Green Bay Packers Picks
4th in NFC North
(5 - 3 - 0)
Next Game
GB @ NE Picks
NFL PicksThe Pats’ blitz-heavy schemes may work against the likes of Malik Willis and Geno Smith, but Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love is one of the top passers at picking apart the blitz. He’s busted blitz-happy opponents like Carolina, Chicago, and Minnesota for big gains in 2026. Love is also elite throwing against man coverage, which New England uses at the third-highest frequency.
Green Bay benefits from added rest and preparation after covering the spread for a fifth consecutive game on Thursday Night Football, while New England is dealing with a slew of injuries on offense. The Packers defense has also allowed the third-lowest EPA per play with just 14.6 points per game during the run. Green Bay QB Jordan Love ranks first in air yards and fourth in completion percentage over expected across the five games, too, so I expect Green Bay to be the better team on both sides of the ball Sunday.
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusGB @ NE · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
NE
-3.5 spread
-3.41
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.05%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL
Over
46.0 Total
47.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
13.66%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low