Storm vs Fever Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: May 17, 2026 , 11:20 AM ET • 4 min read

Jade Melbourne continues her hot hand against the leaky Fever perimeter defense.

WNBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
SEA
64 %
IND
36 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jade Melbourne o9.5  Points Scored (-120) Jade Melbourne o9.5 Points Scored (-120)
Read Analysis
Jade Melbourne Seattle Storm WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jade Melbourne of the Seattle Storm WNBA

The Indiana Fever are looking for their first victory of the season at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when they host the Seattle Storm.

Jade Melbourne has been a spark-plug off the Seattle bench, and my Storm vs. Fever predictions expect another strong scoring night for the Australian native.

Read on for my WNBA picks for Sunday, May 17.

Storm vs Fever prediction

Storm vs Fever best bet: Jade Melbourne Over 9.5 points (-120)

Seattle Storm reserve guard Jade Melbourne has scored 13, 15, and 14 points in her last three games, making her points prop one of the softer lines on Sunday’s board for a player producing this consistently.

Melbourne gets a dream matchup against an Indiana Fever defense allowing the second-most points in the WNBA to opposing guards at 58.1 per game, including 16 points per game to reserve guards.

The Storm guard is a versatile scorer and an important spark off the bench. Her minutes are trending upward, with a strong chance of clearing her scoring prop again tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Reserve guards like Jade Melbourne are shooting WNBA-best 55% from the field and 38% from downtown against the Indiana Fever. 

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Caitlin Clark pick: Over 20.5 points (-130)

Caitlin Clark is locked in right now, coming off a 32-point performance against Washington on Friday night.

Seattle’s perimeter defense has struggled early this season, allowing 48.4 points per game to opposing guards, which sets up well for a scorer and volume shooter like Clark.

Indiana also plays at one of the fastest paces in the WNBA, creating the extra possessions Clark needs to pile up points quickly.

The Fever are still searching for their first home win at 0-2, and Clark should again carry a massive workload while playing at least 31 minutes per game. 

We’re getting nearly even money for essentially her floor, and that value is difficult to pass up tonight. 

Storm vs Fever same-game parlay

Kelsey Mitchell gets an excellent matchup Sunday against a Seattle defense allowing nearly 18 points per game off turnovers while also surrendering a league-high 11.3 made threes per game.

Mitchell has shot just 36% from three-point range so far this season, but she has still knocked down at least three triples in back-to-back games. 

With the volume she carries, Mitchell should again get plenty of chances from deep with a strong chance to clear her three-point prop tonight.

Storm vs Fever SGP

  • Jade Melbourne Over 9.5 points
  • Caitlin Clark Over 20.5 points
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 made threes

Storm vs Fever first basket scorer: Caitlin Clark (+450)

With Dominique Malonga potentially sidelined, Indiana should have the edge on the opening tip and the first possession of the game.

Clark is also coming off a huge shooting performance, and Indiana will likely look to get her involved immediately against a shorthanded Seattle defense. 

Whether it’s a quick pull-up three or an aggressive drive to the basket, Clark has a strong chance to score the game’s first points.

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 3-1, +1.86 units
  • SGP: 1-3, +0.10 units
  • First basket: 1-3, +0.50 units

Storm vs Fever odds

  • Spread: Seattle -10.5 | Indiana +10.5
  • Moneyline: Seattle +390 | Indiana -525
  • Over/Under: Over 177 | Under 177

Storm vs Fever trend

Jade Melbourne has scored at least 10 points in three consecutive games. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Storm vs Fever

Location Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Date Sunday, May 17, 2026
Tip-off 6:00 p.m. ET
TV Peacock

Storm vs Fever latest injuries

Storm: Tania Mair (Out), Katie Lou Samuelson (Out), Taylor Thierry (Out), Dominique Malonga (Out), Awa Fam (Out). 
Fever: Aliyah Boston (GTD). 
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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