Storm vs Mystics Predictions, Picks, Odds for Today’s WNBA Game

The Storm are off to a disappointing 0-2 start but that blame can't be placed on Nneka Ogwumike, who was dominant in both losses. If Seattle gets its first win on Sunday, she'll be the biggest reason why.

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst
May 19, 2024 • 12:31 ET • 4 min read
Nneka Ogwumike Seattle Storm WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s been a rough start to the WNBA season for two teams hoping to turn it around this year. Both the Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics have opened the season 0-2 as they get set to play Sunday.

The Storm are a 6-point road favorite by the WNBA odds after being a preseason favorite to win the WNBA title, thanks in part to a key offseason addition. Find out where my best bets lie in our WNBA picks and Storm vs. Mystics predictions on Sunday, May 19.

Storm vs Mystics predictions

My best bet
Nneka Ogwumike Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists (+100 at bet365)

My analysis
The addition of Nneka Ogwumike this past offseason was supposed to propel the Seattle Storm out of the bottom of the WNBA standings. Seattle went just 11-29 last season after reaching the playoffs in head coach Noelle Quinn’s first full season on the job in 2022.

However, the Storm are coming off back-to-back losses to the Lynx to start the season, including a 102-93 double-OT thriller. One thing's for certain, Ogwumike isn’t the problem.

The eight-time All-Star leads the team in points (22.0) and rebounds per game (10.0) and is coming off a 24-point, 11-rebound performance. She’s been a monster down low, shooting 60%, and her skill and physicality should pose a major challenge for the Washington Mystics.

While the Mystics have size with Stefanie Dolson and Shakira Austin, their defense is giving up 84.5 points per game, sixth most in the WNBA, and the team is third-last in rebounds per game (31.0). 

A lot of the roster is back from last season’s squad that allowed the second-most rebounds per game in the league to opponents (35.9). Not to mention that two-time MVP Elena Delle Donne is away from basketball right now.

Ogwumike has already seen heavy usage to start the season, too. She’s playing 36.5 minutes per game and taking 15 shots with her new team, plus, she’s done a good job getting to the charity stripe (4.0 free throws per game). 

Clearly, she doesn’t look like she’ll be slowing down anytime soon. She was a dominant force for more than a decade with the Los Angeles Sparks and has seamlessly fit in as the focal point of the Storm’s frontcourt.

In two games against the Mystics last season, Ogwumike averaged a combined 32 points + rebounds + assists in only 29 minutes per game. 

Storm vs Mystics same-game parlay (SGP)

Nneka Ogwumike Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists

Jewell Lloyd Under 22.5 points

Ariel Atkins Over 1.5 threes

For as impressive as Ogwumike has been with her new team, Seattle’s superstar Jewell Lloyd has struggled to bring her best with her new teammate. After leading the WNBA in points per game last season (24.7), Lloyd is putting up only 15 through two games this year.

Her shooting has been atrocious to start the season, hitting only 17.5% from the floor. Washington has a strong backcourt to compete with her, too, led by Ariel Atkins. With Delle Donne away, Atkins has taken on a bigger role.

The two-time All-Star is scoring 14 per game to start the year and has been utilizing her long-range game. She’s averaging two made threes per game on six attempts, up from 4.6 attempts last season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Storm vs Mystics odds

Storm vs Mystics live odds

Get the latest Storm vs. Mystics WNBA odds for tonight.

Storm vs Mystics opening odds

  • Spread: Seattle -7.5 | Washington +7.5
  • Moneyline: Seattle -275 | Washington +225
  • Over/Under: Over 162.5 | Under 162.5

Storm vs Mystics spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Despite starting the season 0-2, the Storm opened favored by as many as 7.5 points against the Mystics. The line has since settled in at 6.5.

  • Seattle is just 19-20-3 ATS dating back to last season and Washington is slightly better at 20-21-1.

  • The Over/Under opened as high as 164.5, but has since come down to between 162 and 162.5.

  • The Storm were an even 21-21 betting the Over dating back to last season while the Mystics are 17-24-1.

Storm vs Mystics trend

The Over is 7-2 in the Storm’s last nine road games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Storm vs. Mystics.

Storm vs Mystics game info

Location: Entertainment & Sports Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date: Sunday, May 19, 2024
Tip-off: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: MyTV, Monumental SN

Storm vs Mystics latest injuries

Storm: No key injuries to report.
Mystics: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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