Detroit Lions

2nd in NFC North (5 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

MINMinnesota Minnesota
at
Detroit DETDetroit
Sun, Nov 2 13:00 ET

MIN @ DET Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Aaron Jones Sr. logo Aaron Jones Sr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +220)
Best Odds
 +230 bet365
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +225
 +230
 +220
 -
 +215

Aaron Jones returned last week and immediately took control of the backfield, leading in snap share (53%), route share (44%), and carries (five). The offense struggled overall, so volume was limited, but Jones is the back-to-back on Sunday. He was the only running back to see a red-zone carry and also drew a target. Don’t read too much into the low carry count, as starters were pulled late. The key takeaway is usage—Jones handled nearly two-thirds of the backfield opportunities, signaling he’s the clear lead option. With the potential negative game script and Jones' role as a pass catcher, I'd play this to +180. 

Game Prop
Detroit Lions logo o28.5 Team Total (-108)
Best Odds
o19.5 -112 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o19.5  -112
 -
 -
 -
 -

If there's one thing we know about the Lions during the Jared Goff era, it's that they light up the scoreboard at home. They are third in the league in scoring (30.7 ppg) this year while ranking seventh in EPA/play. They should move the ball against a Minnesota D that's been exposed the last two weeks. Last week, the Vikings surrendered 419 yards and 37 points to the Chargers, and the week before, Jalen Hurts threw for 326 yards on 14.2 yards per attempt against them. The core of this Lions offense has been together for years, and they know how to handle this blitz-heavy Brian Flores defense. They've scored 30+ points in the last five meetings between these NFC North rivals

Spread
Detroit Lions logo DET -8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
-9.0 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-8.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-8.5  -110
-8.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
-9.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-8.5  -112
These are quick bet odds

The Lions are a force at Ford Field with a 10-2 record and average of 35.7 points per game since the beginning of last season. Detroit is coming off its bye week, and Minny has serious questions at quarterback. The Vikings aren’t going to be able to keep up with the Lions on Sunday, and I'm expecting this line to move in the Detriot direction over the week.

Score a Touchdown
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: -108)
Projection 0.7 (Yes)
Best Odds
 -108 Caesars
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
 -115
 -
 -110
 -
 -108
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With an impressive 37.5% Red Zone Target% (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the end zone in football.. In regards to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the lofty 75th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a massive 65.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 62.4.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a remarkable 84.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 97th percentile among WRs.
-108 at Caesars
Passing Attempts
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o30.5 Passing Attempts (-102)
Projection 34.97 (Over)
Best Odds
o30.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
 -
o30.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -115
The Vikings are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
-102 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o236.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 270.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o236.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o239.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o236.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o239.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o239.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Jared Goff's 75.4% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable improvement in his throwing precision over last year's 72.0% figure.. With a remarkable 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target (91st percentile) this year, Jared Goff stands among the most efficient passers in the league.. The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, allowing 8.13 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Minnesota's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o212.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 234.51 (Over)
Best Odds
o209.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o209.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o212.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o214.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o212.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
The Vikings are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown o73.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 91.63 (Over)
Best Odds
o73.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o76.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o75.5  -114
o73.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o75.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.. In regards to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the lofty 75th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a massive 65.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 62.4.. With an outstanding 76.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the top WRs in the game in the league.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Justin Jefferson logo
Justin Jefferson o72.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 83.58 (Over)
Best Odds
o72.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o74.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o73.5  -114
o72.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o73.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The Vikings are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With an elite 97.2% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.. The Lions defense has surrendered the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (153.0) versus wide receivers this year.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Aaron Jones Sr. logo
Aaron Jones Sr. o12.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 18.33 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -112
 -
o13.5  -114
o12.5  -118
o13.5  -118
The Vikings are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Aaron Jones to total 4.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.. In regards to air yards, Aaron Jones grades out in the towering 89th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accumulating a staggering 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
-118 at BetMGM
Receiving Yards
T.J. Hockenson logo
T.J. Hockenson o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 33.75 (Over)
Best Odds
o27.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o29.5  -114
o27.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Vikings are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects T.J. Hockenson to accrue 5.8 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.. T.J. Hockenson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 68.8% to 76.7%.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs o22.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 26.69 (Over)
Best Odds
o22.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o23.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
 -
o22.5  -114
o22.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o22.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile among running backs with 4.7 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 14.9% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an excellent 27.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (97th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the league.. Jahmyr Gibbs's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 82.3% to 93.7%.
-114 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta logo
Sam LaPorta o42.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 48.34 (Over)
Best Odds
o42.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o43.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o43.5  -114
o42.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o43.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to earn 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Sam LaPorta has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 17.6% this year, which places him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. With an impressive 41.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (89th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.. Sam LaPorta's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 77.8% to 88.4%.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

75% picking Detroit

25%
75%

Total Picks MIN 178, DET 526

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

70% picking Minnesota vs Detroit to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksMIN 285, DET 121

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'Wegowinners' is picking Detroit to cover (-8.5)

Wegowinners is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5450 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'Wegowinners' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Over (48.0)

Wegowinners is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'Lionking2018' is picking Minnesota to cover (+7.5)

Lionking2018 is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'Lionking2018' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Under (48.5)

Lionking2018 is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'theronstart27' is picking Detroit to cover (-8.5)

theronstart27 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Spread

'twobwin' is picking Detroit to cover (-8.5)

twobwin is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'twobwin' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Over (48.0)

twobwin is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Detroit to cover (-8.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'bigsmoke21169' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Under (48.0)

bigsmoke21169 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'jstoltey' is picking Detroit to cover (-9.5)

jstoltey is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Spread

'Noonball' is picking Detroit to cover (-8.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'Noonball' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Over (48.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'Kowalabear1994' is picking Detroit to cover (-7.5)

Kowalabear1994 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'Kowalabear1994' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Over (48.5)

Kowalabear1994 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'number46' is picking Minnesota to cover (+8.5)

number46 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'number46' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Over (48.0)

number46 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107
Spread

'Batch9' is picking Minnesota to cover (+8.5)

Batch9 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DET
Spread
+9.0 -109
-7.5 -139
Total

'Batch9' picks Minnesota vs Detroit to go Under (47.5)

Batch9 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.0 -111
48.5 -107

Pages Related to This Topic

Best Betting Sites US
Michigan Sportsbook
Minnesota Sports Betting
Michigan Online Casinos
Best Football Betting Sites
DraftKings Promo Code
Best Sportsbook Promos
Best Michigan Sportsbook Promotions
College football betting sites
U.S. Real Money Online Casinos
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.