The Washington Mystics will look to snap a three-game skid when they visit the Minnesota Lynx on Friday night. Both teams made significant moves ahead of the trade deadline, and Minnesota will be missing its superstar forward for this clash at Target Center.
My Mystics vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks expect the Lynx to cover a large spread despite the absence of Collier. I’m also targeting a combo prop for Collier’s replacement in the starting five and a scoring line for a Washington rookie who could see an uptick in usage.
Mystics vs Lynx predictions
My Mystics vs Lynx best bet: Lynx -9.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
The WNBA’s leading scorer and MVP favorite, Napheesa Collier, is out for the next two weeks, but despite her absence, the Minnesota Lynx are in a great position to win this contest handily. The team’s roster is deep, and the Lynx recently acquired DiJonai Carrington to help pick up some of the offensive slack.
The Lynx sport the W’s best record at 25-6 straight up, and they’re 18-12-1 ATS through 31 appearances. The Washington Mystics are 13-16 straight up and 13-6 ATS. The Mystics are just 3-7 ATS across their last 10, and they’ve dropped three straight contests.
Minnesota’s Net Rating of 14.7 is tops in the Association, as is its 18.7 Net Rating at home. Washington ranks 10th in Net Rating at -3.5 overall, but the Mystics are -6.7 on the road.
The Mystics’ offensive rating (97.4) is 11th, and Washington has been even worse on the road at 96.4. Facing the W’s best defense will be a tall order, especially after Washington’s recent moves.
Washington traded away leading scorer Brittney Sykes and backup forward Aaliyah Edwards over the last three days. The team will naturally go through an adjustment period with the roster and new rotations, putting them in a vulnerable position on the road. I’ll take Minnesota to cover at home, even with Collier watching from the sideline.
Mystics vs Lynx same-game parlay (SGP)
Lynx -9.5
Jessica Shepard double-double
Sonia Citron Over 13.5 points
Shepard started for Collier in her last game out, posting a 13/13 double-double against the Storm. That wasn’t just a one-off, as Shepard has posted two double-doubles across four starts this season while averaging 12 points and 11.5 boards. She posted a 12/15 line at Washington earlier in the season, and I expect her to keep up the strong play at home.
Citron is enjoying a promising rookie campaign, averaging 14.3 points across 32.8 minutes. Despite a poor offensive showing from the team as a whole, Citron led Washington in scoring with 13 points. She’s posted at least 14 points in 12 of 29 games this season and finished with exactly 13 points seven more times. Citron has averaged 14.6 points per game on the road and hit the Over on this line in eight of 14 road matchups in 2025. With Sykes gone, Citron could be the new go-to option in Washington’s offense.
Mystics vs Lynx odds
Mystics vs Lynx live odds
Mystics vs Lynx opening odds
- Spread: Washington +10 (-110) | Minnesota -10 (-110)
- Moneyline: Washington +375 | Minnesota -500
- Over/Under: Over 157 (-110) | Under 157 (-110)
Mystics vs Lynx trend
Minnesota is 7-2-1 ATS across its last 10 games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mystics vs. Lynx.
How to watch Mystics vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Friday, August 8, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Mystics vs Lynx latest injuries
Mystics: Alysha Clark (Questionable), Jacy Sheldon (Questionable), Georgia Amoore (Out).
Lynx: Jessica Shepard (Probable), Naphessa Collier (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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