Australian Open 2023 Women's Odds, Favorites, Sleepers: Coco's Coronation in Melbourne?

You'd be hard-pressed to find a more dominant figure in sports than Iga Swiatek. The Australian Open betting favorite is looking for her first title in Melbourne, but our women's preview makes the case for a young American.

Last Updated: Jan 13, 2023 12:46 PM ET Read Time: 6 min
Coco Gauff WTA Tennis
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It seems impossible, given the run of dominance she had last season, but Iga Swiatek did not win the Australian Open. She’s still seeking her first title in Melbourne, and a hungry field stands in her way next week.

Unlike last year, though, this field of women won’t have to contend with former World No. 1 Ashleigh Barty, who retired after winning the 2022 Australian Open in her home country. In addition, there are plenty of exciting talents who were able to finally put things together late in the season who should be dangerous next week.

We dive into the Australian Open odds and the field with our 2023 Australian Open women’s betting preview. Be sure to also check out our Australian Open men's preview for more.

Australian Open 2023 Women's odds

Player Odds to win
Iga Swiatek +200
Aryna Sabalenka  +600
Ons Jabeur  +1,200
Caroline Garcia +1,200
Jessica Pegula +1,200
Coco Gauff +1,400
Maria Sakkari  +2,000
Elena Rybakina  +2,000
Liudmila Samsonova  +2,500
Barbora Krejcikova +2,500
Paula Badosa Gibert +2,800
Qinwen Zheng +2,800
Bianca Andreescu +2,800
Danielle Rose Collins +2,800
Amanda Anisimova +3,500
Belinda Bencic +3,500
Emma Raducanu +3,500
Linda Noskova   +3,500
Karolina Pliskova  +4,000
Petra Kvitova  +4,000
Anett Kontaveit +4,000
Madison Keys +4,000
Ekaterina Alexandrova  +4,000
Beatriz Haddad Maia +4,000
Garbine Muguruza +5,000
Victoria Azarenka +5,000
Daria Kasatkina +5,000
Clara Tauson +5,000
Leylah Fernandez +5,000
Petra Martic +5,000
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +5,000
Ajla Tomljanovic +5,000
Jelena Ostapenko +5,000
Marketa Vondrousova +5,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings, as of January 8, 2023.

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Australian Open 2023 Women's favorites

Who's hot

Iga Swiatek (+225)

To be fair, when isn’t Swiatek hot? All she did was go 70-10 last season across all competitions, dominating at the Grand Slams, and started her 2023 campaign 3-1.

Now, the one loss to Jessica Pegula isn’t all that bad, when you consider the close nature of their US Open encounter last season and when you take into account the stakes of the United Cup, which aren’t the highest.

Swiatek may not look quite as dominant as she did last season, but for all intents and purposes, she is still a fully operational death star. She is giving nothing away on the court, making few mistakes, and already has picked up some convincing results over the likes of Belinda Bencic and the red-hot Martina Trevisan.

Aryna Sabalenka (+750)

Sabalenka has long had one of the most exciting games on tour. She has a mammoth serve and can suffocate her opponents with a relentless assault of groundstrokes which she hits hard, and she hits deep into the court.

The issues have been tenfold for the Belarusian. She’s had her fair share of mental hurdles to get over, most recently experiencing the yips on her serve in 2022.

For all the valleys, though, the peaks have been pretty high throughout her career. Last season was a great example of this, as we watched her not only get over her issues on serve but power her way to the semifinals of the US Open.

Sabalenka capitalized on that momentum with a trip to the final of the WTA Finals and came out this season and won four matches last week to capture the title in Adelaide. She’s poised for another big run at a Grand Slam.

Jessica Pegula (+1,200)

Pegula’s counter-punching style is perfectly suited for fast hardcourts like these in Australia, so it should come as no surprise that she’s arguably the hottest name in the women’s draw.

The American started her season with a tight loss to former World No. 1 Petra Kvitova at last week’s Unite Cup only to rattle off four consecutive victories to help the United States take home the title at the first-year event. One of those wins was in straight sets over Swiatek, and the scoreline wasn’t particularly close, either.

Pegula is now up to No. 3 in the world, and that’s probably not even doing her justice at the moment. She is, without a doubt, the second-best player in the world.

Coco Gauff (+1,600)

Gauff has already joined the pursuit of the No. 1 spot in the world, ranking inside the Top 10, and her first-ever Grand Slam title is surely just around the corner.

The American’s biggest pitfall has been her weak forehand swing, and she’s also struggled at times on quicker surfaces. Even with those holes in her game, though, she’s been able to make the finals of a Grand Slam and achieve some pretty fantastic feats for an 18-year-old.

Well, you’d never know she had any flaws if you started watching her in 2023. Gauff Won five straight matches in Auckland last week to take home her third career trophy, and she did so without dropping a set.

The forehand looks cleaner, and Gauff seems to be handling the quick conditions just fine. I think she’s my favorite bet to win it all.

Who's not

Ons Jabeur (+1,400)

Jabeur had one of the best seasons of any woman last year, but after her loss to Iga Swiatek in the 2022 US Open final she seemed to taper off. Her trip to Monastir was ended by Claire Liu, of all people, in the quarterfinals, and she lost two matches at the WTA Finals in the round-robin stage.

This season has begun rather unassumingly for the World No. 2 as well. We watched as she struggled a bit through two wins and then saw her lose to 18-year-old Linda Noskova.

Jabeur could certainly turn things around here in Melbourne with the court speeds playing to her liking, but it’s been many months since she seemed like a real force.

Australian 2023 Women's sleepers

Players to watch

Danielle Collins (+4,000)

Collins has yet to really sustain a level of dominance given her sparse schedule, but if you look at last season she really doesn’t need to.

The American reached the final of the 2022 Australian Open in spectacular fashion by defeating the likes of Iga Swiatek, Alize Cornet, and Elise Mertens, and again at the US Open looked to be on the path to the final with a pretty dazzling level of tennis.

Collins competes harder than arguably anyone on tour and has looked like a new tennis player for the better part of a year and a half. Mentally and physically, she should have what it takes to make another semifinal here.

Sofia Kenin (+20,000)

Look, when Sofia Kenin won the Australian Open back in 2020 it seemed like it was a long time coming. She’d won three titles in 2019 and was one of the hardest players to beat in the world.

It sure doesn’t feel like that now, given that Kenin has slipped outside of the Top 200 in the world and had two seasons from hell which saw her play just a handful of matches.

This year has been going a bit better for the former Aussie Open champion. She has already picked up four wins in Australia and gave Gauff a pretty good fight in Auckland. It seems she’s been training hard and has gotten her game back to a decent level, and out of all the long shots at +6,000 or longer you’d be hard-pressed to find one with a higher ceiling, and one with more motivation. 

Crazier things have happened.

Long-shots to avoid

Ludmilla Samsonova (+4,000)

Samsonova was a cash cow in the summer and fall of 2022, but it seems her momentum has slowed just a bit. She suffered two defeats in her final four matches of the year and has opened up 2023 with two losses in three matches. On top of that, her one win came against Shai Zhang, and it took three grueling sets.

I just don’t think Samsonova has that same magic this year, and for that reason, I’m staying away. It’s always tough to read players’ form at the beginning of the season, however, so take this with a grain of salt.

Emma Raducanu (+8,000)

I think it’s safe to say now that the 2021 season was a flash in the pan for Raducanu. Sure, she is talented, and she could very well hang around in the Top 100 for many years to come, but the thought of her winning a Grand Slam many times over just seems far-fetched.

Raducanu is down to No. 75 in the world and actually had a losing record last season. This year, she was able to win one three-set match before retiring from her next one with an ankle injury.

The British sensation is not a player you want to be spending your money on at the moment, and you’re going to want to really wait until you see some promising signs before you do it again. She’s far too erratic and now she’s got to deal with an injury.

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