Los Angeles Rams

3rd in NFC West (2 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Mon, Oct 12 20:15 ET

BUF @ LA Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail o54.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Bills' defense is a laughingstock right now as new defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard struggles to get his new scheme figured out. Drake Maye and the Patriots just put up 405 yards in Orchard Park and went 3-for-3 in the red zone. The only team not to put up 25+ points against this Buffalo defense was the Chargers, who forced five turnovers and still converted 50% of their third downs. Matthew Stafford has completed 61 passes over the last two games against legitimate defenses in Philadelphia and Denver. LA might score 40 points on Monday. The Rams' defense just allowed 20 points to a no-name Philly offense that went 0-for-12 on third downs and managed just 10 passing yards in the second half. The only team not to score 20+ against them was the Giants, who lost Jaxson Dart early. Josh Allen's efficiency indoors is off the charts, and I love both QBs to keep this game alive in a negative game script and help backdoor the Over if need be.

Spread
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF +3.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Bills are 7-1 ATS following a straight-up regular-season loss dating back to October 2024. The biggest news on this spread is the move across the 3, from 2.5 to 3.5, on Thursday afternoon. DJ Moore is very questionable, and Aaron Donald is expected to play, but I'm not sure that's enough to move the number through a key number. That suggests there was likely respected money on the Rams at -2.5. I'll take Josh Allen indoors laying three points or more in any game, in any setting. The Bills covered a 7.5-point spread in a game with five turnovers. They have yet to play their best football, and the Rams haven't been overly impressive through four weeks. They just won 24-20 against an Eagles team that converted zero third downs, while Jalen Hurts threw for just 10 yards in the second half. Allen has covered in each of his last three regular-season games as an underdog dating back to the last two calendar years.

Anytime Touchdown
Josh Allen logo Josh Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes: -116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

In his nine indoor games, Josh Allen's numbers are insane. His passer rating is 14 points higher, but his rushing numbers really stand out. He has 12 rushing touchdowns in those nine games and averages 43 rushing yards per game. One of those performances was a three-TD, 82-yard rushing game at SoFi Stadium in 2024 against this Rams defense, in a game that saw both teams score 40+ points. Even if you can't get behind the indoor splits, how about a quarterback who has scored a TD in every game this year, has multiple rushing TDs in 75% of his games, and has more carries inside the 5-yard line than all but seven players in the league? James Cook might outtouch Allen in the red zone, 13-10, but from the five and in, it's the Allen show, with six carries to Cook's four. It's an indoor prime-time game against the reigning MVP. Josh Allen is going to show up and find the end zone. The fair price for this TD in a 54.5-point total should be 59.5%.

Spread
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail LA -3.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

After a brutal travel schedule, the Rams finally get home with an extra day to prepare for a sloppy Buffalo team that's had seven turnovers in their last two games. The defensive gap is massive. Buffalo ranks 29th in opponent explosive play rate and is allowing 26.8 PPG. Against a healthy Rams offense with three straight 400-yard games, there's potential for the Bills defense to get embarrassed. Expect L.A. to get more stops and cover the number. 

Passing Touchdowns
Josh Allen logo Josh Allen o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Josh Allen’s passing TD props come at a discount because of how dangerous the Bills QB is as a runner in the red zone. With the tallest total on the board for Buffalo’s trip to L.A., Allen’s TD pass projections are very positive. Those models range from 1.4 to 1.84 with majority at 1.6 or higher. Allen has only one passing TD in the last two games after 2 and 3 strikes in the opening two outings. His passing stats get a boost in rare indoor games and he’ll let if fly on MNF. 

Anytime Touchdown
Dalton Kincaid logo Dalton Kincaid Score a Touchdown (Yes: +210)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

There is meat on the bone for a Dalton Kincaid TD that opened at 3.2x, and I have a fair price of 2.8x. Kincaid has been ignored too much over the last two weeks as the Bills have moved away from their heavy-TE usage and used play-action at a lower rate. Let's hope a Week 4 loss to New England pushes Joe Brady back toward the 13-personnel usage we saw in Weeks 1 and 2, when Kincaid had 225 receiving yards and a score. It's a great buy-low spot on the tight end after he has just three receptions over the last two weeks. Buffalo has played bad football over the last two games, and getting Kincaid the ball has to be a priority in what could be an indoor shootout.

Anytime Touchdown
Josh Allen logo Josh Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes: -116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Josh Allen is trading at 49% on Kalshi to score a touchdown, and I’ll hit the button at that number, as I price Allen closer to 56% to find the end zone on Monday Night Football against the Los Angeles Rams. With Trent McDuffie on the perimeter and Quentin Lake matching up against Dalton Kincaid in the red zone, Joe Brady could have a few more designed runs in the playbook against the Rams. Los Angeles matches up well defensively with the Bills’ other red-zone targets, which could create more opportunities for Allen to use his legs near the goal line.

2 LEG PARLAY
Matthew Stafford profile picture
Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Josh Allen profile picture
Josh Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Bet now
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

It's the fifth week of trying the double quarterback TD, and I'm not getting off it now. Josh Allen already has seven rushing TDs this year and is nearly a coin flip to find the end zone again on Monday. Matthew Stafford is the tougher leg to hit. The solace here is that THE BLITZ has Stafford's TD as the best +EV TD prop in this game. He's currently 17/1 to score but should be priced closer to 12/1. Stafford does have a QB sneak in the playbook at the goal line, and the Bills just got gashed by Drake Maye on the ground. It's a long shot for a reason, but I'm playing the long game on Monday night. A 54.5-point total has me excited this week, as both offenses should get 4+ red-zone trips each.

Passing Yards
Josh Allen logo
Josh Allen o245.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 267.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o280.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 291.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.4. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.
Rushing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o1.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Projection 4.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. Matthew Stafford has rushed for significantly more yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (4.0).. With a fantastic rate of 6.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (77th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the best running QBs in the league since the start of last season.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Receiving Yards
Colby Parkinson logo
Colby Parkinson o16.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 26.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. The model projects Colby Parkinson to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Khalil Shakir logo
Khalil Shakir o46.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 59.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. In this contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.
Receiving Yards
James Cook III logo
James Cook III o11.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 16.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects James Cook to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Receiving Yards
Dalton Kincaid logo
Dalton Kincaid o50.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Projection 58.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Receiving Yards
Puka Nacua logo
Puka Nacua o90.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 97.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. In this game, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the model to rank in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.6 targets.
Receptions Made
Khalil Shakir logo
Khalil Shakir o4.5 Receptions Made (+106)
Projection 5.24 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. In this contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.
Passing Attempts
Josh Allen logo
Josh Allen o31.5 Passing Attempts (-122)
Projection 34.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

53% picking Buffalo

53%
47%

Total Picks BUF 396, LA 354

Spread
BUF
LA
Total

71% picking Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over

71%
29%

Total PicksBUF 363, LA 149

Total
Over
Under

BUF @ LA · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -3.5 spread
-5.56 PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
16.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-5.56 PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
16.02% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +102
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Over 54.5 Total
55.97 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
9.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Over 54.5 Total

PROJECTION

55.97 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
9.31% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o54.0 -112
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o245.5 Passing Yards
267.77 OVER PROJECTION
+22.3 DIFFERENCE
25.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o245.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

267.77 OVER PROJECTION
+22.3 DIFFERENCE
25.19% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

o241.5 -115
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o280.5 Passing Yards
291.32 OVER PROJECTION
+10.8 DIFFERENCE
22.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o280.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

291.32 OVER PROJECTION
+10.8 DIFFERENCE
22.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.4. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

o276.5 -113
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o1.5 Rushing Yards
4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o1.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. Matthew Stafford has rushed for significantly more yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (4.0).. With a fantastic rate of 6.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (77th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the best running QBs in the league since the start of last season.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

o0.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards
26.77 OVER PROJECTION
+10.3 DIFFERENCE
26.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.77 OVER PROJECTION
+10.3 DIFFERENCE
26.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. The model projects Colby Parkinson to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).

o15.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o46.5 Receiving Yards
59.84 OVER PROJECTION
+13.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o46.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

59.84 OVER PROJECTION
+13.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. In this contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.

o45.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards
16.20 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
25.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.20 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
25.71% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects James Cook to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

o9.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o50.5 Receiving Yards
58.15 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o50.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

58.15 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

o50.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards
97.41 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

97.41 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. In this game, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the model to rank in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.6 targets.

o90.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o19.5 Receiving Yards
20.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o19.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

20.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Los Angeles Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.5 plays per game.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Kyren Williams's 44.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a material boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 15.0 mark.

o19.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. In this contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.

o4.5 +106
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

o4.5 +124
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.22 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.22 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects James Cook to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

o1.5 -122
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Kyren Williams's 5.4 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 1.8 rate.

o2.5 -140
theScore Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts
34.86 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.86 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

o31.5 -118
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
23.15 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
21.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.15 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
21.01% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

o19.5 -235
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions
23.57 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
2.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.57 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
2.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

o22.5 -113
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

+2000
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. Khalil Shakir has posted quite a few more air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

+260
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Los Angeles Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.5 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

-160
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. The model projects Puka Nacua to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this contest (23.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.1% in games he has played).

-120
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.01% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the end zone in this week's contest (18.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

+205
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

-115
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Colby Parkinson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

+280
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. While James Cook has been responsible for 56.5% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Buffalo's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 42.8%.

-115
theScore Bet logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17% EV

ANALYSIS

The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills this year (a measly 52.5 per game on average).. The Bills O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

u0.5 +105
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.48% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.

u0.5 -108
FanDuel logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -3.5 spread
-5.56 PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
16.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-5.56 PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
16.02% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +102
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Over 54.5 Total
55.97 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
9.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Over 54.5 Total

PROJECTION

55.97 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
9.31% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o54.0 -112
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o245.5 Passing Yards
267.77 OVER PROJECTION
+22.3 DIFFERENCE
25.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o245.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

267.77 OVER PROJECTION
+22.3 DIFFERENCE
25.19% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

o241.5 -115
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o280.5 Passing Yards
291.32 OVER PROJECTION
+10.8 DIFFERENCE
22.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o280.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

291.32 OVER PROJECTION
+10.8 DIFFERENCE
22.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.4. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

o276.5 -113
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o1.5 Rushing Yards
4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o1.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. Matthew Stafford has rushed for significantly more yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (4.0).. With a fantastic rate of 6.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (77th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the best running QBs in the league since the start of last season.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

o0.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards
26.77 OVER PROJECTION
+10.3 DIFFERENCE
26.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.77 OVER PROJECTION
+10.3 DIFFERENCE
26.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. The model projects Colby Parkinson to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).

o15.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o46.5 Receiving Yards
59.84 OVER PROJECTION
+13.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o46.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

59.84 OVER PROJECTION
+13.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. In this contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.

o45.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards
16.20 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
25.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.20 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
25.71% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects James Cook to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

o9.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o50.5 Receiving Yards
58.15 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o50.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

58.15 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

o50.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards
97.41 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

97.41 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. In this game, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the model to rank in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.6 targets.

o90.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o19.5 Receiving Yards
20.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o19.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

20.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Los Angeles Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.5 plays per game.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Kyren Williams's 44.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a material boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 15.0 mark.

o19.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. In this contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.

o4.5 +106
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

o4.5 +124
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.22 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.22 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The predictive model expects James Cook to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

o1.5 -122
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Kyren Williams's 5.4 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 1.8 rate.

o2.5 -140
theScore Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts
34.86 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.86 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

o31.5 -118
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
23.15 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
21.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.15 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
21.01% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

o19.5 -235
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions
23.57 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
2.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.57 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
2.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

o22.5 -113
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5. . The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

+2000
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. Khalil Shakir has posted quite a few more air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

+260
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Los Angeles Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.5 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.

-160
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. The model projects Puka Nacua to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this contest (23.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.1% in games he has played).

-120
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.01% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the end zone in this week's contest (18.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

+205
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.55 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

-115
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Colby Parkinson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

+280
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.63% EV

ANALYSIS

A passing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the model to call 65.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower rush volume.. While James Cook has been responsible for 56.5% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Buffalo's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 42.8%.

-115
theScore Bet logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17% EV

ANALYSIS

The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills this year (a measly 52.5 per game on average).. The Bills O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

u0.5 +105
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.48% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.

u0.5 -108
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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Rak2012' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

Rak2012 is #2 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Rak2012' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over (54.5)

Rak2012 is #2 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'muna624' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-3.0)

muna624 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'muna624' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over (54.5)

muna624 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'vwebb57' is picking Buffalo to cover (+2.5)

vwebb57 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'vwebb57' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Under (53.5)

vwebb57 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'AMOZONS' is picking Buffalo to cover (+3.0)

AMOZONS is #6 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'AMOZONS' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over (53.5)

AMOZONS is #6 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Under (53.5)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' is picking Buffalo to cover (+3.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'LaQuora28' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over (53.5)

LaQuora28 is #7 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'LaQuora28' is picking Buffalo to cover (+2.5)

LaQuora28 is #7 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'hootmans' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over (53.5)

hootmans is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'hootmans' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

hootmans is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'Wolfie7' is picking Buffalo to cover (+2.5)

Wolfie7 is #8 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'Wolfie7' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Over (54.5)

Wolfie7 is #8 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'snuggles' is picking Buffalo to cover (+2.5)

snuggles is #9 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'snuggles' picks Buffalo vs L.A. Rams to go Under (53.5)

snuggles is #9 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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