Everything was sunshine and rainbows for the New York Liberty until the Chicago Sky came to town and torched the Liberty defense for 90 points.
Ahead of their first road game in nine days, the loss can't sit well with this veteran group, but their next opponent figures to be a stern challenge.
My WNBA picks and Liberty vs. Fever predictions dive deep into why the Lynx are catching too many points ahead of this Saturday, May 25 clash.
Liberty vs Lynx predictions
My best bet
Lynx +6.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The New York Liberty were never going to go the duration of the WNBA undefeated. This we know.
What we also know is that to be an elite team, one that is serious about taking the next step and winning a title, you have to defend home court and you have to beat up on who many believe to be a weak team in the Chicago Sky.
The Liberty did no such thing. Their defense was gashed for 90 points on 47% shooting and the offense, while putting up 81 on their own, looked a bit out of sorts. Maybe it was a collective letdown from two games against the Caitlin Clark media circus, or maybe it was more than that.
Either way, the Minnesota Lynx will be waiting and they'll be ready to pounce.
Like the Liberty, the Lynx also suffered their first loss of the season, an overtime road loss to Connecticut. They led with 13 seconds left in regulation, only to fall short in the extra frame.
The Lynx got plenty of scoring up and down the lineup, with four players hitting double figures, led by Napheesa Collier's 31/11/4 line. Collier is having a fantastic start to her season and is among the favorites in the WNBA MVP odds.
Matchup-wise, I don't see how New York defends Collier. She's big, she's athletic and they just gave up 46 points in the paint to the Chicago Sky.
With underdogs cashing tickets ATS at an incredible 77% clip, there's no team I'd rather back as a home dog than a good Lynx team.
Liberty vs Lynx same-game parlay (SGP)
Lynx +6.5
Under 165.5
In addition to our best bet, we are adding the Under 165.5.
While I spoke in length about the Sky's ability to shred the Liberty defense, you have to think that a veteran team like New York would pull up the film and figure out the defensive miscues before heading out to face a good team in their own arena.
The Liberty know they need a bounce-back effort, and Minnesota is not afraid to make this a slow-tempo, limited-possession affair.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Liberty vs Lynx odds
Liberty vs Lynx live odds
Get the latest Liberty vs Lynx WNBA odds for today.
Liberty vs Lynx opening odds
- Spread: New York -6.5 | Minnesota +6.5
- Moneyline: New York -294 | Minnesota +220
- Over/Under: Over 165.5 | Under 165.5
Liberty vs Lynx spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Liberty have opened up at -6.5 on the road vs. the Lynx and the spread has held steady.
- Given the incredible ATS cover rate of underdogs, this spread figures to drop closer to tip-off with two teams that are evenly matched.
- The Liberty are 3-2 to the Over, while the Lynx are 2-1 to the Over.
- The total figures to climb as tip-off approaches.
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Liberty vs Lynx trend
Under is 4-1 in Minnesota's last five games following a straight-up loss. Find more WNBA betting trends for Liberty vs. Lynx.
Liberty vs Lynx game info
| Location: | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date: | Saturday, May 25, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBS |
Liberty vs Lynx latest injuries
Liberty: None.
Lynx: D. Miller (Out), D. Juhasz (Ques), S. Kone (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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