NHL Picks

Free NHL Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 5, 2026

Buffalo Sabres logo BUF @ Pittsburgh Penguins logo PIT Thu, Mar 5 • 7:00 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Shots On Goal
Ben Kindel logo Ben Kindel o2.5 Shots On Goal (+135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ben Kindel is centering Pittsburgh’s top line without Sidney Crosby in the lineup. He has taken full advantage of the opportunity, averaging 3.8 shots on 6.3 attempts over four games.

Kindel has logged 17+ minutes in two of the last three, well above his season average of 15:24. More opportunity equals more shots on goal.

Points
Erik Karlsson logo Erik Karlsson o0.5 Points (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Karlsson has notched five goals and 34 assists in ‘25-26, and he’s cashed the Over in three straight. During that three-game stretch, he’s scored a goal, registered two helpers against the Vegas Golden Knights, while also setting up another goal against the New York Rangers over the weekend. 

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Toronto Maple Leafs logo TOR @ New York Rangers logo NYR Thu, Mar 5 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Shots On Goal
Auston Matthews logo Auston Matthews o3.5 Shots On Goal (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Matthews has gone Over this line in back-to-back games, registering 14 shots across his last two outings. Additionally, Matthews is averaging 3.76 shots per game throughout his career against New York. 

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Tampa Bay Lightning logo TB @ Winnipeg Jets logo WIN Thu, Mar 5 • 8:00 PM ET
3 Expert Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Lightning logo Winnipeg Jets logo u5.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Winnipeg has multiple key players injured and has only scored 11 times across four games out of the Olympic break. A date with Lightning won’t help the Jets score, either. Tampa Bay has allowed the second-fewest goals per game (2.64) and third-fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at five-on-five, after all.

Goals Scored
Nikita Kucherov logo Nikita Kucherov o0.5 Goals Scored (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Kucherov has scored in three of his last four games since the league hit pause for the Winter Olympics. While the Bolts haven’t faced the Winnipeg Jets yet this season, Kucherov has potted 19 goals in 28 road games, and Tampa is in Manitoba this evening to take on the Jets. 

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Ottawa Senators logo OTT @ Calgary Flames logo CAL Thu, Mar 5 • 9:00 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Spread
Ottawa Senators logo OTT -1.5 (+155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Flames are 3-6-3 since trading defenseman Rasmus Andersson to the Vegas Golden Knights, while the Senators are 7-3-2 during the same stretch. Ottawa also ranks third in expected goals percentage at five-on-five with an overall plus-12 goal differential during the run, and Calgary respectively checks in 17th in xGF% with a minus-14 mark.

Assists
Tim Stutzle logo Tim Stutzle o0.5 Assists (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Stutzle has cashed the Over in helpers in three straight contests. During that span, he has four assists. Despite a loss to the Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday, he did his part, registering a pair of helpers. The Sens are visiting the Calgary Flames tonight, and Stutzle has already notched an assist against them this season in one meeting. 

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New York Islanders logo NYI @ Los Angeles Kings logo LA Thu, Mar 5 • 9:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total
New York Islanders logo Los Angeles Kings logo u5.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The New York Islanders sit tied for 4th in goals allowed per game, leading to low-scoring contests – particularly against sound defensive teams like the Kings. Isolating matchups with Top-10 goal suppression teams, the Islanders have played 10 straight games featuring five goals or fewer.

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