French Open 2023 Women's Final Odds and Predictions: Swiatek Sweats It Out

Muchova's run through the French Open has been entertaining, but Swiatek should end her Cinderella story. Swiatek is a huge favorite, but there's still a way to make decent money wagering here, as our tennis betting picks explain.

Last Updated: Jun 9, 2023 6:55 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Iga Swiatek Women's Tennis French Open
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We’ve come to the finals of Roland Garros on the women’s side, and with one heavy favorite comes one feisty underdog.

Iga Swiatek is all but certain to lift the trophy in Paris for a third time, but the route in which she’ll get there over Karolina Muchova is very much in question. 

Let’s take a look at how to bet Saturday’s final in our French Open picks and predictions.

French Open Women's Final picks and predictions

Click on each prediction to read full analysis.

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Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova odds and picks

(1) Iga Swiatek Karolina Muchova
-900 Moneyline +600
-5.5 (-125) Game spread +5.5 (+105)
Over 18.5 (-140) Total games Under 18.5 (+115)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on June 9, 2023.

Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova match prediction

It’s been a great, improbable run to the final for Muchova. She came back from match point down at 2-5 in the third to beat Aryna Sabalenka, one of the best players in the world. She took out World No. 8 Maria Sakkari in the first round. She’s playing some splendid tennis and dictating from the back of the court.

With that being said, she’s about to face a much more difficult opponent than she’s faced all tournament. Iga Swiatek is making quick work of just about everyone right now, and despite an incredible push from Beatriz Haddad Maia, managed to come through her sixth straight match without dropping a set.

Muchova lacks the weapons of Swiatek and certainly won’t win this match.

Prediction: Swiatek moneyline (-900 at DraftKings)

Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova best bet

These two have met twice in their careers, and both were more than two years ago. They were at exhibition events, and Muchova took both in three sets.

While this doesn’t mean that Muchova will be victorious, or even close to victory, it does mean that she’s very familiar with Swiatek’s game. Having the experience of facing the World No. 1 in the past should help her to at least make this a match.

Swiatek had to save an incredible amount of break points in her win over Haddad Maia and has lost two finals already this clay season. Muchova is solid enough from the back of the court to hold serve and eventually cash this over.

Best bet: Over 18.5 (-135 at DraftKings)

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