Belal Muhammad makes the first defense of his welterweight title against Jack Della Maddalena, and Valentina Shevchenko puts her flyweight title on the line against Manon Fiorot at UFC 315 from Bell Centre in Montreal.
This championship doubleheader should deliver, but the preliminary card is also loaded with great fights and value picks to boost your weekend winnings.
Here are my best free betting picks and UFC predictions for Saturday, May 10.
UFC 315 prelim picks and predictions
Mike Malott vs. Charles Radtke
• Prediction: Malott moneyline (-175)
• Best Bet: Malott moneyline (-175)
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Jessica Andrade
• Prediction: Jasudavicius moneyline (-320)
• Best Bet: Jasudavicius by decision (+115)
Marc-André Barriault vs. Bruno Silva
• Prediction: Barriault moneyline (-150)
• Best Bet: Fight will not go the distance (-220)
Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.
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UFC 315 prelim odds and picks
Mike Malott vs. Charles Radtke fight odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Malott | Radtke |
| To win outright | -175 | +135 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +260 | +320 |
| To win by decision | +365 | +475 |
| To win by submission | +350 | +1450 |
| Draw | +2500 | +2500 |
Odds as of 5-10.
Some might say that Mike Malott struggles with consistency, though it's more along the lines that he's at his talent ceiling. When matched against fighters of his or lesser caliber, Malott can look well-rounded and has a strong set of submissions as well as a finisher's mentality.
While he didn't look too good in victory over Trevin Giles, he's only two fights removed when Neil Magny picked him apart, and Malott looked like didn't want to be there. Charles Radtke, while talented, is not going to bring that kind of physical or mental pressure on Malott.
Radtke tends to struggle against grapplers, and Malott is also better in the striking department. I'm picking Malott straight up as my pick and best bet while he still hovers below -200.
Prediction: Malott moneyline (-175 at BET99)
Best Bet: Malott moneyline (-175 at BET99)
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Jessica Andrade fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Jasudavicius | Andrade |
| To win outright | -320 | +240 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +575 | +600 |
| To win by decision | +115 | +675 |
| To win by submission | +285 | +1750 |
| Draw | +2500 | +2500 |
Odds as of 5-10.
Don't look now, but Jasmine Jasudavicius is on a four-fight win streak, and she is looking like a real contender. There isn't a better time for her to fight Jessica Andrade than now, especially as Andrade is looking worn out and cannot command her signature power, as we saw when she lost a lopsided decision to Natalia Silva in her last fight.
Jasudavicius' strength and durability will allow her to close the distance and grapple, and Andrade's decreased movement means she'll have to contend with the grappling.
Jasudavicius is scoring takedowns at a high rate during her win streak, and I don't see Andrade having enough left in the tank to keep the fight standing. Jasudavicius should win this fight by decision.
Prediction: Jasudavicius moneyline (-320 at BET99)
Best Bet: Jasudavicius by decision (+115 at BET99)
Marc-André Barriault vs. Bruno Silva fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Barriault | Silva |
| To win outright | -150 | +120 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +205 | +225 |
| To win by decision | +250 | +540 |
| To win by submission | +1400 | +2250 |
| Draw | +2500 | +2500 |
Odds as of 5-10.
These two middleweights are desperate for a win as Marc-André Barriault has lost three in a row and has been stopped twice, whereas Bruno Silva has lost four straight and is on a 1-6 skid.
From a technical standpoint, Barriault is better than Silva in terms of striking ability and conditioning, but his chin is a huge liability, and he will need to crowd Silva from the beginning to prevent him from getting set and throwing bombs.
While Silva is as live as it gets, he's looked terrible and is likely fighting for his contract. Barriault is my pick to win, but I do so cautiously. A better pick to make, and the one I am going with, is that these two have an early night, and that this fight does not go the distance.
Prediction: Barriault moneyline (-150 at BET99)
Best Bet: Fight will not go the distance (-220 at BET99)
Not intended for use in MA.
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