Bruins vs Senators Picks & Props

Jake Sanderson was a point machine at home last year, hitting the scoresheet in 72% of his appearances. He's just one for five to start this year but ranks 2nd on the team in shot attempts at home, indicating he's plenty involved in the offense. He has a nice matchup against a Bruins team giving up 3.5 goals per game on the year.

The Bruins are averaging 27.5 shots per game, and I don’t think the Senators can maintain allowing just 24.7 per night moving forward, so I'm viewing this as a low total. Merilainen had a disastrous start in his season debut, but he was solid in limited action last season with a .925 save percentage, 1.99 GAA and 5.65 goals saved above expected across 12 appearances.

Because the Senators have allowed the fewest shot attempts per 60 minutes at five-on-five and third-fewest shots per game, we’re landing a great number on Pastrnak in this market. He’s recorded four or more shots in six of his past eight games and is the go-to shooter on the No. 1 power-play unit. Of course, Pastrnak also ranks fifth in shot attempts per 60 minutes to start the season.

The Bruins and Senators have, respectively, scored the second and third-most goals in the Atlantic Division. The only team to allow more goals than either team in the NHL is San Jose. Ottawa is coming off a 7-1 win over Washington and has seen 6+ goals in six of its nine games.