Green Bay Packers
Picks

1st in NFC North (2 - 0 - 0)

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at

Sun, Sep 21 13:00 ET

GB @ CLE Picks

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GB -8.0 (-114)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

The Packers have put in work in the opening two weeks, scoring victories over fellow NFC contenders Detroit and Washington.

Green Bay now enters Week 3 off a mini bye after blowing away the Commanders last Thursday. This look-ahead line was Packers -7.5 but official openers are at -8.5 and climbing with some shops already dealing -9.

The Browns are 0-2 and just got chewed up by the Baltimore Ravens in Week 2. Cleveland pulled veteran QB Joe Flacco and gave rookie Dillon Gabriel a go, which produced some positives. He could get the start next week against this nasty Cheesehead defense.

Score a Touchdown

Tucker Kraft Score a Touchdown (Yes: +200)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

With Jayden Reed out after breaking his collarbone last week, there’s opportunity for more targets to go around, and tight end Tucker Kraft stands out as the best value at +170 or better. He’s led all Packers skill players (RB/WR/TE) in snap share for two straight weeks and posted a team-high 79% route participation in Week 2. Kraft found the end zone again last week and racked up 124 receiving yards on seven targets, including two in the red zone. He’s now caught two touchdowns on just three red-zone targets this season. Given all the wide receiver rotation in Green Bay, Kraft offers the most reliable role at this price and is the best TD bet on the board.

Receiving Yards

Josh Jacobs o9.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Projection 16.2 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Josh Jacobs has run a route on 47.7% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.. The Green Bay O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.. Josh Jacobs checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 17.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.. Josh Jacobs profiles as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, averaging an impressive 7.90 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 84th percentile.. With an outstanding 11.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Jacobs rates among the leading running backs in the pass game in the NFL in the open field.

Receiving Yards

Jerry Jeudy o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 59.5 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game.. The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. With a high 93.2% Route Participation Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Jerry Jeudy rates among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

Receiving Yards

Romeo Doubs o42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 49 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Romeo Doubs has run a route on 85.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.. Romeo Doubs has notched a whopping 68.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The Green Bay O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.. Romeo Doubs comes in as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a stellar 9.71 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 87th percentile among WRs.. The Browns pass defense has shown weak efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 9.31 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

Rushing Yards

Josh Jacobs o70.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 88.5 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.. In this contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.6 carries.. After accounting for 64.1% of his team's run game usage last season, Josh Jacobs has had a larger role in the running game this season, now making up 80.9%.. Josh Jacobs has averaged 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (95th percentile).

Consensus Picks

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69% picking Green Bay

69% 69%

31% 31%

Total Picks GB 469, CLE 206

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GB

CLE

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Top User Picks

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'Sandsaver727' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

Sandsaver727 is #1 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'Sandsaver727' picks Green Bay vs Cleveland to go Under (43.0)

Sandsaver727 is #1 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'loserj' is picking Green Bay to cover (-7.5)

loserj is #10 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'loserj' picks Green Bay vs Cleveland to go Under (43.0)

loserj is #10 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'hammerhead66' is picking Green Bay to cover (-8.5)

hammerhead66 is #2 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'hammerhead66' picks Green Bay vs Cleveland to go Under (42.5)

hammerhead66 is #2 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'HOLLANDANDITALY' is picking Green Bay to cover (-7.5)

HOLLANDANDITALY is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'spottie2935' is picking Cleveland to cover (+8.5)

spottie2935 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'Jts1028' picks Green Bay vs Cleveland to go Under (42.5)

Jts1028 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Jts1028' is picking Green Bay to cover (-7.5)

Jts1028 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'Monsmon45' is picking Green Bay to cover (-8.5)

Monsmon45 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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CLE

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'Monsmon45' picks Green Bay vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

Monsmon45 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'kensmith' is picking Green Bay to cover (-8.5)

kensmith is #9 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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GB

CLE

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'kensmith' picks Green Bay vs Cleveland to go Under (42.5)

kensmith is #9 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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