Los Angeles Rams

Picks

I’m taking my Week 9 big swing indoors, and it’s definitely not with the Saints’ offense. The Rams are coming off a bye, and the last time bettors saw them, they were spreading the ball around to every tight end on the roster. Colby Parkinson played nearly 50% of the snaps and caught all three of his targets for 47 yards. In comparison, Tyler Higbee—priced in the +300s—played just 37% of the snaps and totaled only 19 yards. Parkinson has also carved out a role in the red zone. Over the Rams’ last four games, he’s matched Higbee in red-zone targets. The Rams’ tight end situation is messy, which makes it the perfect spot to take a shot on a long-odds touchdown scorer.

Los Angeles’ defense has been exceptional in recent games, giving up scores of only three, seven, 20, and 23 in the past four. The Rams are tied for the third-fewest yards allowed per play (4.7) and are the top red-zone defense in TD rate (40%). The New Orleans Saints offense is a mess. Quarterback Spencer Rattler was given the hook for rookie Tyler Shough in the loss to Tampa Bay in Week 7, in which NOLA managed a measly field goal. New Orleans is the least explosive attack and has cracked the 20-point plateau only twice in its eight games. As for the Saints defense, it’s better than it looks on the surface. New Orleans checked Tampa Bay to just 212 yards this Sunday and is surprisingly stout in the red zone, holding its last four foes to a collective 6-for-14 in terms of TD success inside the 20-yard line. If you wonder about this Under, grab it now on the right side of the key O/U number of 44.