NFL Player of the Year Odds 2026-27

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 14, 2026 , 01:12 PM ET • 4 min read

Looking at the latest NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, and more for the 2026-27 season.

Houston Texans NFL Will Anderson Jr.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Texans defensive lineman Will Anderson Jr.

The 2026-27 NFL season is underway, and the NFL odds for various year-end honors are fluctuating wildly by the week!

Let's take a look at how some of the major races are developing and give out some free NFL picks.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds 2026-27

Jahmyr Gibbs has emerged as the early Offensive Player of the Year frontrunner after a monster start to the season.

The Detroit Lions running back has been a touchdown machine thus far, finding the end zone nine times through five games while piling up 504 rushing yards. Gibbs is fresh off his best performance since Week 1, racking up 207 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in Sunday's 45-21 rout of Arizona.

Along with Gibbs, Kenneth Walker III is another name to watch after an impressive first four games with the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite coming off a bye week, the reigning Super Bowl MVP has racked up 537 rushing yards through four games, trailing only Bijan Robinson for the league lead.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year pick: Jonathan Taylor

5% probability at Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor looked set to run away with OPOY honors last year, as the Indianapolis Colts running back was the odds-on favorite through the first half of the campaign.

Despite the team’s struggles down the stretch, the Colts’ running back still finished with the second-most rushing yards in the NFL, falling just 26 short of James Cook.

Backed by a stout offensive line and a two-year, $44 million extension, Taylor remains a solid pick in a run-heavy offense. 

Pick made on Aug. 1.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year opening odds 2026-27

  • Saquon Barkley: 16.7%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 10%
  • Ja'Marr Chase: 8.3%
  • Derrick Henry: 6.7%
  • Bijan Robinson: 6.7%

NFL Offensive Player of the Year recent winners

Here's a look at the recent Offensive Player of the Year Award results via Sports Odds History:

Year NFL OPOY winner Position
2025 Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
2024 Eagles Saquon Barkley RB
2023 49ers Christian McCaffrey RB
2022 Vikings Justin Jefferson WR
2021 Rams Cooper Kupp WR

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NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds 2026-27

Myles Garrett was essentially booted from the race after a quiet Week 1 performance before ultimately landing on IR to undergo minor knee surgery. 

Will Anderson Jr. is now the name to watch after finishing second to Garrett in last year's DPOY voting. The Houston Texans edge rusher led the league in QB hurries and recorded three forced fumbles in 2025.

He's picked up right where he left off this season, boasting an NFL-best 7.5 sacks, ahead of Greg Rousseau and Dallas Turner.

NFL Defensive Player of the Year pick: Greg Rousseau

12% probability at Kalshi

Rousseau has been on a tear to open the season, leading the league with six sacks through three games.

With the Buffalo Bills one of only three undefeated teams in the NFL, Rousseau's odds could shorten quickly if they keep stacking wins. 

Pick made on Oct. 1

NFL Defensive Player of the Year opening odds 2026-27

  • Aidan Hutchinson: 12.5%
  • T.J. Watt: 11.8%
  • Myles Garrett: 11.1%
  • Micah Parsons: 10.5%
  • Maxx Crosby: 7.7%

NFL Defensive Player of the Year recent winners

Here's a look at the recent Defensive Player of the Year Award results via Sports Odds History:

Year NFL DPOY winner Position
2025 Browns Myles Garrett DE
2024 Broncos Patrick Surtain II CB
2023 Browns Myles Garrett DE
2022 49ers Nick Bosa DE
2021 Steelers T.J. Watt LB

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds 2026-27

Kansas City Chiefs superstar Patrick Mahomes has looked no worse for wear since returning from a torn ACL and LCL.

The two-time MVP has quickly found his rhythm after a conservative season opener, averaging 284.3 passing yards per game and a 7:1 TD-INT ratio over his last three starts.

Meanwhile, Kyler Murray has started to find his rhythm with the 5-0 Minnesota Vikings, completing 76.1% of his passes for 476 yards over his last two games. He's guided Minnesota to consecutive wins without throwing an interception.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year pick: Kyler Murray

15% probability at Kalshi

The most intriguing challenger to Mahomes is Murray, who gets a fresh start with the Vikings after playing just five games in 2025. He’ll benefit from playing under QB whisperer Kevin O’Connell, who helped completely transform Sam Darnold during his time in Minnesota.

If O’Connell can help Murray rediscover that level of play, the former No. 1 overall pick should emerge as Mahomes’ biggest challenger. 

Pick made on Aug. 1

NFL Comeback Player of the Year opening odds 2026-27

  • Patrick Mahomes: 36.4%
  • Kyler Murray: 13.3%
  • Micah Parsons: 6.7%
  • Malik Nabers: 5.9%
  • Daniel Jones: 5.9%

NFL Comeback Player of the Year recent winners

Here's a look at the recent Comeback Player of the Year Award results via Sports Odds History:

Year NFL CPOY winner Position
2025 49ers Christian McCaffrey RB
2024 Bengals Joe Burrow QB
2023 Browns Joe Flacco QB
2022 Seahawks Geno Smith QB
2021 Bengals Joe Burrow QB

NFL MVP odds 2026-27

For analysis of the NFL MVP race, plus our NFL MVP predictions, visit our NFL MVP odds page!


NFL Rookie of the Year odds 2026-27

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2026-27

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds 2026-27

Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

For analysis of the races for NFL OROY and DROY, plus our NFL Rookie of the Year predictions, visit our NFL Rookie of the Year odds page!

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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