The New England Patriots host the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC Wild Card Round on Sunday Night Football.
All eyes will be on Drake Maye and Justin Herbert, but both quarterbacks have been getting clobbered in the pocket, and my NFL picks are betting on a pair of defenders to take them down.
Here are my best Chargers vs. Patriots props for January 11.
Chargers vs Patriots SNF props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Rhamondre Stevenson |
Over 56.5 rushing + receiving yards | -114 |
 Tuli Tuipulotu |
To record a sack | -136 |
| Harold Landry III |
To record a sack | +124 |
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 56.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114)
Rhamondre Stevenson had issues with ball security and a toe injury earlier in the season. However, the veteran running back came on strong down the stretch and was one of the New England Patriots' best players.
Stevenson rushed for a season-high 131 yards last week while adding 22 yards through the air. He's racked up more than 75 scrimmage yards from scrimmage in five-straight contests, averaging 98.0 yards per game over that span.
The Los Angeles Chargers have a strong pass defense but are vulnerable against the run, ranking 18th in defensive rush DVOA and yards allowed per carry (4.3). They've been especially soft on duo run plays, where Stevenson averages 5.1 yards per rush.
Tuli Tuipulotu to record a sack (-136)
Drake Maye had a strong regular season but was sacked 47 times, the fourth-most in the NFL. Out of quarterbacks with at least 100 plays, Maye took the seventh-longest time to throw (2.81 seconds) and had the fifth-highest pressure responsibly.
The sophomore holds on to the ball too long because his mediocre receivers can't separate from the defensive backs. They'll have a tough time getting open against the Bolts, which will make Maye vulnerable in the pocket.
Expect edge rusher Tuli Tuipulotu to take advantage. Tuipulotu finished the regular season 11th in the league in pressures (70) and sixth in sacks (13), picking up a sack in six of his last nine games.
Harold Landry to record a sack (+124)
Patriots' edge rusher Harold Landry III is on track to return after missing two weeks with a knee injury. Landry led New England with 8.5 sacks and notched a sack in three of his last four games.
L.A. has struggled in pass protection with offensive tackles Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater out due to season-ending injuries. The Chargers allowed 60 sacks during the regular season — the second-highest total in the NFL.
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Chargers vs Patriots SNF prop betting card
- Stevenson o56.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114)
- Tuli Tuipulotu to record a sack (-136)
- Harold Landry III to record a sack (+124)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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