Detroit Lions
Picks

3rd in NFC North (8 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

DET @ LA Picks

Spread

DET +6.0 (-110)

Best Odds

Pick made: 14 hours ago

Los Angeles has almost no home-field edge at SoFi Stadium, especially against teams like the Lions, who have widespread fanbases and travel well. There will be no shortage of Honolulu Blue in the stands this Sunday. The Lions should be able to grind out gains on the ground but exploit a soft secondary for L.A. with a talent group of receivers.

Passing Completions

Jared Goff o22.5 Passing Completions (-115)

Projection 25.25 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 21 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.. Jared Goff grades out as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an excellent 69.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Passing Attempts

Jared Goff o34.5 Passing Attempts (+145)

Projection 37.35 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

-111 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Matthew Stafford o34.5 Passing Attempts (+115)

Projection 37.65 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 39.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.

-130 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Jared Goff o249.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 290.19 (Over)

Best Odds

o248.5 -111

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o248.5 -111

o249.5 -110

o248.5 -114

o248.5 -114

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

-111 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford o266.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 293.88 (Over)

Best Odds

o264.5 -112

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o264.5 -112

o266.5 -110

o267.5 -114

o266.5 -115

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. With an exceptional rate of 250.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the leading passers in the league this year.. This year, the weak Detroit Lions defense has yielded a massive 241.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst in the league.

-112 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Puka Nacua o94.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 104.39 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. The model projects Puka Nacua to accrue 11.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. This year, the porous Lions defense has yielded a colossal 166.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Total

63% picking Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over

63% 63%

37% 37%

Total PicksDET 179, LA 106

Total

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Under

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Top User Picks

More Picks

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'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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DET

LA

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'Rossi35' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (51.0)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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Under

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'nora99' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (55.0)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

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'nora99' is picking Detroit to cover (+5.5)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

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DET

LA

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'Noonball' is picking Detroit to cover (+4.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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DET

LA

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'Noonball' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (51.0)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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Under

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'SUNIN65' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over (51.5)

SUNIN65 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

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Under

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'SUNIN65' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

SUNIN65 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

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DET

LA

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'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

1003008gl is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

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DET

LA

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'1003008gl' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over (51.0)

1003008gl is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

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Over

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