Los Angeles Rams

3rd in NFC West (11 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

Mon, Dec 29 20:15 ET

LA @ ATL Picks

NFL Picks
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Atlanta Falcons logo ATL +8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Falcons aren’t going to the tournament but continue to battle with veteran QB Kirk Cousins under center. Atlanta has won back-to-back road games and Monday will be just its second homestand in the past six weeks. 

Los Angeles is a much stiffer test defensively than the Falcons’ recent foes but this team has a bevy of offensive weapons, especially with the return of WR Drake London, and head coach Raheem Morris could be coaching for his job on MNF.

This spread opened Atlanta +7.5 and jumped to +8.5, which is an underrated key number in football betting. I like the fight in the Falcons enough to take the pile of points with the home side.

Score a Touchdown
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -115)
Projection 0.78 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. With a high 9.3% Red Zone Target% (76th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
Passing Completions
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o20.5 Passing Completions (-119)
Projection 24.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
Passing Completions
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o21.5 Passing Completions (-117)
Projection 24.74 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Atlanta's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Passing Attempts
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o33.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
Projection 37.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1.
Passing Attempts
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o33.5 Passing Attempts (-117)
Projection 36.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
Passing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o224.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 275.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o273.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 305.69 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . With an outstanding tally of 254.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
Interceptions Thrown
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-115)
Projection 0.39 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.. Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Falcons, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.2 per game) this year.. The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. In averaging a lowly 0.32 interceptions per game this year, Matthew Stafford places among the best QBs in the league (86th percentile).
Receiving Yards
Drake London logo
Drake London o62.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 94.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -8-point underdog in this week's game.. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
Receiving Yards
Colby Parkinson logo
Colby Parkinson o31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 46.91 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Rams to run the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. This week, Colby Parkinson is predicted by the model to place in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.. While Colby Parkinson has garnered 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's game at 18.0%.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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66% picking L.A. Rams

66%
34%

Total Picks LA 248, ATL 126

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LA
ATL
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69% picking L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over

69%
31%

Total PicksLA 177, ATL 79

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'SUNIN65' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

SUNIN65 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +7150 units on the season.

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Under
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'ljsjr' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.0)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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LA
ATL
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'SUNIN65' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

SUNIN65 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +7150 units on the season.

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LA
ATL
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'ljsjr' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Under (49.5)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Blondie69' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.5)

Blondie69 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-7-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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ATL
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'Blondie69' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Under (48.5)

Blondie69 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-7-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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Under
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'plasma9' is picking Atlanta to cover (+8.0)

plasma9 is #2 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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LA
ATL
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'chuluckus' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

chuluckus is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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LA
ATL
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'chuluckus' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Under (48.5)

chuluckus is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

1003008gl is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +6100 units on the season.

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LA
ATL
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'1003008gl' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

1003008gl is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (10-4-1) and +6100 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'timstutler25' picks L.A. Rams vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

timstutler25 is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'timstutler25' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.0)

timstutler25 is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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LA
ATL
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