The UFC 328 main card opens with a lightweight tilt between a pair of grizzled veterans in King Green and Jeremy Stephens.
Green comes into the bout as a big -375 favorite, while Stephens is listed at +275 in the latest UFC odds.
Despite being 39 years old, Green still possesses plenty of speed and athleticism, which is why I’m backing him in my Green vs. Stephens predictions for Saturday, May 9.
King Green vs Jeremy Stephens fight prediction: Green moneyline (-375)
King Green will look to keep his win streak rolling as the sizable favorite against Jeremy Stephens, who is 1-8-1 over his last 10 professional bouts and 0-6-1 in the UFC during that span.
While Stephens has just one UFC fight in the last three and a half years, Green has been going toe-to-toe with legitimate stars like Mauricio Ruffy and Paddy Pimblett.
Green’s the faster, more athletic fighter and averages 6.38 strikes per minute compared to just 3.15 for Stephens. Green can also mix in some wrestling, which he did in his most recent win over Daniel Zellhuber.
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King Green vs Jeremy Stephens best bet: Fight to NOT go the distance (-110)
Green has been open about his strategy for this fight, claiming that he wants to “find out who’s more psycho.” The favorite finished his last fight via knockout and will be more than willing to trade in the pocket.
Six of Green’s last eight bouts have also ended before the final bell, while two of Stephens’ last three UFC fights failed to go the distance.
King Green vs Jeremy Stephens odds
| Method of Victory | Green | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | -450 | +320 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +255 | +370 |
| To win by decision | +120 | +675 |
| To win by submission | +1050 | +3300 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -150 |
Under 2.5 +120 |
Odds as of 5-9.
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King Green vs Jeremy Stephens tale of the tape
| Green | Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Age | 39 |
| 5-foot-10 | Height | 5-foot-9 |
| Lightweight | Weight Class | Lightweight |
| 71 inches | Reach | 71 inches |
| 34-17 | Record | 29-22 |
| 12 | Wins by KO | 19 |
| 9 | Wins by submission | 2 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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