Denver Broncos Picks
3rd in AFC West
(1 - 1 - 0)
Next Game
Sun, Sep 27
20:20 ET
LA @ DEN Picks
NFL PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.. The Denver O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.6% in games he has played).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.. The Denver Broncos have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 58.4 plays per game.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. With an exceptional rate of 2.27 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.. With an awful ratio of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (2nd percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the weakest running QBs in football since the start of last season.
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusLA @ DEN · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL
Over
45.5 Total
47.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
10.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
B. Nix
(QB)
o224.5 Passing Yards
254.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+29.6
DIFFERENCE
26.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
M. Stafford
(QB)
u243.5 Passing Yards
237.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.3
DIFFERENCE
15.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
B. Nix
(QB)
o15.5 Rushing Yards
18.54 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
19.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
K. Williams
(RB)
u55.5 Rushing Yards
54.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
7.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS MADE
J. Waddle
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions Made
5.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
K. Williams
(RB)
u13.5 Rushing Attempts
11.89 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
19.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING ATTEMPTS
B. Nix
(QB)
o33.5 Passing Attempts
36.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.1
DIFFERENCE
18.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
M. Stafford
(QB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
25.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Waddle
(WR)
Anytime Touchdown
0.41 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
0%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
K. Williams
(RB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.62 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
8.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
T. Ferguson
(TE)
Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-20.78%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
TOTAL
Over
45.5 Total
47.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
10.09%
EV
PASSING YARDS
B. Nix
(QB)
o224.5 Passing Yards
254.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+29.6
DIFFERENCE
26.77%
EV
PASSING YARDS
M. Stafford
(QB)
u243.5 Passing Yards
237.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.3
DIFFERENCE
15.45%
EV
RUSHING YARDS
B. Nix
(QB)
o15.5 Rushing Yards
18.54 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
19.12%
EV
RUSHING YARDS
K. Williams
(RB)
u55.5 Rushing Yards
54.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
7.18%
EV
RECEPTIONS MADE
J. Waddle
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions Made
5.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.5%
EV
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
K. Williams
(RB)
u13.5 Rushing Attempts
11.89 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
19.03%
EV
PASSING ATTEMPTS
B. Nix
(QB)
o33.5 Passing Attempts
36.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.1
DIFFERENCE
18.94%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
M. Stafford
(QB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
25.84%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Waddle
(WR)
Anytime Touchdown
0.41 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
0%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
K. Williams
(RB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.62 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
8.31%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
T. Ferguson
(TE)
Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-20.78%
EV
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