400 sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Chase Elliott
+900 at DraftKings

These +900 odds may not scream "sleeper pick," but everything is relative.

Chase Elliott is the sixth choice on the Cook Out 400 board, and is longer than teammates Kyle Larson (+550) and William Byron (+800), but I'd argue that he shouldn't be.

Elliott ran second at Phoenix two weeks ago and briefly looked dangerous at Darlington before getting shuffled back on strategy and failing to recover. Still, I wouldn't say Elliott was in a slump right now.

The No. 9 pilot has been no worse than fourth across his last four starts at Martinsville, placing in all but one of eight stages in that span while leading 235 laps.

Sleeper pick to win: Ryan Preece
+2800 at DraftKings

RFK Racing clearly found the speed they were searching for at Darlington last week, as Brad Keselowski and Chris Buescher ran 1-2 for a good chunk of the Goodyear 400 before Tyler Reddick ultimately caught and passed them.

Ryan Preece checked in 13th, but I believe he can leapfrog his RFK teammates this week and perhaps even threaten for the win.

The Clash at Bowman Gray may not count in the points standings, but the fact that Preece won that short track event should signal that he can bring a good car to Martinsville.

"The Paperclip" has been kind to Preece in the past, with the No. 60 driver averaging a ninth-place finish over his last four races here.

Sleeper pick to win: Todd Gilliland
+10000 at DraftKings

Todd Gilliland has never won a Cup Series race, and has hit the Top 10 just under 10% of the time through 148 career races. However, he finished ninth and 10th, respectively, in two races at Martinsville last year, so he clearly moves up on this oval.

He's 14th in average finish among active drivers at this course, so these 100-1 odds are quite generous. 

Even if Gilliland doesn't win, he could at least add some intrigue to a Top 10 parlay ticket at +450.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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