Philadelphia Eagles

1st in NFC East (7 - 2 - 0)

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DETDetroit Detroit
at
Philadelphia PHIPhiladelphia
Sun, Nov 16 20:20 ET

DET @ PHI Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Jalen Hurts logo Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown (Yes: +120)
Best Odds
 +120 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
 +105
 +120
 +110
 -
 +111

It’s been three long weeks since Jalen Hurts scored a touchdown. The “Tush Push” hasn’t had a four-game drought since November 2021, and the Eagles QB holds one of the higher TD projections of Week 11.

Score a Touchdown
Saquon Barkley logo Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown (Yes: -105)
Best Odds
 +100 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 -110
 +100
 -105
 -
 -106

At home in a game with strong scoring potential, getting Saquon Barkley near even money for a touchdown feels like a gift. Sure, it’s not 2024 Barkley, but this offense isn’t as bad as it looked in Week 10, and the Lions are more than capable of giving up points. Barkley topped 100 total yards last week against a tough Green Bay defense and appears fully past his Week 8 groin injury. He scored twice just two games ago against the Giants and has been priced as short as -220 for a touchdown this season. Getting him close to even money in a likely shootout is a great value play — especially on a card with plenty of longshot props.

Rushing Yards
David Montgomery logo David Montgomery o40.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o38.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
o39.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o40.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -112
These are quick bet odds

Montgomery, who had 13 or fewer carries in seven of the eight games prior to Week 10, made the most of that extra involvement, taking those 15 runs 71 total yards – his second biggest rushing output of the season. Unlike past outings, he was involved in the opening scripts and took four handoffs in the first two offensive possessions. Running the ball is Detroit’s best plan of attack against the Eagles. Philadelphia does show weakness on the ground, sitting 25th in opponent success rate per handoff (44.3%), 21st in Run Defense DVOA at FTN, and 24th in run stop win rate at ESPN. Those all add up to an average of 4.4 yards allowed per carry (20th) and a Lions run game grinding out first downs. Montgomery’s player projections aren’t overwhelming by any means, with most sitting just north of his current rushing yards total. That said, those metrics aren’t accounting for the shift in philosophy under Campbell’s guidance.

Total
Detroit Lions logo Philadelphia Eagles logo u48.5 (-110)
Best Odds
u46.5 -102 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
u46.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
u46.5  -110
u46.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
u46.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
u46.5  -106
These are quick bet odds

Philadelphia’s vaunted pass rush looks like its back after laying dormant for most of the season, scoring 10 total sacks and increased QB pressures during its current three-game winning streak. Detroit’s offensive line will be tested on SNF after allowing Jared Goff to feel the sixth highest pressure rate against among qualified QBs. Goff runs a quick-hitting pass attack to begin with that keeps completions short. Now with Campbell taking over play calling, you can expect more handoffs from the Lions. Campbell snatched the playbook last week and Detroit ran on 48.5% of its snaps. That will keep the clock ticking with shorter gains, which is a solid recipe for Unders.

Score a Touchdown
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown (Yes: +100)
Projection 0.7 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +100 bet365
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
 -110
 +100
 -105
 -
 -106
With a sizeable 20.0% Red Zone Target Share (98th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. Saquon Barkley places in the 92nd percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a massive 19.7 figure this year.. Saquon Barkley's 90.6% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 85.2% mark.. With a remarkable rate of 0.22 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Saquon Barkley has been among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among running backs this year.. The Detroit Lions linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
+100 at bet365
Score a Touchdown
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown (Yes: +120)
Projection 0.62 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +120 bet365
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
 +105
 +120
 +110
 -
 +111
With an exceptional 68.9% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts stands among the most accurate QBs in the league.. Jalen Hurts has been one of the top TD passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 1.78 per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.. This year, the poor Lions defense has been torched for a staggering 2.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.. The Detroit Lions linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
+120 at bet365
Passing Completions
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff u22.5 Passing Completions (-122)
Projection 20.12 (Under)
Best Odds
u22.5 -122 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u21.5  -101
These are quick bet odds
 -
u22.5  -122
These are quick bet odds
u22.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
u22.5  -136
With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Lions.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in football versus the Eagles defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).. The Eagles linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
-122 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff u247.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 222.99 (Under)
Best Odds
u247.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u241.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
u241.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u247.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u242.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Lions.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.. Jared Goff has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (227.0) this season than he did last season (266.0).. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in football versus the Eagles defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo
Jalen Hurts u213.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 199.13 (Under)
Best Odds
u213.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u206.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
u205.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u213.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u207.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.9 plays per game.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has conceded a feeble 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 9th-best rate in football.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Brock Wright logo
Brock Wright o15.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 22.34 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o15.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o15.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
While Brock Wright has accounted for 4.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Detroit's pass game in this week's contest at 12.0%.. Brock Wright's 90.0% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a material boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 80.1% mark.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley logo
Saquon Barkley o16.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 21.19 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -117 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
 -
o16.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 3.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an exceptional 13.5% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in football.. Saquon Barkley grades out as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a terrific 20.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.. Saquon Barkley's 90.6% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 85.2% mark.
-117 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta logo
Sam LaPorta o39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 44.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -114 Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
o38.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o39.5  -114
o41.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
Sam LaPorta has run a route on 81.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.. The projections expect Sam LaPorta to garner 5.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.. With a remarkable 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (91st percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands among the best TEs in the pass game in football.. Sam LaPorta's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 77.8% to 89.3%.. Sam LaPorta's 10.3 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a meaningful progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 9.2 mark.
-114 at Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs o22.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Projection 25.59 (Over)
Best Odds
o21.5 -112 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o22.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
 -
o21.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o22.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o22.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects Jahmyr Gibbs to accrue 4.6 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.. Jahmyr Gibbs has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.9% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile among RBs.. Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 25.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 92.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive gain in his receiving talent over last year's 82.3% figure.. The Eagles pass defense has conceded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.7%) vs. running backs this year (85.7%).
-112 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (+121)
Projection 3.43 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +121 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +121
These are quick bet odds
 -
o0.5  +118
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
The Lions have been the 6th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 42.2% run rate.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
+121 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Total

66% picking Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksDET 575, PHI 295

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'n1stunnor' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

n1stunnor is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'n1stunnor' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

n1stunnor is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'APPLEST' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

APPLEST is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'newlife05' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

newlife05 is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Spread

'APPLEST' is picking Detroit to cover (+2.5)

APPLEST is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'newlife05' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

newlife05 is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'OXPrez24' is picking Detroit to cover (+2.5)

OXPrez24 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'OXPrez24' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over (46.5)

OXPrez24 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Total

'Dekalb_Danny_B' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over (46.5)

Dekalb_Danny_B is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'Dekalb_Danny_B' is picking Detroit to cover (+2.5)

Dekalb_Danny_B is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Spread

'jstoltey' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.5)

jstoltey is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'jstoltey' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

jstoltey is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Total

'dude18555' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over (46.5)

dude18555 is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'dude18555' is picking Detroit to cover (+2.5)

dude18555 is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'MarcusL' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

MarcusL is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'MarcusL' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

MarcusL is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'Peppershooter' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

Peppershooter is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'Peppershooter' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

Peppershooter is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Spread

'jizzy66' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

jizzy66 is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'joeczar' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over (46.5)

joeczar is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'joeczar' is picking Detroit to cover (+2.5)

joeczar is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'funaki' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Over (46.5)

funaki is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'funaki' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

funaki is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141
Total

'darkhorse12' picks Detroit vs Philadelphia to go Under (46.5)

darkhorse12 is #9 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 +100
47 -115
Spread

'darkhorse12' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-2.5)

darkhorse12 is #9 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
DET
PHI
Spread
+2.5 +110
-1.5 -141

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