UFC 328 King Green vs Jeremy Stephens Predictions, Picks & Odds

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: May 9, 2026 , 09:07 AM ET • 4 min read

Faria's prediction: There's no stopping King Green in Newark.

King Green prepares to fight Maurice Ruffy during UFC 313.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. King Green prepares to fight Maurice Ruffy during UFC 313.

The UFC 328 main card opens with a lightweight tilt between a pair of grizzled veterans in King Green and Jeremy Stephens.

Green comes into the bout as a big -375 favorite, while Stephens is listed at +275 in the latest UFC odds.

Despite being 39 years old, Green still possesses plenty of speed and athleticism, which is why I’m backing him in my Green vs. Stephens predictions for Saturday, May 9.

King Green vs Jeremy Stephens fight prediction: Green moneyline (-375)

Green vs Stephens
May 9 • UFC 328
Fight Prediction
Green to win (-375)
Bet now at BET99

King Green will look to keep his win streak rolling as the sizable favorite against Jeremy Stephens, who is 1-8-1 over his last 10 professional bouts and 0-6-1 in the UFC during that span.

While Stephens has just one UFC fight in the last three and a half years, Green has been going toe-to-toe with legitimate stars like Mauricio Ruffy and Paddy Pimblett.

Green’s the faster, more athletic fighter and averages 6.38 strikes per minute compared to just 3.15 for Stephens. Green can also mix in some wrestling, which he did in his most recent win over Daniel Zellhuber.

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King Green vs Jeremy Stephens best bet: Fight to NOT go the distance (-110)

Green vs Stephens
May 9 • UFC 328
Best bet
Fight to NOT go the distance (-110)
Bet now at BET99

Green has been open about his strategy for this fight, claiming that he wants to “find out who’s more psycho.” The favorite finished his last fight via knockout and will be more than willing to trade in the pocket.

Six of Green’s last eight bouts have also ended before the final bell, while two of Stephens’ last three UFC fights failed to go the distance.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Green boasts the sixth-highest rate for strikes landed per minute and the fourth-best striking differential in UFC lightweight history.

King Green vs Jeremy Stephens odds

Bet99
Method of Victory Green Stephens
To win outright -450 +320
To win by KO/TKO +255 +370
To win by decision +120 +675
To win by submission +1050 +3300
Total rounds Over 2.5
-150
Under 2.5
+120

Odds as of 5-9.

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King Green vs Jeremy Stephens tale of the tape

Green   Stephens
39 Age 39
5-foot-10 Height 5-foot-9
Lightweight Weight Class Lightweight
71 inches Reach 71 inches
34-17 Record 29-22
12 Wins by KO 19
9 Wins by submission 2

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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