Los Angeles Chargers

2nd in AFC West (5 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

LACL.A. Chargers Los Angeles
at
Tennessee TENTennessee
Sun, Nov 2 13:00 ET

LAC @ TEN Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Chimere Dike logo Chimere Dike Score a Touchdown (Yes: +300)
Best Odds
 +300 bet365
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 -
 +300
 -
 -
 -

The Chargers lost three starters to injury last week, including cornerback Tarheeb Still, who’s expected to miss significant time, and defensive leader Derwin James. With the Titans up next, there’s little reason to rush James back. Given the defensive injuries, a likely negative game script for Tennessee, and Calvin Ridley still not practicing, Chimere Dike at +300 stands out as a solid play. If Ridley sits again, Dike will operate as the WR1 after posting 7 catches for 93 yards last week, leading all Titans pass catchers. His snap share jumped to 88% from a season average of 49%, and the offense ran 3-WR sets on 79% of plays. There’s also some quiet optimism about this offense speeding up under the new head coach. Tennessee ran eight more plays than its season average last week, despite facing another game-trailing script.

Score a Touchdown
Keenan Allen logo Keenan Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes: +130)
Best Odds
 +130 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
 -
 +130
 -
 -
 -

Keenan Allen had a quiet night vs. Minnesota last Thursday: on only 18 snaps. Harbaugh was asked about that sudden downtick in work and said it had more to do with personnel and the fact the Bolts were blowing out the Vikings. Allen still sits tied for second among all WRs with 12 red zone targets entering Week 9. And it’s not just inside the 20-yard line that the veteran can do damage. He’s just as dangerous on deep balls and this Titans secondary has allowed plenty of home runs and is without top corner L’Jarius Sneed. Tennessee leaning into more zone coverage, which is Allen’s favorite concept to crack.

Score a Touchdown
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal Score a Touchdown (Yes: -115)
Projection 0.91 (Yes)
Best Odds
 -115 DraftKings
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -115
 -120
 -
 -
 -115
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.9% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.71 seconds per snap.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in football.
-115 at DraftKings
Passing Completions
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward u20.5 Passing Completions (+103)
Projection 18.86 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -135 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u20.5  +103
These are quick bet odds
 -
u21.5  -136
u21.5  -135
u21.5  -136
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This year, the daunting Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-lowest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
-135 at BetMGM
Passing Attempts
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward u35.5 Passing Attempts (-118)
Projection 31.91 (Under)
Best Odds
u35.5 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u34.5  -119
These are quick bet odds
 -
u34.5  +100
u35.5  -118
u35.5  -134
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
-118 at BetMGM
Passing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward u220.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 192.51 (Under)
Best Odds
u223.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u220.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
u220.5  -114
u223.5  -115
u221.5  -117
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This year, the daunting Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-lowest rate in football.. The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.70 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
-115 at BetMGM
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o243.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 250.26 (Over)
Best Odds
o242.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o243.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o242.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o243.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o242.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.9% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.71 seconds per snap.. Justin Herbert has attempted 38.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.. Justin Herbert's 262.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a substantial boost in his throwing proficiency over last year's 218.0 figure.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in football.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal o9.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 14.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -114
 -
o9.5  -114
o12.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o11.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.9% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.71 seconds per snap.. The Titans linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.
-114 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Chig Okonkwo logo
Chig Okonkwo u31.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 27.88 (Under)
Best Odds
u31.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
u31.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
 -
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Chig Okonkwo's 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 76.1% rate.. Chig Okonkwo's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.87 figure last year.. The Chargers defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 38.0) to tight ends this year.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey o60.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 65.39 (Over)
Best Odds
o60.5 -114 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o60.5  -114
 -
o60.5  -114
o60.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o60.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.9% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.71 seconds per snap.. The Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.5%) versus WRs this year (76.5%).. This year, the weak Titans defense has conceded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 10.08 yards.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
-114 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard u11.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 9.69 (Under)
Best Odds
u11.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
u11.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
 -
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.. Tony Pollard's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.39 mark last season.. This year, the fierce Chargers defense has yielded a measly 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o37.5 Rushing Yards (-108)
Projection 52.05 (Over)
Best Odds
o34.5 -125 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o37.5  -108
 -
o37.5  -114
o34.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o36.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 10th-most run-centric team in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.. The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to garner 13.1 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. This year, the formidable Chargers run defense has allowed a meager 4.93 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 24th-best rate in football.
-125 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

74% picking L.A. Chargers

74%
26%

Total Picks LAC 497, TEN 174

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'skunty4' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Over (42.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +6450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'presley1' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-7.5)

presley1 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Spread

'griz55' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-7.5)

griz55 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +5900 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'griz55' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Under (43.5)

griz55 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +5900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'LaQuora28' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-7.5)

LaQuora28 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'LaQuora28' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Over (43.5)

LaQuora28 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'JFT1010' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-10.0)

JFT1010 is #6 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'JFT1010' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Under (43.5)

JFT1010 is #6 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'chris789' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-10.0)

chris789 is #7 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (8-0-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'chris789' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Over (43.5)

chris789 is #7 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (8-0-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'Dippopotamus' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Dippopotamus is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'Kazual12' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Over (42.5)

Kazual12 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'Kazual12' is picking Tennessee to cover (+10.0)

Kazual12 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Spread

'tat-tunes' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-10.0)

tat-tunes is #8 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'tat-tunes' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Over (43.5)

tat-tunes is #8 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'rinv49' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

rinv49 is #9 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4680 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'rinv49' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Over (42.5)

rinv49 is #9 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4680 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115
Spread

'ats1' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

ats1 is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
TEN
Spread
-8.5 -106
+10.5 -135
Total

'ats1' picks L.A. Chargers vs Tennessee to go Under (43.5)

ats1 is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -115

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