Just when you thought things couldn’t get any worse for the Chicago Sky, the wheels have officially come off. The team’s decision to bench Skylar Diggins sparked immediate drama, with "Big Mama" taking straight to social media to put the organization on blast.
Meanwhile, it’s smooth sailing for the Phoenix Mercury lately. Riding a hot three-game win streak, they'll look to make it four in a row as they welcome a deeply dysfunctional Sky team to the Mortgage Matchup Center.
Much of the Mercury's recent surge comes down to one thing: Kahleah Copper is absolutely torching the competition. Unsurprisingly, she headlines our best WNBA picks and Sky vs. Mercury predictions for Tuesday, July 7.
Sky vs Mercury prediction
Sky vs Mercury best bet: Kahleah Copper Over 23.5 points + rebounds (+102)
Kahleah Copper is on an absolute tear for the Phoenix Mercury, averaging a blistering 26.3 points over her last four games by clearing this 23.5 points + rebounds line on raw scoring alone.
Beyond her elite bucket-getting, the 6'1" wing utilizes her explosive athleticism to crash the glass, logging a heavy 31.8 minutes per game to chase down long rebounds and ignite the fast break.
Averaging a massive 30.1 combined points and rebounds recently, Copper faces a reeling, chaotic Chicago Sky squad surrendering a league-worst 90 points a night. Her sheer offensive volume makes this line a gift.
Hammer the Over & play this straight up.
COVERS INTEL: Over their last 10 games, the Mercury rank in the top seven in defensive rating, finding real stability. Meanwhile, the Sky rank dead last (12th) in overall defensive rating, completely cratering to a miserable 111.5 defensive rating over their last five games.
Sky vs Mercury same-game parlay
Skylar Diggins riding the pine means Chicago's offense is bound to be a clunky mess early. The silver lining?
All those inefficient, broken possessions mean a high volume of bricks which practically gifts Kamilla Cardoso the Over on 8.5 rebounds.
Sky fans need something to look forward to, right?
Unfortunately, that's where the good news ends. Trying to patch up a public internal rift while facing a red-hot team on the road is a recipe for disaster.
Take the Mercury to pile onto Chicago’s misery tonight.
Sky vs Mercury SGP
- Kahleah Copper Over 23.5 points + rebounds
- Kamilla Cardoso Over 8.5 rebounds
- Mercury moneyline
- Best bet: 0-0, +0.0 units
- SGP: 0-0, +0.0 units
- Player prop: 0-0, +0.0 units
Sky vs Mercury odds
- Spread: Chicago +3.5 (-115) | Phoenix -3.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Chicago +130 | Phoenix -155
- Over/Under: Over 172.5 (-110) | Under 172.5 (-110)
Sky vs Mercury trend
The Phoenix Mercury have won nine out of the last 10 head-to-head matchups against the Chicago Sky. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sky vs Mercury
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Tuesday, July 7, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | WCIU, KPHE |
Sky vs Mercury latest injuries
Sky: DiJonai Carrington (foot) & Rickea Jackson (knee) ruled out.
Mercury: Natasha Mack (foot) & Sami Whitcomb (knee) ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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