Denver Broncos

2nd in AFC West (1 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 21 16:05 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bo Nix Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Bo Nix
B. Nix
quarterback QB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in football since the start of last season.

Bo Nix

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.34
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.34

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in football since the start of last season.

All Matchup props

Courtland Sutton Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Courtland Sutton
C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.46
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.46
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 99.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.46
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.46

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 99.0 per game.

All Matchup props

J.K. Dobbins Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

J.K. Dobbins
J. Dobbins
running back RB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.46
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.46
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. J.K. Dobbins has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.8% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

J.K. Dobbins

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.46
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.46

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. J.K. Dobbins has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.8% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

All Matchup props

Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Omarion Hampton
O. Hampton
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.64
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.64
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. The Broncos defense has yielded the most touchdowns through the air in the league to RBs: 0.37 per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Omarion Hampton

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.64
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.64

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. The Broncos defense has yielded the most touchdowns through the air in the league to RBs: 0.37 per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Ladd McConkey Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Ladd McConkey
L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.39
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.39
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.39
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.39

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo