New England Patriots

1st in AFC East (9 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

NENew England New England
at
Cincinnati CINCincinnati
Sun, Nov 23 13:00 ET

NE @ CIN Picks

NFL Picks
Receptions Made
Chase Brown logo Chase Brown o5.5 Receptions Made (+130)
Best Odds
o4.5 -130 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o4.5  -131
These are quick bet odds
 -
o5.5  +130
These are quick bet odds
o4.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
o4.5  -141
These are quick bet odds

After getting off to a brutal start this season, Chase Brown has racked up more than 100 total yards in four-straight games. While Brown might have a tough time finding room on the ground against the Patriots stingy run defense, he should be busy as a receiver out of the backfield. The Pats surrender a league-high 5.7 receptions per game to running back. Brown is coming off a six-catch performance against Pittsburgh and in his previous game he reeled in eight of 14 targets for 75 yards versus Chicago. With All-Pro wideout Ja'Marr Chase out with a suspension, there will be plenty of extra targets to go around.

Read Full Analysis
Spread
New England Patriots logo NE -5.5 (-114)
Best Odds
-7.0 -105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
-7.0  -108
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -110
-7.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -105
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -108
These are quick bet odds

New England has won eight straight, and they're a perfect 5-0 on the road. The Pats have also covered this exact spread in two of their previous three away games. 

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Hunter Henry logo Hunter Henry Score a Touchdown (Yes: +150)
Best Odds
 +200 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
 +200
 +145
 +170
 -
 +168

Hunter Henry is always a live touchdown option in this Patriots offense. The tight end has four scores on the year but it’s been four weeks since Henry has found the end zone, puffing up his ATTD price to +150. He’s drawn the seventh most red zone targets among all TEs and faces a Cincinnati defense that has allowed a league-high 12 touchdowns to the position. 

Score a Touchdown
Noah Fant logo Noah Fant Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Best Odds
 +440 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +330
 +425
 +440
 -
 +370

I’m always interested in high-priced tight end touchdown shots. Noah Fant ran the most routes and played the most snaps among Bengals TEs in Week 11, and he caught more passes (five) than any of their receivers. Since Mike Gesicki went down, Fant has posted two touchdowns and 14 catches over four games. The wrinkle is Gesicki’s return, as his practice window opened this week. Bringing him back now would be a bit rushed, and even if he’s activated, Fant has established a clear role with Joe Flacco — a quarterback Gesicki has played only two snaps with. Gesicki has just eight catches in six games, which makes an early position on Fant easier to justify. You can also wait for clarity, as Fant has closed around this price for a touchdown in four straight weeks. The Patriots are a Top-10 matchup for opposing TEs. 

Score a Touchdown
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)
Projection 0.72 (Yes)
Best Odds
 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -150
 -110
 -150
 -
 -139
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
-110 at bet365
Receptions Made
Mike Gesicki logo
Mike Gesicki u3.5 Receptions Made (-140)
Projection 2.58 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 -140 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
u3.5  -140
These are quick bet odds
 -
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).. When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.
-140 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o38.5 Passing Attempts (+103)
Projection 42.61 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -120 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o38.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
 -
o37.5  -120
o37.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  +103
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this game, Joe Flacco is expected by the projection model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 41.8.
-120 at FanDuel
Passing Yards
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o235.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 269.67 (Over)
Best Odds
o232.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o235.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o232.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o237.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o235.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the league against the Patriots defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tee Higgins logo
Tee Higgins o67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 88.54 (Over)
Best Odds
o67.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o68.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o69.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o67.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o69.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.77 yards.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o30.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 39.16 (Over)
Best Odds
o30.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has allowed a massive 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Mike Gesicki logo
Mike Gesicki u30.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 23.92 (Under)
Best Odds
u30.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
u30.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).. When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Hunter Henry logo
Hunter Henry o40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 43.64 (Over)
Best Odds
o39.5 -111 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o39.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o39.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o39.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The model projects Hunter Henry to garner 5.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among TEs.. Hunter Henry has notched a staggering 38.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among TEs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals defense has given up the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (83.0) to tight ends this year.
-111 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson logo
Rhamondre Stevenson o39.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 51 (Over)
Best Odds
o39.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o39.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
o39.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o41.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. This year, the deficient Bengals run defense has been gouged for a massive 166.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in the NFL.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye o23.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Projection 31.96 (Over)
Best Odds
o23.5 -111 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o23.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o25.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o24.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o25.5  -122
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. This year, the deficient Bengals run defense has been gouged for a massive 166.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in the NFL.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
-111 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'ChOmP' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+8.0)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Total

'ChOmP' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Total

'Ohyarain' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

Ohyarain is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Spread

'Ohyarain' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Ohyarain is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Total

'Jhusagic' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (49.5)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Total

'fttrdoyle' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (49.5)

fttrdoyle is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Spread

'fttrdoyle' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

fttrdoyle is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Spread

'Jhusagic' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Spread

'Alexmaldonado' is picking New England to cover (-5.5)

Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Total

'Alexmaldonado' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.5)

Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Spread

'dixdixpa33' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

dixdixpa33 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Total

'dixdixpa33' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.0)

dixdixpa33 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Total

'Scotty885' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.5)

Scotty885 is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Spread

'Scotty885' is picking New England to cover (-6.0)

Scotty885 is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Spread

'dahnguyen' is picking New England to cover (-5.5)

dahnguyen is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Total

'dahnguyen' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.0)

dahnguyen is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Total

'Technique' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

Technique is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Spread

'Technique' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Technique is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Spread

'roxwawy20' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Total

'roxwawy20' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (51.0)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.0 -138
50.5 -103
Spread

'Kilimonster' is picking New England to cover (-8.0)

Kilimonster is #8 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136
Spread

'CJONES1068' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

CJONES1068 is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-6.5 -121
+8.5 -136

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