Philadelphia Eagles

1st in NFC East (7 - 2 - 0)

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Sun, Nov 16 20:20 ET

DET @ PHI Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Detroit Lions logo Philadelphia Eagles logo u48.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Philadelphia’s vaunted pass rush looks like its back after laying dormant for most of the season, scoring 10 total sacks and increased QB pressures during its current three-game winning streak. Detroit’s offensive line will be tested on SNF after allowing Jared Goff to feel the sixth highest pressure rate against among qualified QBs. Goff runs a quick-hitting pass attack to begin with that keeps completions short. Now with Campbell taking over play calling, you can expect more handoffs from the Lions. Campbell snatched the playbook last week and Detroit ran on 48.5% of its snaps. That will keep the clock ticking with shorter gains, which is a solid recipe for Unders.

Score a Touchdown
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown (Yes: +100)
Projection 0.71 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a sizeable 20.0% Red Zone Target Share (98th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. Saquon Barkley places in the 94th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a massive 20.3 figure this year.. Saquon Barkley's 89.4% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 85.2% mark.. With a remarkable rate of 0.25 per game through the air (94th percentile), Saquon Barkley has been among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among running backs this year.. The Detroit Lions linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Score a Touchdown
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs Score a Touchdown (Yes: -125)
Projection 0.74 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With an extraordinary 15.6% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the end zone in the league.. Jahmyr Gibbs places in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 20.2 figure this year.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 92.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive gain in his receiving talent over last year's 82.3% figure.. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 89th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.20 per game.. The Eagles defense has surrendered the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.
Receptions Made
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown u7.5 Receptions Made (-132)
Projection 6.07 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Lions.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run just 61.4 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 80.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 83.6% mark.. This year, the fierce Eagles defense has surrendered a puny 61.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.
Passing Completions
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff u22.5 Passing Completions (-124)
Projection 20.35 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Lions.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run just 61.4 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 32.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in football versus the Eagles defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Passing Attempts
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o26.5 Passing Attempts (-113)
Projection 29.12 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff u241.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 232.98 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Lions.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run just 61.4 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 32.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. Jared Goff has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (228.0) this season than he did last season (266.0).
Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts o204.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 210.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley o15.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Projection 21.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Saquon Barkley grades out as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a terrific 19.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.. Saquon Barkley's 89.4% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 85.2% mark.
Receiving Yards
DeVonta Smith logo
DeVonta Smith o56.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 62.08 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
DeVonta Smith has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (108.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (96.0%).. The projections expect DeVonta Smith to notch 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.. DeVonta Smith has posted far more air yards this year (75.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).. DeVonta Smith profiles as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an outstanding 67.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.. DeVonta Smith comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in an outstanding 78.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown u79.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 74.01 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Lions.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run just 61.4 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 80.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 83.6% mark.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a substantial decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 3.6% mark.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

67% picking Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksDET 204, PHI 101

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'OXPrez24' is picking Detroit to cover (+2.5)

OXPrez24 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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PHI
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'OXPrez24' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over (46.5)

OXPrez24 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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Under
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'jstoltey' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.5)

jstoltey is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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PHI
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'Peppershooter' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

Peppershooter is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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Under
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'Peppershooter' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

Peppershooter is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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PHI
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