Los Angeles Chargers

3rd in AFC West (0 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 13 16:25 ET

ARI @ LAC Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o224.5 Passing Yards (-150)
Projection 243.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. With an exceptional rate of 210.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL last year.. The Cardinals defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o8.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
Rushing Yards
Jeremiyah Love logo
Jeremiyah Love o34.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 48.83 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o19.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 27.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. With an excellent total of 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Justin Herbert rates among the top rushing quarterbacks in football last year.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games last year, surrendering 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Receiving Yards
Charlie Kolar logo
Charlie Kolar o16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 27.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. While Charlie Kolar has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this game at 10.0%.. Last year, the poor Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a colossal 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-most in the league.. Last year, the anemic Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.
Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey o50.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 62.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in football.
Receiving Yards
Jeremiyah Love logo
Jeremiyah Love o12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 17.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. Last year, the poor Chargers defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.
Receiving Yards
Omarion Hampton logo
Omarion Hampton o14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 20.92 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Last year, the shaky Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a whopping 6.47 yards.. The Cardinals pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing running backs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in football.
Receiving Yards
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Marvin Harrison Jr. u49.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 45.28 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Trey McBride logo
Trey McBride u59.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 55.15 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Trey McBride ranks as one of the worst tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has given up a meager 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

56% picking Arizona

56%
44%

Total Picks ARI 180, LAC 140

Spread
ARI
LAC
Total

55% picking Arizona vs L.A. Chargers to go Under

45%
55%

Total PicksARI 87, LAC 105

Total
Over
Under

ARI @ LAC · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
PASSING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards
243.63 OVER PROJECTION
+19.1 DIFFERENCE
21.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

243.63 OVER PROJECTION
+19.1 DIFFERENCE
21.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. With an exceptional rate of 210.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL last year.. The Cardinals defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the NFL.

o224.5 -150
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards
16.00 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

16.00 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

o8.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
48.83 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

48.83 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

o34.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards
27.42 OVER PROJECTION
+7.9 DIFFERENCE
25.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

27.42 OVER PROJECTION
+7.9 DIFFERENCE
25.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. With an excellent total of 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Justin Herbert rates among the top rushing quarterbacks in football last year.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games last year, surrendering 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o19.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards
64.47 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
11.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

64.47 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
11.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the model projects this game (with an average of 27.13 seconds per play) will have the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Arizona's group of DTs has been great last year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

u66.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards
27.15 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

27.15 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. While Charlie Kolar has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this game at 10.0%.. Last year, the poor Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a colossal 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-most in the league.. Last year, the anemic Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

o15.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o50.5 Receiving Yards
62.17 OVER PROJECTION
+11.7 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o50.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

62.17 OVER PROJECTION
+11.7 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in football.

o50.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
17.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

17.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.01% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. Last year, the poor Chargers defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

o10.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Receiving Yards
20.92 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
21.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

20.92 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
21.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Last year, the shaky Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a whopping 6.47 yards.. The Cardinals pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing running backs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in football.

o14.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u49.5 Receiving Yards
45.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
20.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

45.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
20.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

u49.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u59.5 Receiving Yards
55.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.3 DIFFERENCE
19.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u59.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

55.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.3 DIFFERENCE
19.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Trey McBride ranks as one of the worst tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has given up a meager 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

u59.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
19.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
19.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

u4.5 -155
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o2.5 +115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made
5.63 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.63 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.

u6.5 -136
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. While Charlie Kolar has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this game at 10.0%.. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.4%) versus TEs last year (77.4%).

o1.5 -170
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o4.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded a puny 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

u2.5 -165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o4.5 Rushing Attempts
5.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o4.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

5.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to earn 5.3 carries in this contest, on average: the 9th-most among all QBs.. Justin Herbert isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 17.5% of his offense's rush attempts last year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among QBs.

o0.5 -5000
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts
29.43 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.43 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o27.5 -120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts
33.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

33.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.

u33.5 -104
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
21.20 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.20 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o20.5 -110
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions
20.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football against the Chargers defense last year (65.8% Adjusted Completion%).

u21.5 -130
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Our trusted projections expect Charlie Kolar to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (10.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been last year (5.1% in games he has played).. Last year, the feeble Cardinals defense has given up a staggering 0.65 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

+600
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

+175
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. Trey McBride has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 31.7% last year, which ranks in the 99th percentile among TEs.

+225
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. With an impressive ratio of 1.44 per game (75th percentile), Jacoby Brissett ranks as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL last year.

+1050
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

+185
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Justin Herbert has been among the leading TD passers in the league last year, averaging a stellar 1.53 per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.. Last year, the anemic Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a massive 1.76 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

+400
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  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
PASSING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards
243.63 OVER PROJECTION
+19.1 DIFFERENCE
21.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

243.63 OVER PROJECTION
+19.1 DIFFERENCE
21.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. With an exceptional rate of 210.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL last year.. The Cardinals defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the NFL.

o224.5 -150
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RUSHING YARDS
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards
16.00 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

16.00 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

o8.5 -110
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RUSHING YARDS
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
48.83 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

48.83 OVER PROJECTION
+14.3 DIFFERENCE
26.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

o34.5 -110
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RUSHING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards
27.42 OVER PROJECTION
+7.9 DIFFERENCE
25.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

27.42 OVER PROJECTION
+7.9 DIFFERENCE
25.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. With an excellent total of 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Justin Herbert rates among the top rushing quarterbacks in football last year.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games last year, surrendering 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o19.5 -110
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RUSHING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards
64.47 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
11.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

64.47 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
11.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the model projects this game (with an average of 27.13 seconds per play) will have the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Arizona's group of DTs has been great last year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

u66.5 -111
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RECEIVING YARDS
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards
27.15 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

27.15 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. While Charlie Kolar has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this game at 10.0%.. Last year, the poor Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a colossal 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-most in the league.. Last year, the anemic Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

o15.5 -120
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RECEIVING YARDS
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o50.5 Receiving Yards
62.17 OVER PROJECTION
+11.7 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o50.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

62.17 OVER PROJECTION
+11.7 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in football.

o50.5 -114
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RECEIVING YARDS
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
17.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

17.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.01% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. Last year, the poor Chargers defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

o10.5 -140
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RECEIVING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Receiving Yards
20.92 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
21.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

20.92 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
21.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Last year, the shaky Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a whopping 6.47 yards.. The Cardinals pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing running backs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in football.

o14.5 -110
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RECEIVING YARDS
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u49.5 Receiving Yards
45.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
20.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

45.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
20.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

u49.5 -110
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RECEIVING YARDS
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u59.5 Receiving Yards
55.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.3 DIFFERENCE
19.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u59.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

55.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-4.3 DIFFERENCE
19.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Trey McBride ranks as one of the worst tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has given up a meager 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

u59.5 -110
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
19.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marvin Harrison Jr. logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
M. Harrison Jr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
19.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

u4.5 -155
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o2.5 +115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made
5.63 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.63 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.

u6.5 -136
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. While Charlie Kolar has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this game at 10.0%.. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.4%) versus TEs last year (77.4%).

o1.5 -170
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o4.5 +100
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Last year, the strong Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded a puny 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

u2.5 -165
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RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o4.5 Rushing Attempts
5.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o4.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

5.28 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chargers are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to earn 5.3 carries in this contest, on average: the 9th-most among all QBs.. Justin Herbert isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 17.5% of his offense's rush attempts last year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among QBs.

o0.5 -5000
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts
29.43 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.43 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
11.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o27.5 -120
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts
33.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

33.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.

u33.5 -104
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
21.20 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.20 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
3.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

o20.5 -110
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions
20.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) u21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.3 DIFFERENCE
1.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 5th-fewest in football.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football against the Chargers defense last year (65.8% Adjusted Completion%).

u21.5 -130
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Charlie Kolar logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
C. Kolar (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Our trusted projections expect Charlie Kolar to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (10.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been last year (5.1% in games he has played).. Last year, the feeble Cardinals defense has given up a staggering 0.65 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

+600
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

+175
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. Trey McBride has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 31.7% last year, which ranks in the 99th percentile among TEs.

+225
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jacoby Brissett logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Brissett (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.. With an impressive ratio of 1.44 per game (75th percentile), Jacoby Brissett ranks as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL last year.

+1050
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiyah Love logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
J. Love (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.29 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being an enormous -11.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

+185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.. Justin Herbert has been among the leading TD passers in the league last year, averaging a stellar 1.53 per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.. Last year, the anemic Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a massive 1.76 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

+400
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