Detroit Lions
Picks

4th in NFC North (8 - 8 - 0)

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at

Sun, Jan 4 16:25 ET

DET @ CHI Picks

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CHI -3.0 (-104)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

Dan Campbell will try to get his team up for this game, but I’m not sure how effective that will be, how much his stars will ultimately play, or how much it even matters if the Lions are at 100% on Sunday. Right now, Chicago is the better team. With a small spread at home, I’m taking the Bears to cover.

Read Full Analysis

Score a Touchdown

Olamide Zaccheaus Score a Touchdown (Yes: +260)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

Olamide Zaccheaus was a late scratch last week due to illness and should be good to go by Sunday. Jahdae Walker absorbed most of his work, running routes on 71% of dropbacks and finishing with 30 yards and a red-zone target. If Zaccheaus returns, he’s expected to reclaim a larger role, especially with Rome Odunze potentially missing his fifth straight game. Chicago is still playing for the No. 2 seed, and Ben Johnson gets another shot at his former team. The Bears torched Detroit in Week 2, hanging 52 points while Chicago WRs piled up 234 yards and two TDs. There’s some risk the illness lingers, but with TD prices already moving on Luther Burden and Coltson Loveland, this is a spot worth monitoring closely through the week.

Receptions Made

Luther Burden III u4.5 Receptions Made (-118)

Projection 3.53 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the strong Lions defense has surrendered a mere 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

-118 at Caesars

Receptions Made

Colston Loveland u3.5 Receptions Made (+125)

Projection 3.32 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The Lions pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.7%) versus TEs this year (67.7%).. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Passing Completions

Caleb Williams u19.5 Passing Completions (-120)

Projection 17.2 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a mere 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in football.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

-120 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Jared Goff o32.5 Passing Attempts (-114)

Projection 36.09 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Lions being a massive -10.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 37.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Caleb Williams u238.5 Passing Yards (-107)

Projection 196.48 (Under)

Best Odds

u239.5 -111

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u239.5 -111

u235.5 -110

u236.5 -114

u235.5 -115

u238.5 -107

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a mere 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in football.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

-111 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Jared Goff o254.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 265.77 (Over)

Best Odds

o254.5 -111

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o254.5 -111

o256.5 -110

o254.5 -114

o256.5 -115

o254.5 -114

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Lions being a massive -10.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 37.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.. With an impressive tally of 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Jared Goff rates among the best passers in the league this year.

-111 at DraftKings

Interceptions Thrown

Jared Goff u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-105)

Projection 0.41 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year.. The Chicago Bears have intercepted 1.19 balls per game this year, ranking as the best defense in the NFL by this statistic.

Receiving Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs o32.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 45.77 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Lions being a massive -10.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile among RBs with 8.2 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this year (18.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.4%).

Receiving Yards

Luther Burden III u60.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 49.32 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the strong Lions defense has surrendered a mere 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

Colston Loveland u47.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 39.74 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The Lions pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.7%) versus TEs this year (67.7%).. This year, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has given up the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a meager 7.2 yards.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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65% picking Chicago

35% 35%

65% 65%

Total Picks DET 190, CHI 348

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DET

CHI

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Top User Picks

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'PaPe454' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

PaPe454 is #1 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'PaPe454' is picking Chicago to cover (-3.0)

PaPe454 is #1 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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DET

CHI

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'ciarajo' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

ciarajo is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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DET

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'ciarajo' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

ciarajo is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'CJONES1068' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

CJONES1068 is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'jstoltey' is picking Detroit to cover (+3.0)

jstoltey is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +6350 units on the season.

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CHI

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'tennis' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

tennis is #5 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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'tennis' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

tennis is #5 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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'grandelou11' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (49.5)

grandelou11 is #6 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'grandelou11' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

grandelou11 is #6 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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DET

CHI

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'gargoyle127' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

gargoyle127 is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'gargoyle127' is picking Chicago to cover (-3.0)

gargoyle127 is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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DET

CHI

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'whooped' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Over (50.5)

whooped is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +5500 units on the season.

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'whooped' is picking Detroit to cover (+3.0)

whooped is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +5500 units on the season.

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CHI

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