Jacksonville Jaguars

2nd in AFC South (4 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

JACJacksonville Jacksonville
at
Las Vegas LVLas Vegas
Sun, Nov 2 16:05 ET

JAC @ LV Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Travis Hunter logo Travis Hunter Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +240 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +230
 +240
 +240
 -
 +230

There could be some value in Travis Hunter this week, as many have forgotten his breakout performance in Week 7 before the bye. Against the Rams, the rookie posted eight catches on 14 targets for over 100 yards and a touchdown. In an indoor matchup with the Raiders, I’d have this priced closer to +150. There’s also talk of Brian Thomas being on the trade block after looking checked out this season. This sets up as an elite spot indoors, and even Travis Etienne at -105 looks appealing. The Raiders are one of the league’s weakest teams, and this might be the last week bettors can grab Hunter at +200 or better. He is WR1 now.

Receptions Made
Travis Etienne Jr. logo
Travis Etienne Jr. u2.5 Receptions Made (-105)
Projection 2.07 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
u2.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
 -
A running game script is implied by the Jaguars being a 3-point favorite this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. Travis Etienne's 10.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 16.4.. Travis Etienne's 72.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 77.0% rate.. The Raiders pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.8%) to running backs this year (75.8%).
-105 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Touchdowns
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-136)
Projection 1 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -136 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u1.5  -137
These are quick bet odds
 -
u1.5  -136
These are quick bet odds
u1.5  -150
These are quick bet odds
u1.5  -137
These are quick bet odds
The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.6 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.. Geno Smith's 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his passing precision over last year's 70.1% mark.
-136 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u21.5 Passing Completions (-110)
Projection 19.74 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u21.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
u21.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u21.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u21.5  -125
The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.6 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.. Geno Smith's 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his passing precision over last year's 70.1% mark.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u32.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
Projection 27.86 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u32.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
u31.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
u32.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u32.5  -125
The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.6 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Trevor Lawrence logo
Trevor Lawrence o228.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 256.64 (Over)
Best Odds
o228.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o228.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o229.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o234.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o230.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Trevor Lawrence has attempted 33.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (247.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+114)
Projection 0.41 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u0.5  +108
u0.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +105
The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.6 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.. The Jacksonville Jaguars have intercepted 1.42 passes per game this year, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in the NFL by this standard.
+114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jakobi Meyers logo
Jakobi Meyers o48.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 62.64 (Over)
Best Odds
o48.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o48.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o48.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 96.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The projections expect Jakobi Meyers to total 7.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o51.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 64.58 (Over)
Best Odds
o49.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o51.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o51.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o49.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o50.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. This year, the deficient Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a staggering 75.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the most in the league.. This year, the deficient Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a whopping 9.07 yards.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Brian Thomas Jr. logo
Brian Thomas Jr. o56.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 66.52 (Over)
Best Odds
o56.5 -113 DraftKings
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o56.5  -113
 -
o57.5  -114
o57.5  -115
o56.5  -117
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Raiders defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (162.0) vs. WRs this year.. This year, the porous Raiders pass defense has yielded a massive 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in football.
-113 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
Hunter Long logo
Hunter Long o19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 23.48 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o19.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Hunter Long's 35.8% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 13.1% figure.. This year, the porous Raiders defense has been torched for the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a staggering 8.72 yards.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

69% picking Jacksonville

69%
31%

Total Picks JAC 519, LV 233

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'sailorman1965' is picking Jacksonville to cover (-3.0)

sailorman1965 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5950 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Total

'sailorman1965' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Over (45.5)

sailorman1965 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Total

'sgartner' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Under (44.5)

sgartner is #10 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Spread

'sgartner' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.0)

sgartner is #10 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Total

'Hesonfie24' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Over (45.5)

Hesonfie24 is #2 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Spread

'Hesonfie24' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.0)

Hesonfie24 is #2 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Total

'avangal' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Over (45.5)

avangal is #3 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Spread

'avangal' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.0)

avangal is #3 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Spread

'JLGiants38' is picking Jacksonville to cover (-3.0)

JLGiants38 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Total

'JLGiants38' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

JLGiants38 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Total

'rollonotes' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

rollonotes is #6 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-1-1) and +4400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Spread

'rollonotes' is picking Jacksonville to cover (-3.0)

rollonotes is #6 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-1-1) and +4400 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Spread

'Kilimonster' is picking Jacksonville to cover (-3.0)

Kilimonster is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Spread

'yume3502' is picking Jacksonville to cover (-3.0)

yume3502 is #8 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (3-1-1) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Spread

'fat italian' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.0)

fat italian is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115
Total

'fat italian' picks Jacksonville vs Las Vegas to go Under (44.5)

fat italian is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 +100
44.5 -104
Spread

'GodsArmy' is picking Jacksonville to cover (-3.0)

GodsArmy is #9 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
JAC
LV
Spread
-2.5 -115
+3.0 -115

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