Los Angeles Rams

2nd in NFC West (5 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 2 16:05 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Puka Nacua Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams

Puka Nacua
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.69
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.69
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate. The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 140.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume. While Puka Nacua has garnered 17.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's pass game near the end zone this week at 26.3%. Puka Nacua has totaled significantly more air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

Puka Nacua

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.69

The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate. The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 140.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume. While Puka Nacua has garnered 17.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's pass game near the end zone this week at 26.3%. Puka Nacua has totaled significantly more air yards this year (97.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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