Detroit Lions

2nd in NFC North (2 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 4 20:20 ET

DET @ CAR Picks

NFL Picks
Game Prop
Detroit Lions image thumbnail o27.5 Team Total (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Detroit is willing to win shootouts, as we’ve seen, and new offensive coordinator Drew Petzing is finding his groove. Quarterback Jared Goff spread the ball around to eight different options on Sunday, and it woke up the rest of the weapons, beyond Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Lions owned the fourth-highest EPA per play in Week 3 and aren’t leaving points on the table, boasting the sixth-highest TD rate inside the red zone to start the year. Carolina is short in the secondary and dead last in red zone defense, giving up a TD on almost 86% of their opponents' trips inside the 20-yard line. Detroit does the "lion's share" of the scoring to get this Sunday night game and gets Over its team total.

Total
Detroit Lions image thumbnail Carolina Panthers image thumbnail o50.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Pair a couple of injury-riddled defenses with two capable offenses, and there are going to be points on the board in this primetime Sunday Night Football bout. Detroit is averaging 31 points per game while ranking third in offensive success rate, and while Carolina hasn’t been quite as efficient, the Panthers have still hung 29.7 points per game. In particular, I value Panthers QB Bryce Young ranking eighth in adjusted EPA per play to go with a career-high 7.8 yards per attempt and 10.5 aDoT though three weeks. 

Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o246.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 250.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o2.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 8.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Jared Goff has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this year (8.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.8%).. Since the start of last season, the weak Carolina Panthers run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Chuba Hubbard logo
Chuba Hubbard o66.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Projection 72.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to notch 19.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. After taking on 34.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Chuba Hubbard has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now accounting for 76.5%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o10.5 Rushing Yards (-150)
Projection 14.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Bryce Young to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this week's game (10.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown o75.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 86.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 11.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a top-tier 33.3% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.. When talking about air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 86.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 79.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o70.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 76.43 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Chuba Hubbard logo
Chuba Hubbard o15.5 Receiving Yards (-155)
Projection 20.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. Chuba Hubbard rates as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 15.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Passing Attempts
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o34.5 Passing Attempts (-130)
Projection 36.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Anytime Touchdown
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff Score a Touchdown (Yes: +1400)
Projection 0.1 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Jared Goff to throw 36.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Jared Goff's 70.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteworthy growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.8% rate.. Jared Goff has been among the best TD throwers in football since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 1.91 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on Jared Goff's stats page since the start of last season.
Anytime Touchdown
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs Score a Touchdown (Yes: -319)
Projection 1.13 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Jahmyr Gibbs has put up a massive 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Jahmyr Gibbs's 33.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 27.5.. Jahmyr Gibbs's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 83.3% to 90.3%.. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 0.32 per game.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

55% picking Detroit

55%
45%

Total Picks DET 292, CAR 238

Spread
DET
CAR
Total

69% picking Detroit vs Carolina to go Over

69%
31%

Total PicksDET 245, CAR 111

Total
Over
Under

DET @ CAR · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
CAR +3.5 spread
3.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
CAR +3.5 spread

PROJECTION

3.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -104
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Detroit Lions image thumbnail Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
Under 50.5 Total
49.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Detroit Lions image thumbnail Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
Under 50.5 Total

PROJECTION

49.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u51.5 -115
theScore Bet logo
PASSING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards
250.32 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

250.32 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

o245.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o2.5 Rushing Yards
8.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o2.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

8.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Jared Goff has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this year (8.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.8%).. Since the start of last season, the weak Carolina Panthers run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o66.5 Rushing Yards
72.39 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o66.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

72.39 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to notch 19.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. After taking on 34.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Chuba Hubbard has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now accounting for 76.5%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o64.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
14.23 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
20.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.23 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
20.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Bryce Young to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this week's game (10.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o10.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) u94.5 Rushing Yards
94.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) u94.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

94.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.99% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u97.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o75.5 Receiving Yards
86.51 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
23.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o75.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

86.51 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
23.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 11.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a top-tier 33.3% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.. When talking about air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 86.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 79.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

o75.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards
76.43 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

76.43 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.56% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.

o68.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Receiving Yards
20.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
20.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

20.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
20.94% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. Chuba Hubbard rates as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 15.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

o15.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o35.5 Receiving Yards
35.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projection model to land in the 98th percentile among running backs with 6.2 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs has put up a massive 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Jahmyr Gibbs's 33.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 27.5.. Jahmyr Gibbs comes in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o35.5 -109
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u48.5 Receiving Yards
48.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u48.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. Sam LaPorta's 82.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 88.3% figure.

u49.5 -115
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. With an excellent 1.9 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Chuba Hubbard has been among the best RB receiving threats in the NFL.

o2.5 -137
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. Sam LaPorta's 82.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 88.3% figure.

u4.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
7.03 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.03 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 11.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a top-tier 33.3% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.. With a fantastic 6.4 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

o6.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Rushing Attempts
17.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to notch 19.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. After taking on 34.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Chuba Hubbard has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now accounting for 76.5%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o15.5 -125
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o19.5 Rushing Attempts
19.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o19.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

19.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among running backs with 21.8 rush attempts.. Jahmyr Gibbs has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (80.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (59.1%).

o19.5 -108
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts
2.53 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-14.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

2.53 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-14.14% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Bryce Young to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this week's game (10.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o2.5 -130
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts
36.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
20.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
20.14% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

o34.5 -129
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
22.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.6% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

o20.5 -130
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u23.5 Passing Completions
22.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best CB corps in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

u23.5 -115
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Jared Goff to throw 36.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Jared Goff's 70.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteworthy growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.8% rate.. Jared Goff has been among the best TD throwers in football since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 1.91 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on Jared Goff's stats page since the start of last season.

+1200
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown
1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Jahmyr Gibbs has put up a massive 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Jahmyr Gibbs's 33.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 27.5.. Jahmyr Gibbs's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 83.3% to 90.3%.. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 0.32 per game.

-300
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.75 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.75 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

-134
Caesars logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 39.1% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When talking about air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 86.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 75.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 97th percentile for wide receivers.. With an impressive rate of 0.73 per game through the air (99th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

-111
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

+290
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

+125
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Sam LaPorta has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 21.7% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Sam LaPorta ranks in the towering 82nd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 30.0 per game.. Sam LaPorta has been in the 89th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 34.8 figure this year.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.31 per game through the air (84th percentile), Sam LaPorta rates among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

+200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.26% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.

+525
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u0.5 +106
FanDuel logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. In throwing a measly 0.39 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Jared Goff places among the best quarterbacks in the league (78th percentile).

u0.5 -140
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
CAR +3.5 spread
3.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
CAR +3.5 spread

PROJECTION

3.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -104
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Detroit Lions image thumbnail Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
Under 50.5 Total
49.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Detroit Lions image thumbnail Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
Under 50.5 Total

PROJECTION

49.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u51.5 -115
theScore Bet logo
PASSING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards
250.32 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

250.32 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

o245.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o2.5 Rushing Yards
8.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) o2.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

8.01 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
25.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Jared Goff has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this year (8.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.8%).. Since the start of last season, the weak Carolina Panthers run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o66.5 Rushing Yards
72.39 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o66.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

72.39 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to notch 19.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. After taking on 34.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Chuba Hubbard has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now accounting for 76.5%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o64.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
14.23 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
20.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.23 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
20.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Bryce Young to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this week's game (10.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o10.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) u94.5 Rushing Yards
94.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) u94.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

94.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.99% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u97.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o75.5 Receiving Yards
86.51 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
23.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o75.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

86.51 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
23.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 11.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a top-tier 33.3% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.. When talking about air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 86.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 79.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

o75.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards
76.43 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

76.43 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
22.56% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.

o68.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Receiving Yards
20.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
20.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

20.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
20.94% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. Chuba Hubbard rates as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 15.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

o15.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o35.5 Receiving Yards
35.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.86 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projection model to land in the 98th percentile among running backs with 6.2 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs has put up a massive 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Jahmyr Gibbs's 33.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 27.5.. Jahmyr Gibbs comes in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o35.5 -109
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u48.5 Receiving Yards
48.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u48.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. Sam LaPorta's 82.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 88.3% figure.

u49.5 -115
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.. With an excellent 1.9 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Chuba Hubbard has been among the best RB receiving threats in the NFL.

o2.5 -137
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. Sam LaPorta's 82.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 88.3% figure.

u4.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
7.03 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.03 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 11.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a top-tier 33.3% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.. With a fantastic 6.4 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

o6.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Rushing Attempts
17.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o15.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to notch 19.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. After taking on 34.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Chuba Hubbard has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now accounting for 76.5%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o15.5 -125
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o19.5 Rushing Attempts
19.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) o19.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

19.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among running backs with 21.8 rush attempts.. Jahmyr Gibbs has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (80.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (59.1%).

o19.5 -108
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts
2.53 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-14.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

2.53 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-14.14% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Bryce Young to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this week's game (10.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of LBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o2.5 -130
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts
36.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
20.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.66 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
20.14% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

o34.5 -129
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
22.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.16 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.6% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

o20.5 -130
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u23.5 Passing Completions
22.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best CB corps in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

u23.5 -115
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast Jared Goff to throw 36.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Jared Goff's 70.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteworthy growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.8% rate.. Jared Goff has been among the best TD throwers in football since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 1.91 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on Jared Goff's stats page since the start of last season.

+1200
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown
1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Gibbs (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

1.13 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Jahmyr Gibbs has put up a massive 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Jahmyr Gibbs's 33.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 27.5.. Jahmyr Gibbs's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 83.3% to 90.3%.. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 0.32 per game.

-300
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.75 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.75 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.74% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

-134
Caesars logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
A. St. Brown (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 39.1% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When talking about air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the towering 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 86.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 75.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 97th percentile for wide receivers.. With an impressive rate of 0.73 per game through the air (99th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

-111
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

+290
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

+125
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Sam LaPorta logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
S. LaPorta (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projection model to run 68.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.. Sam LaPorta has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 21.7% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Sam LaPorta ranks in the towering 82nd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 30.0 per game.. Sam LaPorta has been in the 89th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 34.8 figure this year.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.31 per game through the air (84th percentile), Sam LaPorta rates among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

+200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.26% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Bryce Young to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.

+525
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u0.5 +106
FanDuel logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Goff logo
Detroit Lions image thumbnail
J. Goff (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The Lions have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier weather in this game.. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.. In throwing a measly 0.39 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Jared Goff places among the best quarterbacks in the league (78th percentile).

u0.5 -140
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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'TDRO1' picks Detroit vs Carolina to go Under (50.5)

TDRO1 is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'TDRO1' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.5)

TDRO1 is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'2dawgnation2' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

2dawgnation2 is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'DKSTACKER' picks Detroit vs Carolina to go Under (50.5)

DKSTACKER is #4 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'DKSTACKER' is picking Detroit to cover (-3.5)

DKSTACKER is #4 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'123freeme666' picks Detroit vs Carolina to go Over (50.5)

123freeme666 is #5 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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Under
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'Dalmeetz48' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

Dalmeetz48 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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DET
CAR
Total

'Dalmeetz48' picks Detroit vs Carolina to go Under (49.5)

Dalmeetz48 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'hudsoncty3344' is picking Detroit to cover (-3.0)

hudsoncty3344 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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DET
CAR
Total

'hudsoncty3344' picks Detroit vs Carolina to go Over (49.5)

hudsoncty3344 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Patrick9' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.5)

Patrick9 is #9 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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DET
CAR

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