Los Angeles Chargers

Picks

Justin Herbert completed 25 of 34 passes for 318 yards against the Chiefs in Week 1, and now he faces a Vegas secondary that might be the worst in the league. Meanwhile, L.A.'s defense should regress after outperforming expectations and facing numerous poor offenses last year. That Bolts stop unit will have their hands full with Geno Smith, who threw for 362 yards in his Raiders debut last week. That's not even mentioning that both teams drafted RBs in the first round, but neither found their footing in Week 1. If Ashton Jeanty and Omarion Hampton start to play up to their potential, both offenses could really take off.

Justin Herbert shredded the Chiefs in Week 1, and now he faces a Vegas secondary that might be the worst in the league. Meanwhile, the Chargers' defense should regress a bit in 2025 after outperforming expectations and facing a ton of bad offenses last year. That L.A. stop unit could have its hands full with Geno Smith who threw for 362 yards last week and looks like a great fit in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offense. That's not even mentioning both teams drafted highly-regarded RBs in the first round, but neither found their footing in Week 1. If Ashton Jeanty and Omarion Hampton start to play up to their potential, both offenses could really take off.

The Chargers ran 3-WR sets at the highest rate in Week 1—84%—creating plenty of opportunities for Ladd McConkey, Keenan Allen, and Quentin Johnston. All three were involved against Kansas City, and in the red zone, the Chargers ran it four times (all to Omarion Hampton) and passed three times. Two of those red-zone targets went to Johnston, who had some drops but still found the end zone twice. He’s the longest price of the three receivers to score this week at +250, in what should be another high-opportunity spot indoors and in a favorable matchup. Johnston is running the second-most routes on the team and seeing the most red-zone looks early on. I’ll take the value and play him at +250—and would continue to back whichever of the trio offers the longest number in this offense.

Herbert's favorite target should get targeted early and often on Monday night.

Herbert should continue the fast start to his season and blow by his passing total in Las Vegas.

I'm expecting more out of Jeanty this week against a Chargers defense that looked vulnerable against the run in Week 1.