Philadelphia Eagles

1st in NFC East (2 - 0 - 0)

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Mon, Sep 28 20:15 ET

PHI @ CHI Picks

NFL Picks
Receptions Made
D'Andre Swift logo D'Andre Swift o1.5 Receptions Made (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bears passing playbook will be shortened with Williams sidelined. On top of that, the Eagles pass rush won’t leave much time for deeper plays to develop. Swift drew six targets in a wet and windy game against Minnesota last week, in which downfield looks were challenging. He will be a popular target on designed screens and as a check-down option on Monday. Most projections sit at 2+ catches for Swift with some models flirting with three receptions on Monday.

Receiving Yards
Kalif Raymond logo Kalif Raymond o24.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bears have a backup at QB, keeping the passing playbook short and conservative. That means plenty of action for slot WR Kalif Raymond. He could poke a hole in this Eagles coverage, that has struggled to contain slot receivers so far in 2026. Philadelphia is giving up the second most fantasy points to the position and Raymond’s projections all sit north of 30 yards with some calling for 40+ on Monday Night Football. Raymond has gone for gains of 84 and 40 yards in this opening two games, catching 13 of 14 balls his way. 

Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift logo D'Andre Swift o10.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

It's a backup dump-off kind of Monday with D'Andre Swift projected for 17.5 receiving yards after finishing with five targets last week, including one from Tyson Bagent in his 1.5 drives. Swift is a very underrated pass-catching back with a 50-reception ceiling. With plenty of third-and-longs potentially coming from the backup under center, Swift could see another busy day in the passing game, especially with negative game script. Kyle Monangai was a full go at practice on Friday but has been dealing with a knee injury and has conceded a 65/35 running-back opportunity share to Swift. But the biggest takeaway from Swift's usage is that he dominates the snaps in negative game script, and that sounds like dump-offs to me. The total is 10.5, but I would play the 15-yard line to 50%.

Total
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail Chicago Bears image thumbnail u42.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Tyson Bagent was a full participant at practice Saturday after dealing with a concussion but still needs to pass some protocols to suit up, so third-string quarterback Case Keenum is still a possibility. I'm not expecting either Bears backup to run Ben Johnson's offense at full strength. The Philadelphia offense is one to fade as well, as it is one of the worst early-down units in football. On first and second downs this season, they rank 30th in success rate, which is why their 53% third-down conversion rate, fourth in the NFL, might be unsustainable. The Eagles are also missing starting tackle Fred Johnson, who joins guard Landon Dickerson on the shelf. Dallas Goedert is out, and the Eagles are down three tight ends while also missing Hollywood Brown. The Bears' offense will be watered down, while the Eagles' offense remains unimpressive and is dealing with O-line issues. I hate to do it, but it's the Under 42.5 on Monday night for me, and I'd still play it at 41.5.

Anytime Touchdown
Johnny Mundt logo Johnny Mundt Score a Touchdown (Yes: +685)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I got this at 7.85x on Friday before the injury report. Dallas Goedert is likely to miss time with what is being reported as an MCL sprain, DeVonta Smith was a DNP on Thursday, and Saquon Barkley was limited. There are some key figures of this offense missing or banged up in a matchup against the Bears, who gave up 37 points in Week 1 and are likely down to QB3 on the depth chart. Johnny Mundt is going to eat snaps with two other TEs on IR in Grant Calcaterra and Eli Stowers. Former Eagle Zach Ertz was signed this week because of the lack of depth. Mundt was targeted on three of his 19 routes against the Titans in Week 2 and could see five or six targets if things fall his way. No TE1 should be longer than 4.5x.

 

Spread
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail PHI -4.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

I'll be backing the Philadelphia Eagles at -4.5 in this one, as I price them closer to a 6-point favorite against the Chicago Bears. I'm not going to lie, the side I choose always comes down to the numbers, but as a football fan, I'm thrilled that my edge in the projections is with the Eagles instead of Tyson Bagent/Case Keenum and the Bears. The line has moved six points from Bears -1.5 to Eagles -4.5 following Caleb Williams' injury and the downgrade to Bagent/Keenum. But I don't think the market has adjusted enough for this specific matchup against an Eagles defense coached by Vic Fangio and loaded with playmakers. This isn't a Williams-to-Bagent/Keenum downgrade against the Tennessee Titans.

Receiving Yards
Dontayvion Wicks logo Dontayvion Wicks o38.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Eagles receivers are about to see their highest rate of man-to-man coverage in Chicago. And while DeVonta Smith is a man killer, fellow WR Dontayvion Wicks is also great in one-on-ones. He rates out 16th vs. man at PFF. The Bears will send doubles at Smith, leaving Wicks in single coverage and likely facing a CB way down the depth chart. Chicago has injuries in the secondary stacking up and it looks like Tyrique Stevenson is the latest to go down. Wicks has posted two 70+ efforts vs. zone centric schemes in the first two games and projections lean toward 40+ with a ceiling of 51 yards. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
PHI -3.5
Spread
Saquon Barkley profile picture
Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
D'Andre Swift profile picture
D'Andre Swift o10.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Let's lean into the negative game-script angle for the home side. If the Eagles figure out their early-down woes, they could control this game and force the Chicago backups to play from behind, which could make things even tougher for the Bears. D'Andre Swift thrives in negative game script and is coming off a five-target game against the Vikings in a game where Chicago was playing from behind. Saquon Barkley is back to full health after dealing with a stinger, and this Chicago defense just gave up 105 rushing yards to Aaron Jones last week. Barkley is the seventh-most probable running back to score this week, which might be a little disrespectful after Jones' output and Chuba Hubbard scoring twice against the Bears in Week 2.

Passing Yards
Case Keenum logo
Case Keenum o165.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 205.22 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Rushing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o23.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 30.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to notch the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 7.5. . Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
D'Andre Swift logo
D'Andre Swift o59.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 62.92 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. In this game, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.5 rush attempts.. With a stellar total of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), D'Andre Swift rates among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift logo
D'Andre Swift o10.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 17.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. D'Andre Swift checks in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 15.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Eagles defense has been gouged for a whopping 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Luther Burden III logo
Luther Burden III o35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 48.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Receiving Yards
Colston Loveland logo
Colston Loveland o32.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 40.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley o12.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 16.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. With a sizeable 55.2% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets.. The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, allowing 6.90 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.
Rushing Attempts
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o5.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)
Projection 7.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to notch the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 7.4. . Comprising 18.2% of his team's rushing play calls this year (86th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility makes him a serious weapon on the ground.
Passing Completions
Case Keenum logo
Case Keenum o16.5 Passing Completions (-130)
Projection 18.92 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Anytime Touchdown
DeVonta Smith logo
DeVonta Smith Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Projection 0.47 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. The model projects DeVonta Smith to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (29.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.0% in games he has played).. When it comes to air yards, DeVonta Smith grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 93.0 per game.. DeVonta Smith's 66.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

63% picking Philadelphia

63%
37%

Total Picks PHI 695, CHI 411

Spread
PHI
CHI
Total

47% picking Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Under

53%
47%

Total PicksPHI 365, CHI 326

Total
Over
Under

PHI @ CHI · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
CHI +4.5 spread
2.90 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
11.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
CHI +4.5 spread

PROJECTION

2.90 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
11.16% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail Chicago Bears image thumbnail
Under 41.5 Total
41.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail Chicago Bears image thumbnail
Under 41.5 Total

PROJECTION

41.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.13% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u42.0 -113
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o165.5 Passing Yards
205.22 OVER PROJECTION
+39.7 DIFFERENCE
26.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o165.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

205.22 OVER PROJECTION
+39.7 DIFFERENCE
26.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

o164.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o23.5 Rushing Yards
30.37 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
24.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o23.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

30.37 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
24.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to notch the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 7.5. . Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

o23.5 -114
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards
62.92 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
15.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.92 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
15.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. In this game, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.5 rush attempts.. With a stellar total of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), D'Andre Swift rates among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.

o59.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o71.5 Rushing Yards
72.42 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
-20.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o71.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

72.42 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
-20.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.0 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 19.6 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

o70.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
17.26 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

17.26 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. D'Andre Swift checks in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 15.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Eagles defense has been gouged for a whopping 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

o9.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards
48.50 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
25.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.50 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
25.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o32.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards
40.01 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.01 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

o32.5 -120
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
23.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
23.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. With a sizeable 55.2% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets.. The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, allowing 6.90 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.

o12.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. With an outstanding 1.9 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, D'Andre Swift places among the best RBs in the pass game in football.

o1.5 -145
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o3.5 -118
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts
7.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

7.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to notch the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 7.4. . Comprising 18.2% of his team's rushing play calls this year (86th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility makes him a serious weapon on the ground.

o5.5 -120
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o17.5 Rushing Attempts
17.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o17.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 19.7 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o16.5 -132
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
14.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. In this game, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.5 rush attempts.. Among all running backs, D'Andre Swift ranks in the 86th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 50.8% of the workload in his team's ground game.

o14.5 +100
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
30.86 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.86 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.

o28.5 -120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts
29.20 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.20 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.

o27.5 -110
theScore Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o16.5 Passing Completions
18.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
18.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o16.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

18.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
18.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

o16.5 -130
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions
18.01 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

18.01 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.27% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the league vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's CB corps has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

o17.5 -112
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
DeVonta Smith logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
D. Smith (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
DeVonta Smith logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
D. Smith (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. The model projects DeVonta Smith to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (29.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.0% in games he has played).. When it comes to air yards, DeVonta Smith grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 93.0 per game.. DeVonta Smith's 66.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 64.9 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jalen Hurts has been one of the leading TD throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 1.58 per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

+155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

+390
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
7.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
7.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

+350
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 11.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among RBs.. When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).. Saquon Barkley rates in the 89th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 17.0 mark since the start of last season.

-110
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

+1600
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. D'Andre Swift's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 76th percentile for RBs.

+125
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Johnny Mundt logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Mundt (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.06 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Johnny Mundt logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Mundt (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.06 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 64.8 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. The Chicago Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (82.9%) to tight ends since the start of last season (82.9%).

+800
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
1.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
18.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

1.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
18.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o0.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to pass on 51.6% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The projections expect Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.. Chicago's defense profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season as it relates to inducing interceptions, notching 1.12 per game.

u0.5 -140
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
CHI +4.5 spread
2.90 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
11.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
CHI +4.5 spread

PROJECTION

2.90 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
11.16% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail Chicago Bears image thumbnail
Under 41.5 Total
41.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail Chicago Bears image thumbnail
Under 41.5 Total

PROJECTION

41.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.13% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u42.0 -113
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o165.5 Passing Yards
205.22 OVER PROJECTION
+39.7 DIFFERENCE
26.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o165.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

205.22 OVER PROJECTION
+39.7 DIFFERENCE
26.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

o164.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o23.5 Rushing Yards
30.37 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
24.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o23.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

30.37 OVER PROJECTION
+6.9 DIFFERENCE
24.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to notch the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 7.5. . Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

o23.5 -114
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards
62.92 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
15.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.92 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
15.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. In this game, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.5 rush attempts.. With a stellar total of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), D'Andre Swift rates among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.

o59.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o71.5 Rushing Yards
72.42 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
-20.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o71.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

72.42 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
-20.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.0 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 19.6 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

o70.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
17.26 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

17.26 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. D'Andre Swift checks in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 15.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Eagles defense has been gouged for a whopping 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

o9.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards
48.50 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
25.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.50 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
25.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o32.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards
40.01 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.01 OVER PROJECTION
+7.5 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

o32.5 -120
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards
16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
23.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o12.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+4.3 DIFFERENCE
23.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. With a sizeable 55.2% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets.. The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, allowing 6.90 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.

o12.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.17 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. With an outstanding 1.9 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, D'Andre Swift places among the best RBs in the pass game in football.

o1.5 -145
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o3.5 -118
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts
7.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

7.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to notch the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 7.4. . Comprising 18.2% of his team's rushing play calls this year (86th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility makes him a serious weapon on the ground.

o5.5 -120
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o17.5 Rushing Attempts
17.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) o17.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.60 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 19.7 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o16.5 -132
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
14.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. In this game, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.5 rush attempts.. Among all running backs, D'Andre Swift ranks in the 86th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 50.8% of the workload in his team's ground game.

o14.5 +100
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
30.86 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.86 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.

o28.5 -120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts
29.20 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o27.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.20 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.

o27.5 -110
theScore Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o16.5 Passing Completions
18.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
18.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o16.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

18.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
18.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

o16.5 -130
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions
18.01 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

18.01 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.27% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the league vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's CB corps has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

o17.5 -112
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
DeVonta Smith logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
D. Smith (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
DeVonta Smith logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
D. Smith (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. The model projects DeVonta Smith to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (29.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.0% in games he has played).. When it comes to air yards, DeVonta Smith grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 93.0 per game.. DeVonta Smith's 66.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 64.9 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jalen Hurts has been one of the leading TD throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 1.58 per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

+155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luther Burden III logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
L. Burden III (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

+390
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
7.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colston Loveland logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Loveland (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
7.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

+350
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Saquon Barkley logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
S. Barkley (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.53 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 65.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 11.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among RBs.. When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).. Saquon Barkley rates in the 89th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 17.0 mark since the start of last season.

-110
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

+1600
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
D'Andre Swift logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
D. Swift (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. D'Andre Swift's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 76th percentile for RBs.

+125
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Johnny Mundt logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Mundt (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.06 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Johnny Mundt logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Mundt (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.06 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projections to run 64.8 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.. The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better weather in this game.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. The Chicago Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (82.9%) to tight ends since the start of last season (82.9%).

+800
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
1.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
18.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Case Keenum logo
Chicago Bears image thumbnail
C. Keenum (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

1.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
18.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The Chicago Bears may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Case Keenum.. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.. The Chicago O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

o0.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jalen Hurts logo
Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail
J. Hurts (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to pass on 51.6% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The projections expect Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.. Chicago's defense profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season as it relates to inducing interceptions, notching 1.12 per game.

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'CygXanadu' is picking Chicago to cover (+3.0)

CygXanadu is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'CygXanadu' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Under (43.5)

CygXanadu is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Ed333' is picking Chicago to cover (+5.5)

Ed333 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Ed333' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Under (42.5)

Ed333 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'hudsoncfc' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Over (43.5)

hudsoncfc is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'hudsoncfc' is picking Chicago to cover (+4.5)

hudsoncfc is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ricraider' is picking Chicago to cover (-1.5)

ricraider is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ricraider' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Over (46.5)

ricraider is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' is picking Chicago to cover (+3.5)

ldcpicks is #6 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Under (43.5)

ldcpicks is #6 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'casperwaits' is picking Chicago to cover (+4.5)

casperwaits is #6 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'casperwaits' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Under (41.5)

casperwaits is #6 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Tlyn0408' is picking Chicago to cover (-1.5)

Tlyn0408 is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'miacity' is picking Chicago to cover (+5.5)

miacity is #8 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'miacity' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Over (41.5)

miacity is #8 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Mochiman' picks Philadelphia vs Chicago to go Under (41.5)

Mochiman is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
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'Mochiman' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-4.5)

Mochiman is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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