Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Bruno Lopes is a featured undercard bout on this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card, taking place at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas.
The hard-hitting Kazakh takes on submission specialist Lopes in a fight that could prove to be explosive. Check out the latest UFC odds and our free betting picks for this lightweight showdown.
Who will win Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes: Nurgozhay to win (-150)
Bruno Lopes is a dangerous grappler who has faced better opposition in losing efforts, but his defense is awful, and he's absorbed significant punishment in recent fights.
Diyar Nurgozhay is a powerful striker who excels against opponents with predictable movement and those willing to trade. As long as Nurgozhay stays off the mat, he will wear Lopes out.
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Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes best bet: Nurgozhay to win by KO/TKO (+115)
Nurgozhay by KO/TKO/DQ is my best bet. Lopes is a BJJ specialist with durability issues, which tends to fail him against strong strikers like Nurgozhay.
While Nurgozhay is more of a one-dimensional striker, he does that very well and won’t have trouble finding Lopes’ chin. Expect Nurgozhay to push Lopes into a series of exchanges that will result in a knockout win.
COVERS INTEL: Bruno Lopes has been knocked out in four of his seven professional losses, with every stoppage defeat coming by the end of Round 2.Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes odds
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|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Diyar Nurgozhay | Bruno Lopes |
| To win outright | -150 | +120 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +115 | +600 |
| To win by decision | +510 | +390 |
| To win by submission | +2100 | +500 |
| Total rounds | Over 1.5 -130 |
Under 1.5 +100 |
Odds as of 8-8.
Nurgozhay is a slight favorite at -150, with Over 1.5 rounds favored at -130. Lopes doesn’t do well against strikers, though he's willing to stand and trade despite his chin. I would take the KO/TKO prop at plus money before it drops any further.
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Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes tale of the tape
| Diyar Nurgozhay | Bruno Lopes | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Age | 33 |
| 6-foot-2 | Height | 6-foot-2 |
| Light Heavyweight | Weight Class | Light Heavyweight |
| 74 inches | Reach | 74 inches |
| 11-2 | Record | 14-3 |
| 6 | Wins by KO | 6 |
| 2 | Wins by submission | 5 |
The betting odds suggest a competitive matchup, and the physical attributes reinforce that. Nurgozhay is an explosive striker who struggles on the mat, while Lopes is a submission specialist whose durability fails against quality strikers. This fight will ultimately be decided by who dictates where it takes place.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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