WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks: Wednesday, Sept. 23

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 23, 2026 , 05:44 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Wednesday WNBA moneyline predictions include the Dream beating the Liberty as 46% underdogs and the Wings silencing the Storm.

wnba

Jan 01 • 12:00 AM ET
Arike Ogwumike of the Dallas Wings WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dallas Wings guard Arike Ogunbowale (24) brings the ball up court during the game between the Wings and the Mercury at College Park Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

The WNBA serves up a two-game Wednesday slate that's a perfect combo setup for my WNBA moneyline predictions.

I'm all about the road teams tonight, as the Atlanta Dream are 46% underdogs to beat the New York Liberty for the second straight night, while the Dallas Wings are 82% road favorites to beat the lowly Seattle Storm. 

Read on for my WNBA picks for Wednesday, Sept. 23.

WNBA moneyline picks: Sept. 23

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Matchup Kalshi
Probability
Dream Dream vs Liberty Liberty Dream 46%
Wings Wings vs Storm Storm Wings 82%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks: Sept. 23

Dream vs Liberty pick: Dream

The Atlanta Dream have been one of the WNBA’s best road teams lately, and I’m backing them up to 50% to beat the New York Liberty again tonight.  

Atlanta is 8-2 over its last 10 games with a dominant +18.9 net rating, while the Liberty are 7-3 with a +6.4 mark. The Dream are also 14-7 on the road this season and 7-1 away from home since the All-Star break.

The Dream's defense has been the difference, and we saw it Monday when Atlanta held New York to 84 points in a 95-84 win. At this price, I’m riding the hotter team and taking Atlanta.

Wings vs Storm pick: Wings

The Dallas Wings are coming off a brutal buzzer-beater loss to Phoenix, but I expect them to respond against the Seattle Storm.

Over the last 10 games, Dallas owns a +4.7 net rating compared with Seattle’s -7.8, while the Wings have posted a 110.9 offensive rating against the Storm’s 100.3.

Dallas is also 26-17, while Seattle enters at just 8-35. 

The Storm have struggled to generate consistent offense all year, and Dallas has been the much stronger team recently. After letting one get away against Phoenix, I expect the Wings to bounce back and win in Seattle.

Today's WNBA moneyline combo

Dream moneyline

Wings moneyline

I’m pairing Atlanta and Dallas because each leg brings a different edge. The Dream have been elite defensively, posting a +18.9 net rating over their last 10 games while going 7-1 on the road since the All-Star break.

Dallas gets the softer matchup, facing a Seattle team that is 8-35 with a 100.3 offensive rating over its last 10. Atlanta brings the defense, while Dallas brings the matchup advantage against one of the league’s weakest teams.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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