Denver Broncos

3rd in AFC West (1 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 27 20:20 ET

LA @ DEN Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o224.5 Passing Yards (+100)
Projection 254.09 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.. The Denver O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Rushing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o15.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
Projection 18.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.
Rushing Attempts
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams u13.5 Rushing Attempts (-105)
Projection 11.89 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.6% in games he has played).
Passing Attempts
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o33.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
Projection 36.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.
Anytime Touchdown
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown (Yes: +2500)
Projection 0.07 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. With an exceptional rate of 2.27 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.. With an awful ratio of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (2nd percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the weakest running QBs in football since the start of last season.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

44% picking L.A. Rams

44%
56%

Total Picks LA 185, DEN 231

Spread
LA
DEN
Total

52% picking L.A. Rams vs Denver to go Under

48%
52%

Total PicksLA 131, DEN 144

Total
Over
Under

LA @ DEN · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
DEN +2.5 spread
-0.99 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
DEN +2.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.99 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+2.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Denver Broncos image thumbnail
Over 45.5 Total
47.29 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Denver Broncos image thumbnail
Over 45.5 Total

PROJECTION

47.29 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o45.0 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards
254.09 OVER PROJECTION
+29.6 DIFFERENCE
26.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

254.09 OVER PROJECTION
+29.6 DIFFERENCE
26.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.. The Denver O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

o210.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u243.5 Passing Yards
237.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.3 DIFFERENCE
15.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u243.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

237.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.3 DIFFERENCE
15.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).. The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.17 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the league.

u243.5 -115
Caesars logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o15.5 Rushing Yards
18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
19.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o15.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
19.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.

o15.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u55.5 Rushing Yards
54.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
7.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u55.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
7.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.6% in games he has played).. Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 97.0 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season.

u55.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.09 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.09 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.. Jaylen Waddle profiles as one of the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

o4.5 -133
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts
11.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

11.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.6% in games he has played).

u13.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts
36.59 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
18.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.59 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
18.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

o33.5 -110
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. With an exceptional rate of 2.27 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.. With an awful ratio of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (2nd percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the weakest running QBs in football since the start of last season.

+2500
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (60.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.62 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.62 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 9.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among running backs.. Kyren Williams has accrued a massive 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 81.8% to 100.0%.. Kyren Williams ranks in the 90th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.18 per game.

-120
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Terrance Ferguson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Terrance Ferguson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

+375
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
DEN +2.5 spread
-0.99 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
DEN +2.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.99 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+2.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Denver Broncos image thumbnail
Over 45.5 Total
47.29 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Denver Broncos image thumbnail
Over 45.5 Total

PROJECTION

47.29 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o45.0 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards
254.09 OVER PROJECTION
+29.6 DIFFERENCE
26.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

254.09 OVER PROJECTION
+29.6 DIFFERENCE
26.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.. The Denver O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

o210.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u243.5 Passing Yards
237.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.3 DIFFERENCE
15.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u243.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

237.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.3 DIFFERENCE
15.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).. The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.17 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the league.

u243.5 -115
Caesars logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o15.5 Rushing Yards
18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
19.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o15.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

18.54 OVER PROJECTION
+3.0 DIFFERENCE
19.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.

o15.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u55.5 Rushing Yards
54.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
7.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u55.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
7.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.6% in games he has played).. Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 97.0 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season.

u55.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.09 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.09 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.. Jaylen Waddle profiles as one of the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

o4.5 -133
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts
11.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

11.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
19.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.6% in games he has played).

u13.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts
36.59 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
18.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Nix logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
B. Nix (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.59 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
18.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

o33.5 -110
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. With an exceptional rate of 2.27 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.. With an awful ratio of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (2nd percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the weakest running QBs in football since the start of last season.

+2500
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaylen Waddle logo
Denver Broncos image thumbnail
J. Waddle (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (60.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.62 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.62 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 9.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among running backs.. Kyren Williams has accrued a massive 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 81.8% to 100.0%.. Kyren Williams ranks in the 90th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.18 per game.

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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Terrance Ferguson logo
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T. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Terrance Ferguson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Technique' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-2.5)

Technique is #2 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'elpedro2007' is picking Denver to cover (+3.0)

elpedro2007 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'elpedro2007' picks L.A. Rams vs Denver to go Under (45.5)

elpedro2007 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'JLGiants38' is picking Denver to cover (+2.5)

JLGiants38 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'JLGiants38' picks L.A. Rams vs Denver to go Under (46.5)

JLGiants38 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'My2bills' picks L.A. Rams vs Denver to go Over (45.5)

My2bills is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'My2bills' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-3.5)

My2bills is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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LA
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'jtrupp51' is picking Denver to cover (+3.0)

jtrupp51 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'jtrupp51' picks L.A. Rams vs Denver to go Under (45.5)

jtrupp51 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
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'Patrick9' is picking Denver to cover (+3.5)

Patrick9 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' picks L.A. Rams vs Denver to go Over (45.5)

ldcpicks is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'ldcpicks' is picking Denver to cover (+3.5)

ldcpicks is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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