The Lions scored just nine points last week. With TE Sam LaPorta out with a season-ending injury and their O-line extremely banged-up, I don't see them putting up a ton of points against a Giants defense that gets a good push up front. That said, I expect New York's offense to look even worse with with Jaxson Dart in concussion protocol and backup QB Jameis Winston making his second-straight start. This inept offense that was already missing No. 1 WR Malik Nabers and RB Cam Skattebo. The Giants don't have the weapons to move the ball against a Lions stop unit that ranks fourth in the NFL in defensive success rate.
The Giants’ backfield usage doesn’t match the touchdown odds. Devin Singletary has 13 red-zone carries to Tyrone Tracy’s three since Cam Skattebo went down, yet Tracy is priced shorter to score. That doesn’t make much sense. Last week, the backfield was a true 50/50 split, and the two combined for 35 carries. Singletary handled nine of the team’s 10 red-zone rushing attempts and scored twice. The offense isn’t pretty, but he owns the red-zone role and can handle 15-plus touches. Anything above +200 is a buy for me, even in a likely negative game script.
The Lions are coming off a loss to the Eagles, but they have a tendency to underperform on the road outdoors against good teams. On the other hand, they tend to blow out bad teams at home, and the 2-9 Giants are definitely bad. Detroit's two-headed rushing attack of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery will shred a New York front that is dead-last in the league in defensive rush EPA. Even if QB Jaxson Dart returns to the Giants lineup after suffering a concussion, they don't have the weapons to move the ball against a Lions stop unit that ranks fourth in the NFL in defensive success rate.
Total Picks NYG 308, DET 677
Manning2008SB is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6800 units on the season.
jenjay23 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4200 units on the season.
Patrick9 is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5300 units on the season.
darkhorse12 is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5800 units on the season.
cashbb1030 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.
Batch9 is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4250 units on the season.
Lionking2018 is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.
CappersClub is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4250 units on the season.
mccabe40 is #9 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.