Philadelphia Eagles
Picks

1st in NFC East (8 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

PHIPhiladelphia

at

Sun, Nov 23 16:25 ET

PHI @ DAL Picks

MoneyLine

PHI (-198)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

The Cowboys faced an interior foe off a bye on MNF but also played an emotionally charged game after the tragic passing of DE Marshawn Kneeland during that bye week. That does line up a letdown, especially on a short week. This Cowboys offense has little time to prepare for Vic Fangio’s schemes. Philadelphia’s defense has been the backbone of this current winning streak, shutting down the Lions and Packers to a combined 16 points. The Eagles have quickly climbed the defensive metrics since Week 7, sitting tops in EPA allowed per play in those four outings. Even with this game on the fast track of AT&T Stadium, Philly’s defense will deliver.

Total

o50.5 (-110)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

Maybe the bye week and defensive acquisitions ahead of the trade deadline will help the Dallas stop unit, but I’m not anticipating significant improvement, and Philadelphia is ripe for a breakout on offense following consecutive low-scoring wins. Of course, the Cowboys have also played to the Over in five of their past six games and average 29.2 points per game while allowing 30.8. I expect this total to climb leading into Sunday afternoon, too.

Score a Touchdown

Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)

Projection 0.68 (Yes)

Best Odds

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.. Jalen Hurts has been one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 1.60 per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (76.1% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the feeble Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 2.30 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

Passing Completions

Jalen Hurts o18.5 Passing Completions (-115)

Projection 20.78 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (76.1% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Dallas's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-115 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Jalen Hurts o206.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 236.85 (Over)

Best Odds

o205.5 -114

Pick made: 21 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o206.5 -113

o205.5 -114

o210.5 -115

o207.5 -115

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in football (271.0 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.. The Cowboys pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, allowing 8.90 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in football.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Dallas's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Dak Prescott o242.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Projection 267.12 (Over)

Best Odds

o242.5 -111

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o242.5 -111

o244.5 -114

o245.5 -115

o244.5 -114

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. In throwing a colossal 36.8 pass attempts per game this year, Dak Prescott places among the top QBs in the league (95th percentile) by this metric.

-111 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown o60.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 73.67 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.. In this game, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.4 targets.. This year, the feeble Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a whopping 171.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.. This year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 10.18 yards.

-110 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb o74.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 80.61 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. In this game, CeeDee Lamb is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets.

-110 at DraftKings

Rushing Yards

Saquon Barkley u75.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

Projection 64.3 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Rushing Attempts

Saquon Barkley u18.5 Rushing Attempts (-118)

Projection 15.39 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

-114 at DraftKings

Rushing Yards

Javonte Williams u67.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 62.9 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 4th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are expected by the projections to run only 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

-110 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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64% picking Philadelphia

64% 64%

36% 36%

Total Picks PHI 328, DAL 181

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PHI

DAL

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Top User Picks

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Total

'anibalbas' picks Philadelphia vs Dallas to go Under (51.5)

anibalbas is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'anibalbas' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-4.5)

anibalbas is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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PHI

DAL

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'ChOmP' is picking Dallas to cover (+3.5)

ChOmP is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-2-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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DAL

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'ChOmP' picks Philadelphia vs Dallas to go Under (47.5)

ChOmP is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-2-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'reekosuave' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-3.5)

reekosuave is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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PHI

DAL

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'reekosuave' picks Philadelphia vs Dallas to go Under (49.5)

reekosuave is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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'Batch9' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-3.5)

Batch9 is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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PHI

DAL

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'Batch9' picks Philadelphia vs Dallas to go Under (50.5)

Batch9 is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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