Los Angeles Chargers

4th in AFC West (0 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 4 16:25 ET

LAC @ SEA Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Omarion Hampton logo Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown (Yes: +124)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Hampton's anytime TD is playable up to 50%. He's posted a 52% rushing success rate with two touchdowns, and I'm expecting the Chargers offense to bounce back, giving its lead back opportunities to finish drives near the goal line.

Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert logo Justin Herbert o19.5 Rushing Yards (-132)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Herbert's rushing prop is playable to 22+ yards. Seattle's elite pass rush should force him out of the pocket, while a likely negative game script could produce more hero ball. He's cleared 21 yards in 13 of his last 20 games.

Total
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail o42.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

The Over is playable up to 44.5. I'm buying low on a Herbert-McDaniel offense that ranks 31st in EPA per play. Seattle can carry the scoring, and I only need Los Angeles to reach the low 20s in my 26-21 projection.

Anytime Touchdown
AJ Barner logo AJ Barner Score a Touchdown (Yes: +275)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

AJ Barner has four TDs over his last 10 games and was as short as 3.1x in the playoffs last year. Now that the Seahawks can't run the ball, Barner's scoring role is better than it was in the postseason. He leads all Seahawks with an 85% snap share on the season, runs the second-most routes (71%), and has a tush-push role on the goal line and in short yardage, which might be needed this week after the running backs gained one yard on three RZ carries last week. The injuries to Jadarian Price (LP) and George Holani (LP) only help.

3 LEG PARLAY
Omarion Hampton profile picture
Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
o42.5
Total
Justin Herbert profile picture
Justin Herbert o19.5 Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

This combo is built around a Chargers offensive bounce-back. More Los Angeles scoring supports the Over and Hampton finding the end zone, while Seattle's elite pass rush and a potential negative game script should create scrambling opportunities for Herbert.

Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o197.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 212.12 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. With a fantastic record of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.
Passing Yards
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o232.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 244.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. Sam Darnold's passing efficiency has improved this year, notching 10.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.17 mark last year.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Rushing Yards
Omarion Hampton logo
Omarion Hampton o46.5 Rushing Yards (-107)
Projection 62.43 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers have been the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.1% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).
Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o21.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 30.78 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers have been the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.1% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. In this game, Justin Herbert is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 9th-most carries among all QBs with 5.2. . Justin Herbert isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 14.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.. With an excellent rate of 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert has been as one of the leading rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Emanuel Wilson logo
Emanuel Wilson o48.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 59.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. In this week's contest, Emanuel Wilson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.. While Emanuel Wilson has garnered 36.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's ground game in this week's contest at 54.8%.
Rushing Yards
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o4.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 8.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.
Receiving Yards
Emanuel Wilson logo
Emanuel Wilson o4.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 10.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
While Emanuel Wilson has been responsible for 1.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense in this game at 6.5%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Oronde Gadsden logo
Oronde Gadsden o23.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 36.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Omarion Hampton logo
Omarion Hampton o5.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Projection 9.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. The Seahawks defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (33.0) to running backs since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
AJ Barner logo
AJ Barner o28.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 34.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

50% picking L.A. Chargers

50%
50%

Total Picks LAC 665, SEA 669

Spread
LAC
SEA
Total

44% picking L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under

56%
44%

Total PicksLAC 461, SEA 358

Total
Over
Under

LAC @ SEA · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.0 spread
5.22 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.0 spread

PROJECTION

5.22 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+7.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Over 42.5 Total
44.30 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Over 42.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.30 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.51% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o42.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o197.5 Passing Yards
212.12 OVER PROJECTION
+14.6 DIFFERENCE
22.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o197.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

212.12 OVER PROJECTION
+14.6 DIFFERENCE
22.99% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. With a fantastic record of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.

o197.5 -114
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards
244.84 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
20.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

244.84 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
20.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. Sam Darnold's passing efficiency has improved this year, notching 10.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.17 mark last year.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o232.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o46.5 Rushing Yards
62.43 OVER PROJECTION
+15.9 DIFFERENCE
26.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o46.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.43 OVER PROJECTION
+15.9 DIFFERENCE
26.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers have been the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.1% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).

o42.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o21.5 Rushing Yards
30.78 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
26.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o21.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

30.78 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
26.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers have been the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.1% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. In this game, Justin Herbert is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 9th-most carries among all QBs with 5.2. . Justin Herbert isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 14.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.. With an excellent rate of 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert has been as one of the leading rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.

o19.5 -125
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o48.5 Rushing Yards
59.95 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o48.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

59.95 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. In this week's contest, Emanuel Wilson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.. While Emanuel Wilson has garnered 36.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's ground game in this week's contest at 54.8%.

o45.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o4.5 Rushing Yards
8.52 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
25.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o4.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

8.52 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
25.09% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

o4.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards
10.23 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
26.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

10.23 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
26.17% EV

ANALYSIS

While Emanuel Wilson has been responsible for 1.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense in this game at 6.5%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o4.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards
36.41 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

36.41 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o23.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards
9.84 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
25.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

9.84 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
25.6% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. The Seahawks defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (33.0) to running backs since the start of last season.

o5.5 -108
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards
34.40 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

34.40 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o28.5 -111
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards
52.86 OVER PROJECTION
+7.4 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

52.86 OVER PROJECTION
+7.4 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o45.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o94.5 Receiving Yards
96.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o94.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

96.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 11.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 36.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. When it comes to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 111.0 per game.. With an exceptional 90.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in the league.

o90.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made
1.58 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.58 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV

ANALYSIS

While Emanuel Wilson has been responsible for 1.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense in this game at 6.5%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o0.5 -235
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.54% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o2.5 -125
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
7.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 11.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 36.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. With a fantastic 6.3 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 75.3% to 78.9%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o6.5 -139
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.5% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o1.5 +113
Caesars Odds logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o3.5 -150
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o2.5 -175
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers have been the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 47.6% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).

o13.5 -102
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. In this week's contest, Emanuel Wilson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.. While Emanuel Wilson has garnered 36.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's ground game in this week's contest at 54.8%.

o13.5 -102
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
31.42 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

31.42 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o29.5 -125
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts
30.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 56.9% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Chargers.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. In this contest, Justin Herbert is forecasted by the projections to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4.

u30.5 -108
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.93 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.93 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o18.5 -125
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
20.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o20.5 -105
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.17 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.17 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Justin Herbert has been one of the top touchdown passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 1.45 per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+700
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 111.0 per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 88.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 100th percentile for WRs.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 75.3% to 78.9%.. With a terrific ratio of 0.70 per game through the air (98th percentile), Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-115
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+320
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+400
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+290
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. With an awful ratio of just 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Sam Darnold stands among the weakest rushing QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+1000
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jadarian Price logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Price (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jadarian Price logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Price (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-24.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-24.6% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+140
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. Right now, the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.. Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.. Los Angeles's defense ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to generating interceptions, totaling 1.11 per game.

u0.5 -140
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.81 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.81 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.58% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. In registering a staggering 0.90 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Justin Herbert slots in among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile).

o0.5 -125
BetMGM logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.0 spread
5.22 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.0 spread

PROJECTION

5.22 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+7.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Over 42.5 Total
44.30 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Over 42.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.30 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.51% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o42.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o197.5 Passing Yards
212.12 OVER PROJECTION
+14.6 DIFFERENCE
22.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o197.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

212.12 OVER PROJECTION
+14.6 DIFFERENCE
22.99% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. With a fantastic record of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.

o197.5 -114
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards
244.84 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
20.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

244.84 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
20.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. Sam Darnold's passing efficiency has improved this year, notching 10.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.17 mark last year.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o232.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o46.5 Rushing Yards
62.43 OVER PROJECTION
+15.9 DIFFERENCE
26.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o46.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.43 OVER PROJECTION
+15.9 DIFFERENCE
26.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers have been the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.1% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).

o42.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o21.5 Rushing Yards
30.78 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
26.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o21.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

30.78 OVER PROJECTION
+9.3 DIFFERENCE
26.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers have been the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.1% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. In this game, Justin Herbert is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 9th-most carries among all QBs with 5.2. . Justin Herbert isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 14.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.. With an excellent rate of 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert has been as one of the leading rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.

o19.5 -125
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o48.5 Rushing Yards
59.95 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o48.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

59.95 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. In this week's contest, Emanuel Wilson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.. While Emanuel Wilson has garnered 36.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's ground game in this week's contest at 54.8%.

o45.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o4.5 Rushing Yards
8.52 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
25.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o4.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

8.52 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
25.09% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

o4.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards
10.23 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
26.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

10.23 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
26.17% EV

ANALYSIS

While Emanuel Wilson has been responsible for 1.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense in this game at 6.5%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o4.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards
36.41 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

36.41 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o23.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards
9.84 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
25.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

9.84 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
25.6% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. The Seahawks defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (33.0) to running backs since the start of last season.

o5.5 -108
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards
34.40 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

34.40 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o28.5 -111
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards
52.86 OVER PROJECTION
+7.4 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

52.86 OVER PROJECTION
+7.4 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o45.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o94.5 Receiving Yards
96.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o94.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

96.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 11.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 36.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. When it comes to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 111.0 per game.. With an exceptional 90.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in the league.

o90.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made
1.58 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.58 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.13% EV

ANALYSIS

While Emanuel Wilson has been responsible for 1.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense in this game at 6.5%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o0.5 -235
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.54% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o2.5 -125
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
7.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 11.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 36.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. With a fantastic 6.3 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 75.3% to 78.9%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o6.5 -139
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.5% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o1.5 +113
Caesars Odds logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o3.5 -150
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o2.5 -175
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers have been the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 47.6% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).

o13.5 -102
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. In this week's contest, Emanuel Wilson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.. While Emanuel Wilson has garnered 36.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Seattle's ground game in this week's contest at 54.8%.

o13.5 -102
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
31.42 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

31.42 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o29.5 -125
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts
30.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 56.9% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Chargers.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. In this contest, Justin Herbert is forecasted by the projections to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4.

u30.5 -108
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.93 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.93 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
10.03% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

o18.5 -125
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
20.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o20.5 -105
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Emanuel Wilson logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
E. Wilson (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.17 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.17 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Justin Herbert has been one of the top touchdown passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 1.45 per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+700
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 111.0 per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 88.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 100th percentile for WRs.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 75.3% to 78.9%.. With a terrific ratio of 0.70 per game through the air (98th percentile), Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-115
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+320
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+400
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+290
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. With an awful ratio of just 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Sam Darnold stands among the weakest rushing QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+1000
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jadarian Price logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Price (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jadarian Price logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Price (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.36 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-24.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-24.6% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

+140
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sam Darnold logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
S. Darnold (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.. Right now, the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.. Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.. Los Angeles's defense ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to generating interceptions, totaling 1.11 per game.

u0.5 -140
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.81 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.81 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.58% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. In registering a staggering 0.90 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Justin Herbert slots in among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile).

o0.5 -125
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Top User Picks

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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'manomanomano551' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+3.0)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'manomanomano551' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (43.5)

Jerrybook is #1 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' is picking Seattle to cover (-6.5)

Jerrybook is #1 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'drizrazz' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+6.5)

drizrazz is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Banker' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

Banker is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'drizrazz' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

drizrazz is #10 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'bpcollins' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

bpcollins is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'bpcollins' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

bpcollins is #2 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Alfiekutya' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

Alfiekutya is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'Alfiekutya' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

Alfiekutya is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'A_LowaEast' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

A_LowaEast is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'A_LowaEast' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

A_LowaEast is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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SEA
Total

'alayne27' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (43.5)

alayne27 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'Geo Lazos' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

Geo Lazos is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Geo Lazos' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

Geo Lazos is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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LAC
SEA
Total

'teedoff_99' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

teedoff_99 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'teedoff_99' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

teedoff_99 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Spread

'rock59' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

rock59 is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Spread

'My2bills' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+6.5)

My2bills is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Total

'My2bills' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (43.5)

My2bills is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'muna624' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

muna624 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'muna624' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

muna624 is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Total

'hotvegas' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

hotvegas is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'Cabalist' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

Cabalist is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'hotvegas' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

hotvegas is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Spread

'Cabalist' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

Cabalist is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+6.5)

pittsburghphil is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
SEA
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

pittsburghphil is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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