Denver Broncos

2nd in AFC West (1 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

DENDenver Denver
at
Indianapolis INDIndianapolis
Sun, Sep 14 16:05 ET

DEN @ IND Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Denver Broncos logo DEN -2.5 (-102)
Best Odds
-2.5 -105 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
-2.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
-1.0  -110
-1.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-1.0  -110
These are quick bet odds


The Broncos won 31-13 at home against the Colts last year, and their defense could be even better this year. I also expect them to clean up the turnovers on offense and take advantage of a bad rushing defense that the Colts have.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Courtland Sutton logo Courtland Sutton Score a Touchdown (Yes: +170)
Best Odds
 +165 bet365
Pick made: 4 days ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
 +155
 +165
 +155
 -
 +145

Courtland Sutton already has a touchdown to his name following last week’s six-catch, 61-yard performance against Tennessee, and the Broncos’ WR1 should thrive against a Colts secondary that could be without its top two corners. Both Charvarius Ward (concussion) and Jaylen Jones (hamstring) are currently listed as questionable for Sunday’s matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Score a Touchdown
TW Tyler Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: +235)
Best Odds
 +280 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +265
 +260
 +280
 -
 +245

Tyler Warren had a huge NFL debut, leading the Colts with nine targets and finishing with a 7/76/0 line. He’s currently +235 to score this weekend—shorter than Michael Pittman (+255) and just behind Jonathan Taylor (-135) and Daniel Jones (+175). Normally, I’d lean Pittman at this number, but he’ll likely see plenty of Pat Surtain in coverage. Instead, I’m backing the big rookie tight end, who already looks to have chemistry with Daniel Jones and saw two of the team’s three red-zone targets in Week 1. In what could be a low-scoring game, I wouldn’t play this much lower than +220.

Score First Touchdown
J.K. Dobbins logo J.K. Dobbins Score First Touchdown (Yes: +750)
Best Odds
 +800 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
 +750
 +800
 +750
 +800
 +750

Given he’s getting more carries and targets than the rest of the running back room combined, and they’re playing a Colts team, who might just have faced the Dolphins at the right time, we have to back Dobbins to score the opening touchdown of this game.

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Receptions Made
Evan Engram logo
Evan Engram o3.5 Receptions Made (+110)
Projection 4.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o3.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
o3.5  +110
o3.5  +108
These are quick bet odds
o3.5  +110
These are quick bet odds
o3.5  +102
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.. Our trusted projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.12 seconds per play.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With a fantastic 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram stands among the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league.. Last year, the deficient Colts pass defense has allowed a monstrous 83.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.
+110 at bet365
Passing Completions
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o20.5 Passing Completions (-110)
Projection 23.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o21.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o21.5  -115
o21.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o21.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.. Our trusted projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.12 seconds per play.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Broncos offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o28.5 Passing Attempts (-115)
Projection 31.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -115
o30.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -101
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o224.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 247.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o224.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o232.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o224.5  -110
o228.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o224.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o228.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.. Our trusted projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.12 seconds per play.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Broncos offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o199.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 217.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o198.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o202.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o199.5  -110
o202.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o198.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o200.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the poor Denver Broncos defense has been gouged for a staggering 237.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-106)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -106 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -115
u0.5  -106
u0.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Colts have intercepted 0.97 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in football by this metric.
-106 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Michael Pittman Jr. logo
Michael Pittman Jr. o44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 58.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o44.5 -110 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o47.5  -112
 -
o48.5  -114
o44.5  -110
 -
The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. In this game, Michael Pittman is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 87th percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.. With an extraordinary 24.6% Target Rate (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman has been among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
-110 at BetMGM
Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton logo
Courtland Sutton o62.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 74.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o61.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o62.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o61.5  -110
o61.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o62.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o62.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.. Our trusted projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.12 seconds per play.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.6 targets.. Since the start of last season, the weak Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been torched for a colossal 69.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Evan Engram logo
Evan Engram o29.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 35.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -112 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o28.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -110
o28.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.. Our trusted projections expect the Broncos offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.12 seconds per play.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This week, Evan Engram is projected by the projection model to finish in the 90th percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.. Last year, the porous Colts defense has conceded a staggering 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
-112 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jonathan Taylor logo
Jonathan Taylor o12.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 16.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -110
o14.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o12.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o15.5  -128
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. With a top-tier 62.4% Route Participation% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football.. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to total 3.3 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'wickpk' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Over (43.0)

wickpk is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'wickpk' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

wickpk is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'doomsday07' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (43.0)

doomsday07 is #1 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'doomsday07' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

doomsday07 is #1 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'Rolfyrotten123' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (43.0)

Rolfyrotten123 is #10 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'Rolfyrotten123' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

Rolfyrotten123 is #10 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Spread

'OOOPA LOOPA' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

OOOPA LOOPA is #10 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'OOOPA LOOPA' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (42.0)

OOOPA LOOPA is #10 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Total

'joebatters' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Over (43.0)

joebatters is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'joebatters' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

joebatters is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Spread

'northlv6238' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+2.5)

northlv6238 is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'northlv6238' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Over (42.0)

northlv6238 is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'andylube' is picking Denver to cover (-3.5)

andylube is #3 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'andylube' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Over (44.5)

andylube is #3 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'Ace_123' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

Ace_123 is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'Ace_123' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Over (43.0)

Ace_123 is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'mikasny' is picking Denver to cover (-3.5)

mikasny is #4 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'mikasny' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (44.5)

mikasny is #4 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'hungcodon' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+3.5)

hungcodon is #5 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'Suzguy123' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (43.0)

Suzguy123 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'Suzguy123' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

Suzguy123 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Spread

'rquiroz' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

rquiroz is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'rquiroz' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (43.0)

rquiroz is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Total

'jcf182' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (44.5)

jcf182 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'jcf182' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+3.5)

jcf182 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Spread

'ACEhole_1' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

ACEhole_1 is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'ACEhole_1' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (42.0)

ACEhole_1 is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'BABYFACE024' is picking Indianapolis to cover (+2.5)

BABYFACE024 is #8 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'Ksbengals' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (44.5)

Ksbengals is #9 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102
Spread

'louiesdad' is picking Denver to cover (-2.5)

louiesdad is #9 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
IND
Spread
-1.0 -108
+1.5 -100
Total

'louiesdad' picks Denver vs Indianapolis to go Under (43.0)

louiesdad is #9 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
43.5 -102

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