Djokovic vs Shapovalov Picks for Wimbledon Men's Semifinal

Novak Djokovic is one step away from vying for a 20th major title at Wimbledon. Standing in his way is Denis Shapovalov, who may be outclassed against one of the best ever. Find out your best bets for this match with our Wimbledon men's semifinal picks.

Tennis Insiders
Posted: Jul 8, 2021 10:45 AM ET Updated: Jul 8, 2021 10:45 AM ET Est Time: 3 min
Novak Djokovic Wimbledon's men's semifinal
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With the defeat of Roger Federer in the quarterfinal, Novak Djokovic is the only major winner still in the draw, and is now an even hotter favorite to claim a 20th major crown. Matteo Berrettini is the only other player with semi-final experience at this level, as Denis Shapovalov & Miami Masters champion Hubert Hurkacz enter the final four for the first time. 

Covers Experts' resident tennis expert Tennis Insiders breaks down this Novak Djokovic vs. Denis Shapovalov match with our Wimbledon men’s semifinal picks.  

Wimbledon men's semifinal betting preview

Novak Djokovic betting breakdown

Djokovic continued his Wimbledon campaign with a relatively straightforward victory against Marton Fucsovics in the quarterfinal, his performances haven’t been amazing, but as we’ve so often seen in past slams, Djokovic can quickly ramp up the gears when a challenge presents itself. 

Denis Shapovalov betting breakdown

Shapovalov is thriving in the second week, with the grass harder and conditions slightly slower, allowing him more time on his groundstrokes. Shapovalov’s shot selection has often been his undoing, as he has the ability to strike winners from anywhere in the court, but patience and point construction will be essential. His ball toss can also be erratic, and he needs to be zoned-in from the start, any serving miscues will be pounced upon by Djokovic.

Wimbledon men's semifinal matchup preview

Djokovic leads the head-to-head 6-0, with Shapovalov winning just two sets out of fifteen. Shapovalov’s best chance against Djokovic arguably comes in slower, higher-bouncing conditions, Djokovic’s ability to absorb pace and his ridiculously accurate backhand are extremely difficult obstacles for Shapovalov to overcome, especially Djokovic’s flat backhand, which will stay low and potentially upset the timing on Shapovalov’s groundstrokes. Shapovalov needs the best serving performance of his career against the greatest returner of all time.

Wimbledon men's semifinal picks

  • Novak Djokovic Over 4.5 Breaks of Serve +137
  • Over 0.5 Tiebreaks -120 

Popular Content

Covers Contests Icon

Free Contests

Test your handicapping skills for a chance to win over $200,000 in prizes
Play free contests
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo