Detroit Lions
Picks

4th in NFC North (8 - 8 - 0)

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at

Sun, Jan 4 16:25 ET

DET @ CHI Picks

Score a Touchdown

Olamide Zaccheaus Score a Touchdown (Yes: +260)

Best Odds

Pick made: 19 hours ago

Olamide Zaccheaus was a late scratch last week due to illness and should be good to go by Sunday. Jahdae Walker absorbed most of his work, running routes on 71% of dropbacks and finishing with 30 yards and a red-zone target. If Zaccheaus returns, he’s expected to reclaim a larger role, especially with Rome Odunze potentially missing his fifth straight game. Chicago is still playing for the No. 2 seed, and Ben Johnson gets another shot at his former team. The Bears torched Detroit in Week 2, hanging 52 points while Chicago WRs piled up 234 yards and two TDs. There’s some risk the illness lingers, but with TD prices already moving on Luther Burden and Coltson Loveland, this is a spot worth monitoring closely through the week.

Passing Completions

Caleb Williams u19.5 Passing Completions (-113)

Projection 16.28 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a mere 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in football.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

-113 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Jared Goff o32.5 Passing Attempts (-110)

Projection 36.32 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Lions being a massive -10.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 60.2% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 38.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

-110 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Caleb Williams u236.5 Passing Yards (-108)

Projection 192.67 (Under)

Best Odds

u236.5 -108

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u236.5 -113

u235.5 -110

u236.5 -114

u235.5 -115

u236.5 -108

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a mere 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in football.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

-108 at Caesars

Passing Yards

Jared Goff o256.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 266.03 (Over)

Best Odds

o254.5 -114

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o256.5 -111

o256.5 -110

o254.5 -114

o256.5 -115

o256.5 -114

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Lions being a massive -10.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 60.2% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 38.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.. With an impressive tally of 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Jared Goff rates among the best passers in the league this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Interceptions Thrown

Jared Goff u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-105)

Projection 0.41 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 18 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year.. The Chicago Bears have intercepted 1.19 balls per game this year, ranking as the best defense in the NFL by this statistic.

Rushing Yards

Caleb Williams o20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 25.57 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The Chicago Bears have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 61.4 plays per game.

Rushing Yards

D'Andre Swift o52.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 58.78 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3 points.. The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The Chicago Bears have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 61.4 plays per game.. In this game, D'Andre Swift is expected by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.9 rush attempts.

Consensus Picks

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66% picking Chicago

34% 34%

66% 66%

Total Picks DET 142, CHI 270

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DET

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Top User Picks

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'PaPe454' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

PaPe454 is #1 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'PaPe454' is picking Chicago to cover (-3.0)

PaPe454 is #1 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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DET

CHI

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'ciarajo' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

ciarajo is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'ciarajo' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

ciarajo is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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Under

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'CJONES1068' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

CJONES1068 is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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DET

CHI

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'jstoltey' is picking Detroit to cover (+3.0)

jstoltey is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +6350 units on the season.

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'tennis' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

tennis is #5 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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'tennis' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (50.5)

tennis is #5 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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Under

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'grandelou11' picks Detroit vs Chicago to go Under (49.5)

grandelou11 is #6 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'grandelou11' is picking Chicago to cover (-2.5)

grandelou11 is #6 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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DET

CHI

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