Detroit Lions

3rd in NFC North (8 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

DET @ LA Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Detroit Lions logo DET +6.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Los Angeles has almost no home-field edge at SoFi Stadium, especially against teams like the Lions, who have widespread fanbases and travel well. There will be no shortage of Honolulu Blue in the stands this Sunday. The Lions should be able to grind out gains on the ground but exploit a soft secondary for L.A. with a talent group of receivers. 

Passing Completions
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o22.5 Passing Completions (-115)
Projection 25.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.. Jared Goff grades out as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an excellent 69.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.
Passing Attempts
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o34.5 Passing Attempts (+145)
Projection 37.35 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
Passing Attempts
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o34.5 Passing Attempts (+115)
Projection 37.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 39.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o249.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 290.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Lions, who are -5.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o266.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 293.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. With an exceptional rate of 250.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the leading passers in the league this year.. This year, the weak Detroit Lions defense has yielded a massive 241.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Puka Nacua logo
Puka Nacua o94.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 104.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 134.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.. The model projects Puka Nacua to accrue 11.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. This year, the porous Lions defense has yielded a colossal 166.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 5th-worst in the NFL.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

63% picking Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksDET 179, LA 106

Total
Over
Under

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Spread

'Rossi35' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6700 units on the season.

Spread
DET
LA
Total

'Rossi35' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (51.0)

Rossi35 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'nora99' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (55.0)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'nora99' is picking Detroit to cover (+5.5)

nora99 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

Spread
DET
LA
Spread

'Noonball' is picking Detroit to cover (+4.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread
DET
LA
Total

'Noonball' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Under (51.0)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'SUNIN65' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over (51.5)

SUNIN65 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'SUNIN65' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

SUNIN65 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
DET
LA
Spread

'1003008gl' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-4.5)

1003008gl is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
DET
LA
Total

'1003008gl' picks Detroit vs L.A. Rams to go Over (51.0)

1003008gl is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo