Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL Player Props

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.2 per game) since the start of last season. Noah Fant has run a route on 68.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends. Noah Fant profiles as one of the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to skew 2.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays. This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The projections expect the Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Bengals defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (34.0 per game) since the start of last season.

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see just 125.3 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week. When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season. The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.7 plays per game. Since the start of last season, the stout Bengals defense has allowed a paltry 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-smallest rate in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to skew 2.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays. This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The projections expect the Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Bengals defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (34.0 per game) since the start of last season.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.2 per game) since the start of last season. Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 97.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers. With an impressive 7.2 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Ja'Marr Chase ranks among the leading wide receivers in the game in football.

Mike Gesicki has gone over 2.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Andrei Iosivas has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Travis Hunter has gone over 4.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.

Tee Higgins has gone over 5.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Dyami Brown has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.