Denver Broncos

1st in AFC West (6 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

DENDenver Denver
at
Houston HOUHouston
Sun, Nov 2 13:00 ET

DEN @ HOU Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo Bo Nix o205.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o200.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
o208.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o205.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o200.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o207.5  -112
These are quick bet odds

Bo Nix has thrown for Over 205.5 passing yards in three of his last four contests. He's been balling out this season, and the quarterback just had 247 yards through the air in Week 8. 

Score a Touchdown
RH RJ Harvey Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Best Odds
 +340 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +290
 +260
 +340
 -
 +320

Here’s my weekly attempt at guessing which Denver player Sean Payton will feature on offense. Fair warning — I haven’t had much luck with this game. That said, after RJ Harvey’s two rushing touchdowns and one receiving score last week, where he handled 50% of the red-zone opportunities, I’m back on him to score again at +350 (compared to +130 for his backfield mate). Harvey’s snap share was just 28%, but he was heavily involved when on the field, converting both of his opportunities inside the five into touchdowns. That’s simply too long a price for a talented rookie with defined red-zone work. The matchup is tough, but that’s baked into the number. Harvey closed at +300, +270, and +240 over the last three weeks, yet the market hasn’t adjusted for his expanding role. I'm playing this to +280. 

Passing Completions
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o19.5 Passing Completions (-102)
Projection 21.98 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o20.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
 -
o19.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  -125
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.6% pass rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
-102 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o32.5 Passing Attempts (+102)
Projection 37.29 (Over)
Best Odds
o32.5 +102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o32.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
o32.5  +102
These are quick bet odds
o32.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o32.5  -108
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.6% pass rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
+102 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o32.5 Passing Attempts (-108)
Projection 35.32 (Over)
Best Odds
o32.5 -105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o32.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
o32.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o32.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
o32.5  -112
The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.0% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.0 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.5 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
-105 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o208.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 239.95 (Over)
Best Odds
o200.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o208.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o205.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o200.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o207.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.6% pass rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o222.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 239.11 (Over)
Best Odds
o222.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o222.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o225.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o224.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o224.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.0% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.0 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.5 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.. C.J. Stroud's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.0% to 66.5%.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-110)
Projection 0.42 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
u0.5  -114
u0.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -115
As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Denver's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
J.K. Dobbins logo
J.K. Dobbins o4.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 9.27 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
 -
 -
o2.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o3.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.6% pass rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Nico Collins logo
Nico Collins o61.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 71.91 (Over)
Best Odds
o60.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o61.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o60.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o63.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o60.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.0% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.0 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. The model projects Nico Collins to total 9.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.. Nico Collins has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 24.1% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Evan Engram logo
Evan Engram o28.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 35.15 (Over)
Best Odds
o25.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o28.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
 -
o27.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o25.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.6% pass rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 135.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Evan Engram to earn 5.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among TEs.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
WM
Woody Marks o13.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 18.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o13.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.0% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 135.1 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.. This year, the deficient Broncos defense has allowed a colossal 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 8th-most in the NFL.. This year, the deficient Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a monstrous 9.76 yards.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

61% picking Denver

61%
39%

Total Picks DEN 507, HOU 327

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'manomanomano551' is picking Houston to cover (+1.0)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'manomanomano551' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (38.5)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Total

'Sandsaver727' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (39.0)

Sandsaver727 is #10 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'Sandsaver727' is picking Houston to cover (+1.5)

Sandsaver727 is #10 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'lsbellmom' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (39.5)

lsbellmom is #10 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'lsbellmom' is picking Denver to cover (+1.5)

lsbellmom is #10 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Spread

'Ohyarain' is picking Denver to cover (-1.5)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Spread

'Vrock' is picking Denver to cover (-1.5)

Vrock is #2 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'Ohyarain' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (40.0)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Total

'Vrock' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (40.0)

Vrock is #2 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Total

'Bazooks813973' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (38.5)

Bazooks813973 is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'Dalmeetz48' is picking Houston to cover (+1.5)

Dalmeetz48 is #4 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'Dalmeetz48' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (38.5)

Dalmeetz48 is #4 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'SNID' is picking Houston to cover (-1.5)

SNID is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'SNID' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (40.0)

SNID is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'yankeepinstripe' is picking Denver to cover (+1.5)

yankeepinstripe is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'yankeepinstripe' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (40.0)

yankeepinstripe is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'ptrixie' is picking Denver to cover (-1.0)

ptrixie is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'ptrixie' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (38.5)

ptrixie is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112
Spread

'hoosline' is picking Houston to cover (+1.5)

hoosline is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Spread

'derekpderek' is picking Denver to cover (-1.0)

derekpderek is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
HOU
Spread
+2.5 -110
-1.5 -109
Total

'derekpderek' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (38.5)

derekpderek is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -103
40.5 -112

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