The Atlanta Dream have won five straight matchups against the Phoenix Mercury, and they’ll look to extend that streak as they travel to Mortgage Matchup Center on Saturday, Aug. 22.
Angel Reese has been unstoppable on the glass, and my Dream vs. Mercury predictions believe she's getting a favorable matchup with Phoenix's generous interior defense tonight.
Read on for my free WNBA picks.
Dream vs Mercury prediction
Dream vs Mercury best bet: Angel Reese Over 12.5 rebounds -135
Angel Reese leads the W in rebounds at 11.9 per game, and she comfortably leads in rebounds on the road at a healthy 12.6.
Reese grabbed 10 boards in each of her two matchups with the Phoenix Mercury, but both games were at home. She’s corralled 13+ rebounds in 15 of 35 games and 12+ in 20, including 12 of 18 on the road.
Phoenix has allowed the fifth-most rebounds to opponents, and Reese is riding a 10-game streak of double-digit boards while averaging 13.
I’ll play this one up to 13.5.
COVERS INTEL: Reese leads the W in Rebound Percentage (19), and she comfortably leads the league in Offensive Rebound Percentage (14.7). Over the last 10 games, the Mercury have surrendered the second-most rebounds and the seventh-most offensive rebounds.
Dream vs Mercury same-game parlay
The Atlanta Dream are 4-1 ATS across their last five matchups with Phoenix, and Atlanta has covered the spread in three straight road games overall, outscoring opponents by 28.7 ppg.
Phoenix is just 6-10 ATS at home, and the team is 1-4 ATS across its last five overall.
Atlanta has allowed the fourth-fewest points, and Phoenix has scored the fifth-fewest points this season. The Dream rank fourth in Defensive Rating, and the Mercury rank 12th in Offensive Rating.
I’ll play the Under down to 173.5.
Dream vs Mercury SGP +420
- Angel Reese Over 12.5 rebounds
- Dream -5.5
- Under 176.5
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
- Best bet: 28-33, -7.47 units
- SGP: 7-54, -17 units
- Player prop: 16-19, -5.23 units
Dream vs Mercury odds
- Spread: Dream -5.5 | Mercury +5.5
- Moneyline: Dream -218 | Mercury +180
- Over/Under: Over 176.5 | Under 176.5
Dream vs Mercury trend
Atlanta has covered the spread in three straight road games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Dream vs Mercury
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Saturday, Aug. 22, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | WANFA, WPCH.2 |
Dream vs Mercury latest injuries
Dream: Brionna Jones (Out).
Mercury: Kelsey Plum (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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