Los Angeles Chargers

1st in AFC West (4 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kimani Vidal Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Kimani Vidal
K. Vidal
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.76
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.76
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 9th-most in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

Kimani Vidal

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.76
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.76

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 9th-most in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

All Matchup props

Jonathan Taylor Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Jonathan Taylor
J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.82
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.82
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (11.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played). When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 56.7% to 90.9%. Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 80th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 0.14 per game.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.82

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (11.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played). When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 56.7% to 90.9%. Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 80th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 0.14 per game.

All Matchup props

Tyler Warren Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Tyler Warren
T. Warren
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.45
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.45
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DT corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Tyler Warren

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.45
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.45

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DT corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo