WNBA Player Props & Best Bets Today for July 11: Ogwumike Out for Revenge

Our WNBA prop picks include a pair of plays from the Sun-Storm nightcap, with Nneka Ogwumike looking to stuff the stat sheet after a surprising Seattle loss.

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Jul 11, 2025 • 11:00 ET • 4 min read
Nneka Ogwumike Seattle Storm WNBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Nneka Ogwumike of the Seattle Storm takes a shot.

The Seattle Storm and Atlanta Dream have emerged as talented playoff-bound squads this year, and both are in action in tonight’s doubleheader, which also features Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever.

Clark is always the standout WNBA player props magnet, but my top WNBA picks for Friday, July 11 sidestep the Fever and include a wager on one of Atlanta’s dynamic guards in Allisha Gray.

WNBA player prop bets for July 11

  • Dream Gray o3.5 asts (-108)
  • Storm Ogwumike o23.5 pts + rebs (-120)
  • Sun Charles o4.5 rebs (-114)

Today's best WNBA player props bets

Allisha Gray Over 3.5 assists (-108 at FanDuel)

The Atlanta Dream have found a winning formula, sparked by Allisha Gray as a scorer and a playmaker. It’s her assists prop that I’m targeting here against the Indiana Fever, and I love the Over on 3.5 helpers tonight.

Gray has dished 4+ dimes in four straight contests, including six assists in the win over the New York Liberty in late June, and she had four assists against the Fever in the teams’ most recent clash.

Surrounded by capable shooters, her drive-and-kick game should give Indiana fits, and the Dream have scored 90+ points in three of their past four games. Meanwhile, the Fever had some ugly defensive possessions in Wednesday’s underwhelming effort against the Golden State Valkyries.

It certainly helps that Gray is averaging 35.8 MPG this season, translating to plenty of possessions where she’ll be initiating the offense.

Though Jordin Canada has led Atlanta in assists lately, there’s admirable consistency in Gray’s setup skills, and she won’t shy away from the head-to-head battle against Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell.

Nneka Ogwumike Over 23.5 points + rebounds (-120 at FanDuel)

The Seattle Storm had surely pencilled in a W in midweek against a Connecticut Sun team that was on a 10-game skid, but a fourth-quarter collapse led to a 93-83 loss. Look for a backlash tonight as the teams square off again — this time at Climate Pledge Arena.

While Nneka Ogwumike struggled with her shot that night, making just five of her 15 field goal attempts. But a Seattle bounce-back starts with their All-Star forward, and this combo Over offers real value.

Ogwumike still cashed the Over on this number on Wednesday thanks to her 12 rebounds, and her season averages of 17 PPG and 8 RPG suggest this line could be a little light against the WNBA’s basement team.

A varied Storm offense means Ogwumike should see plenty of one-on-one coverage, and she’s shooting 53% from the field this season.

I’m counting on no mercy from Seattle tonight, with the blowout potential looking like the only real obstacle to nailing this prop.

Tina Charles Over 4.5 rebounds (-114 at FanDuel)

The Connecticut Sun got a throwback performance from Tina Charles on Wednesday as the veteran posted 29 points and 11 rebounds. While I’m not expecting her to hit those same heights tonight, this feels like a generous O/U line for a proven rebounder.

Good things happen on the glass for Charles when her minutes spike — as they did in midweek. She has hit the Over on this 4.5 number in three of the last four outings where she’s logged 30+ minutes.

Her stats have been wildly erratic this season, which helps to explain her 5.1 RPG average, down significantly from 9.6 RPG in 2024. But at 6-foot-4, she remains a major presence in the paint, and I see her building on the active outing on the boards earlier this week. 

Charles will present problems for Ezi Magbegor and the Seattle frontcourt here, especially if Connecticut can replicate the defensive effort that limited the Storm to just nine points in the final 10 minutes on Wednesday.

Today’s WNBA games

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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