Detroit Lions

3rd in NFC North (8 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 21 16:25 ET

PIT @ DET Picks

NFL Picks
Receptions Made
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs u5.5 Receptions Made (-120)
Projection 4.5 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.. The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.0% pass rate.. As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
Passing Completions
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o20.5 Passing Completions (-102)
Projection 23.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Steelers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.6.
Passing Attempts
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o32.5 Passing Attempts (+100)
Projection 39.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Steelers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.6.
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o222.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 259.08 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Steelers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This year, the shaky Lions defense has yielded a colossal 246.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 7th-most in the league.
Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o259.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 288.99 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.9 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-most in football.. Jared Goff has been one of the top QBs in the league this year, averaging an excellent 244.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown o76.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 95.69 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-most in football.. The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 11.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this season (33.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.1%).
Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf logo
DK Metcalf o60.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 71.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Steelers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (168.0) versus WRs this year.
Rushing Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs o71.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 78.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.. The Lions rank as the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.0% run rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the projections to place in the 89th percentile among RBs with 17.5 rush attempts.. Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 58.3% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'stom5900' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +10650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'stom5900' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +10650 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+6.5)

livelywee55 is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Total

'livelywee55' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Over (49.5)

livelywee55 is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'gargoyle127' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Over (49.5)

gargoyle127 is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'bigsmoke21169' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +8800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +8800 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Spread

'gargoyle127' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

gargoyle127 is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Spread

'bugsy1958' is picking Detroit to cover (-7.0)

bugsy1958 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +7200 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Total

'bugsy1958' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Over (49.5)

bugsy1958 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +7200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Jackson2399' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

Jackson2399 is #4 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Total

'Jackson2399' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

Jackson2399 is #4 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'PaPe454' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+6.5)

PaPe454 is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Total

'PaPe454' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Over (49.5)

PaPe454 is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'Bazooks813973' picks Pittsburgh vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

Bazooks813973 is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +6030 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Bazooks813973' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

Bazooks813973 is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +6030 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Spread

'jstoltey' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+7.0)

jstoltey is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Spread

'CAlex6977' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

CAlex6977 is #9 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
DET
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo