Iga Swiatek earned her first US Open championship a season ago, and she’ll be back to defend her title against a field loaded with talent. Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka have been her top challengers at recent grand slams, but Coco Gauff may be poised to force herself into the discussion this year.
Without further ado, let’s break down the latest US Open odds.
US Open 2023 Women's odds
| Player |  |
|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | +240 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +475 |
| Cori Gauff | +700 |
| Elena Rybakina | +800 |
| Jessica Pegula | +1,000 |
| Karolina Muchova | +2,000 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | +2,000 |
| Ons Jabeur | +2,500 |
| Madison Keys | +5,000 |
| Donna Vekic | +5,000 |
| Maria Sakkari | +5,000 |
| Caroline Garcia | +5,000 |
| Petra Kvitova | +5,000 |
| Elina Svitolina | +5,000 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | +5,000 |
| Paula Badosa | <+6,500> |
Odds as of August 26, 2023.
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US Open 2023 Women's favorites
Who's hot
Iga Swiatek (+240)
Well, she’s certainly not cold. Swiatek has lost at the semifinal stage of the last two tournaments she’s played — both 1000-level events — but she did win the title in Warsaw prior to that and continues to be the cut-and-dry World No. 1. She’s won 11 out of her last 13 matches dating back to her shocking quarterfinal defeat at Wimbledon.
Coco Gauff (+700)
The teenager is playing the best ball of anyone on tour at the moment. She ripped through the field in D.C. to win the Citi Open at the start of the month, and after a tight three-set loss to Jessica Pegula in the Montreal quarters, she toppled Swiatek en route to her first-ever 1000-level title in Cincinnati. When you put it all together, Gauff’s won 11 of her last 12 matches, with the one defeat going down in a 7-5 third set.
Jessica Pegula (+1,000)
The American captured the other 1000-level event in the lead-up to the US Open when she took out Gauff, Swiatek, and Ludmilla Samsonova in Montreal. Fatigue set in the following week in Cincinnati, so her recent record isn’t going to look incredible, but she’s clearly one of the trendiest players heading into the year’s final grand slam.
Who's not
Aryna Sabalenka (+475)
We haven’t seen much of Sabalenka following her collapse in the Wimbledon semifinal against Ons Jabeur. She was bounced after just two matches in Montreal and lost to Karolina Muchova in the Cincinnati semis. While she’s not necessarily on a cold streak, it’s a stretch to say Sabalenka looks poised to make a deep run here.
Elena Rybakina (+800)
Where do we start with Rybakina? Whether it’s a shoulder issue or an illness, it seems like there’s been something the matter with her for the last three months now. We know how dominant she can be with her imposing power, but she’s now lost two of three matches and played very sparingly since her excellent start to the season.
US Open 2023 Women's sleepers
Players to watch
Ludmilla Samsonova (+5,000)
Samsonova turned herself into a cash cow for bettors right around this time last season, and she may be recapturing that same magic right now. She made it all the way to the final of Montreal before getting smoked by Pegula, but while many were quick to read into that result, I’d argue Samsonova was a bit tired after having to play twice in one day.
She’s won eight of her last 11 matches, with one loss to Gauff and two that really can be attributed to fatigue. Well-rested for the US Open, she should make some noise.
Danielle Collins (+6,500)
Collins looked good enough to win this event a year ago before running into Sabalenka, who was arguably bringing the best level of any woman in the field. Even then, the match was a tight three-setter.
She’s not going to be afraid of any challenger in her way, having beaten Swiatek before and having nearly toppled Sabalenka a year ago. Collins still hits one of the biggest balls on tour which makes her a threat with the new and heavier tennis balls that the women will be using this year. I love her as a dark horse again.
Long shots to avoid
Paula Badosa (+6,500)
Badosa hasn’t played tennis in nearly two months and even when she was on the court, her level was not inspiring. The Spaniard remains a clay specialist first and foremost and is just 6-4 on hardcourts all year. She lacks form and also finds herself in a brutal section of the draw.
