Super Bowl LIV odds update: Big Game lookahead spread swings a full field goal

A field goal has been trimmed from the lookahead line for Super Bowl LIV in the wake of the Divisional Round after the Super Bowl favorite Baltimore Ravens were eliminated.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 13, 2020 • 06:22 ET
NFL Odds To Win Super Bowl LIV NFL Futures Super Bowl Betting Odds Picks Predictions Sports Betting Who Will Win Super Bowl LIV
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Your Super Bowl LIV champion is…

San Francisco or Green Bay or Tennessee or Kansas City. We’re down to the final four with the NFL conference championship games going off this weekend. Each week, we were looking at the biggest climb and fall in the Big Game betting futures but now that we’re down to these four contenders, let’s peek at each as well as the lookahead spread and total for Super Bowl LIV.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

OPEN: 7/1
DIVISIONAL ROUND: 7/2
NOW: 7/5

Thanks to Tennessee knocking off Baltimore, the Chiefs jump to the top of the Super Bowl LIV odds. Kansas City now hosts the AFC title game and faces a sizzling No. 6 seed following its crazy come-from-wayyyyyyyy-behind win against the Texans in the Divisional Round.

The Chiefs are now +140 front runners to party with Lombardi in Miami. Savvy sports bettors could have had Patrick Mahomes & Co. around 10/1 odds to win the Big Game back in mid-November, following a road loss to this very same Tennessee team.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 

OPEN: 40/1
DIVISIONAL ROUND: 7/2
NOW: 3/2

Just behind the Chiefs are the Niners, who looked more like themselves in a dominating win over the Vikings in the Divisional Round than they have in the past month and a half. The bye between the Wild Card and Divisional Round allowed San Francisco to rest and return some important cogs on defense, and that showed versus the Vikings.

The 49ers face the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, taking a 7-2 SU record at home into Sunday including a 37-8 blasting of the Cheeseheads by the Bay in Week 12. The host team had won five straight NFC titles before the L.A. Rams' infamous victory in New Orleans last January.

 

GREEN BAY PACKERS

OPEN: 16/1
DIVISIONAL ROUND: 7/1
NOW: 7/1

The Packers’ odds to win the Super Bowl stay still, given the Niners did what they were supposed to do in the Divisional Round. Green Bay held off a second-half surge from Seattle this past Sunday, and the defense showed up when it counted, making some key stops and big sacks.

Aaron Rodgers, a California kid, has had trouble with recent stops on the West Coast. We mentioned that one-sided loss at San Francisco in Week 12, however, the Packers QB is 0-3 SU in his last three games in the Golden State (losses at San Francisco, L.A. Chargers and L.A. Rams), going a combined 61 for 98 (62 percent) for 554 total yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions in those defeats – a collective passer rating of 87.71.

TENNESSEE TITANS

OPEN: 60/1
DIVISIONAL ROUND: 30/1
NOW: 8/1

As pointed out by my Covers colleague Patrick Everson, if Tennessee does upset Kansas City on Sunday it would give the Titans four wins over divisional winners in each of its past four games (Houston, New England, and Baltimore already down). Books are giving the Titans plenty of respect in their fourth straight road game, with the AFC title game spread around a touchdown.

Only two other sixth-seeded NFL teams have won the Super Bowl: Pittsburgh in 2005-06 and Green Bay in 2010-11. Both of those teams had to go through the No. 2 seed on the road in their respective championship game. Tennessee has been a boom for the bookies in terms of the Super Bowl futures, knocking out major liability on the Patriots and Ravens. 

 

SUPER BOWL LIV LOOKAHEAD LINE

OPEN: AFC -2.5, 57
DIVISIONAL ROUND: AFC -4, 49.5
NOW: AFC -1, 50.5

A field goal has been trimmed from the lookahead line for Super Bowl LIV in the wake of the Divisional Round. Baltimore being the top seed was setting the pace for this game, but now it’s based loosely on a Kansas City-San Francisco matchup in Miami.

The tick up in the total is also indicative to the Ravens getting routed. The Chiefs bring an air-centric approach on offense compared to the run-heavy playbook and defense of Baltimore. However, should we see the Titans sneak into the Super Bowl, expect a big swing in the odds and total for the official opener. 

Advertisement

Pages related to this topic

Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo