The Golden State Valkyries remain the best story of the sporting summer, only half a game outside of playoff position with two teams within a game ahead of the expansion franchise, but if they don't figure out how to be more consistent on the road, this story could fail to reach the satisfying conclusion of a postseason appearance.
The Atlanta Dream are not likely to grant that reprieve tonight. My Valkyries vs. Dream predictions and WNBA picks trust the home team mostly because the road underdog is so atrocious away from the Bay Area. Tip comes at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, July 29.
Valkyries vs Dream predictions
My Valkyries vs Dream best bet: Dream -7.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Trust the Golden State Valkyries at home. They have gone 9-3 against the spread at home this season, including 8-2 ATS since June 1. If Golden State can reach the postseason, the best atmosphere of the first two rounds will be its first home game. And it's worth remembering ahead of time, the Valkyries have sprung five outright upsets in eight games as underdogs at home. A playoff upset would be very much in play.
That success at home, however, brings value in betting against Golden State on the road. Power ratings do not appropriately weigh such success at home, in part because it defies usual explanations. My favorite theory is that WNBA players are enjoying San Francisco nightlife more than in most other cities, simply because they have never had the chance to visit the Bay Area as professionals before.
So, power ratings blandly elevate the Valkyries thanks to that home success, therefore also inflating their rating on the road. Golden State has gone 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games.
This logic argues that the road failures derive in part from the home success.
Doubting the Valkyries on the road has not been as profitable as trusting them at home this season, but both approaches have been profitable. There is no need to abandon either one yet.
Valkyries vs Dream same-game parlay (SGP)
Dream -8
Allisha Gray Over 17.5 points
Brittney Griner Over 5.5 rebounds
Very simply, doubting Golden State on the road can be comfortably done in all regards. Allisha Gray continues to be the engine behind the Atlanta Dream offense as she pursues Most Improved Player honors, and Brittney Griner figures to be a veteran presence that the Valkyries cannot quite handle tonight.
Of note: The Dream have not played a home game since early July, a 9-point win against the Valkyries in which Gray scored 24 points and Griner found five rebounds, albeit in only 19 minutes.
Valkyries vs Dream odds
Valkyries vs Dream live odds
Valkyries vs Dream opening odds
- Spread: Golden State +8 | Atlanta -8
- Moneyline: Golden State +300 | Atlanta -500
- Over/Under: Over 156.5 | Under 156.5
Valkyries vs Dream trend
Golden State has gone 2-4 ATS on the road in July. Find more WNBA betting trends for Valkyries vs. Dream.
How to watch Valkyries vs Dream
| Location | Gateway Center Arena @ College Park, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Tuesday, 7-29-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | KMAX 31, Peachtree TV, KPIX 5 |
Valkyries vs Dream latest injuries
Valkyries: Monique Billings (Questionable), Kayla Thornton (Out).
Dream: Rhyne Howard (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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