UFC 327 takes Miami by storm with a barrage of light heavyweight fights making up the main lineup.
Tonight's UFC odds feature plenty of quality fights, with several preliminary bouts offering great value.
Here are my best free UFC 327 prelim predictions and free betting picks for Saturday, April 11.
UFC 327 prelim picks and predictions
Fight 1
• Prediction: Gastelum moneyline (-300)
• Best Bet: Gastelum by decision (+180)
Fight 2
• Prediction: Ribovics moneyline (+150)
• Best Bet: Ribovics moneyline (+150)
Fight 3
• Prediction: Brown moneyline (-115)
• Best Bet: Brown to win by KO or decision (+125)
Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.
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UFC 327 prelim odds and picks
Vicente Luque vs. Kelvin Gastelum fight odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Luque | Gastelum |
| To win outright | +225 | -300 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +1300 | +140 |
| To win by decision | +370 | +180 |
| To win by submission | +1600 | +1600 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -150 | Under 2.5 +120 |
Odds as of 4-11.
Kelvin Gastelum may be considered a wasted talent, but Vicente Luque has more miles on the odometer and is coming up to middleweight for this fight.
While Gastelum has motivational issues and his lack of dedication has hampered his development, he’s the bigger man in what will likely be a wrestling battle that goes the distance.
Prediction: Gastelum moneyline (-300 at BET99)
Best Bet: Gastelum by decision (+180 at BET99)
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Gamrot | Ribovics |
| To win outright | -200 | +150 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +950 | +400 |
| To win by decision | -105 | +400 |
| To win by submission | +600 | +2000 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -260 | Under 2.5 +195 |
Odds as of 4-11.
Mateusz Gamrot can make this fight difficult if he can shut Esteban Ribovics down with his grappling, but with so much of Gamrot’s game relying on scrambles, he may not keep Ribovics down as long as he needs to.
We’ve seen Gamrot fare poorly against sharp, technical strikers, and he tends to lose focus and get drawn into brawls. Ribovics’ athleticism and striking will make the difference, and I’m backing him as an underdog.
Prediction: Ribovics moneyline (+150 at BET99)
Best Bet: Ribovics moneyline (+150 at BET99)
Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Holland | Brown |
| To win outright | -115 | -115 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +350 | +675 |
| To win by decision | +380 | +185 |
| To win by submission | +500 | +790 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -150 | Under 2.5 +120 |
Odds as of 4-11.
Kevin Holland can feasibly win this fight, but his insistence on regularly fighting instead of refining his skills has seen him go 3-6 over his last nine fights.
Randy Brown is the more tactical fighter, matching Holland in physical dimensions like height and reach, while also being more defensively aware and harder to take down.
Brown should win by being the superior technical fighter, though he’ll need to stay cautious, as Holland has the tools to score a knockout if he can slow him with leg kicks as Gabriel Bonfim did.
Prediction: Brown moneyline (-115 at BET99)
Best Bet: Brown to win by KO or decision (+125 at BET99)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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