Green Bay Packers
Picks

2nd in NFC North (8 - 3 - 1)

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Sun, Dec 7 16:25 ET

CHI @ GB Picks

Passing Yards

Jordan Love o212.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 223.03 (Over)

Best Odds

o212.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o216.5 -113

o220.5 -110

o212.5 -114

o220.5 -118

o215.5 -114

Jordan Love is positioned as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a stellar 67.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 81st percentile.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in football against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a monstrous 8.50 yards.. The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Rome Odunze o35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 54.62 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Receiving Yards

Christian Watson u54.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Projection 48.17 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The projections expect the Packers offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.00 seconds per play.. Christian Watson's 9.9 adjusted yards per target this year shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 10.9 mark.. Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a remarkable drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.1% figure.

Rushing Yards

Jordan Love o9.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 11.24 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 12 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to run on 46.1% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. After taking on 3.9% of his offense's run game usage last year, Jordan Love has been called on more in the run game this year, currently accounting for 9.0%.. Jordan Love's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a significant boost in his running talent over last year's 6.0 mark.. The Bears defense owns the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.23 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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62% picking Chicago

62% 62%

38% 38%

Total Picks CHI 283, GB 174

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Top User Picks

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'jenjay23' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'jenjay23' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (45.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'Sandsaver727' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

Sandsaver727 is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Sandsaver727' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (46.5)

Sandsaver727 is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

Jhusagic is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

Jhusagic is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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CHI

GB

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'adamort22' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

adamort22 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'adamort22' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (45.5)

adamort22 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'CJONES1068' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (46.5)

CJONES1068 is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'CJONES1068' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

CJONES1068 is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'Roundrobinking' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (45.5)

Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'Roundrobinking' is picking Chicago to cover (+5.5)

Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'dberry963' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

dberry963 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'dberry963' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

dberry963 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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