Buffalo Bills

1st in AFC East (2 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET

LAC @ BUF Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC +7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With this spread above the key number of 7, I’d recommend taking the points with the Los Angeles to -120. The Bolts are in a desperation spot, and the Bills haven’t shown off on defense with the fifth-highest EPA per play allowed while also surrendering the third-highest passer rating. Additionally, the Chargers have allowed the seventh-lowest EPA per rush, and the Bills have a banged up receiving corps with both D.J. Moore (shoulder) and Keon Coleman (ankle) practicing sparingly this week. It all adds up to Bolts sustaining drives to keep this game competitive, or Los Angeles coming through late with the backdoor cover against a leaky Buffalo defense on Sunday afternoon.

Anytime Touchdown
Omarion Hampton logo Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown (Yes: -108)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Hampton has also rushed for 3.2 yards after contact per attempt with a third-ranked 103.8 PFF Elusive Rating while handling 66% of the team’s carries. So, with Buffalo surrendering four touchdowns to opposing running backs already, I like the go-to rusher to score for a third straight week. Hampton has handled 50% of the touches in the red zone for the Bolts and has converted both his rushes inside the 10-yard line into touchdowns, too.

Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo Ladd McConkey o54.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With the Bills allowing the fifth-highest EPA per dropback in the second half, I’d recommend this McConkey Over to 60+ receiving yards. He’s been a full participant in practice all week and has a solid 14.6 yards per reception and 13.8 aDoT through two games. Additionally, McConkey has garnered a high-end 23.9% of the team’s air yards with an 18.9% target share. Plus, Buffalo has also surrendered the ninth-highest yards per target (9.16) to opposing wideouts through two weeks.

Rushing Yards
Omarion Hampton logo Omarion Hampton o57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Depending on how you look at the Chargers’ chances in Orchard Park, you may or may not be onboard with Omarion Hampton getting Over his rushing total. The big spread says the Bolts are playing from behind and passing, but L.A.’s best plan of attack is to run early and often and control the football – not allowing Josh Allen & Co. on the field. Hampton had a nice day in the loss to Vegas, rushing 23 times for 94 yards, and his involvement is the key to Mike MacDaniel’s misdirection-heavy schemes. Buffalo’s run defense continues to be a work in progress (28th in EPA allowed per handoff) and models are positive for Hampton, sitting north of 60 yards with a ceiling of 72. My number is at 67 yards on Sunday.

Game Prop
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail o28.5 Team Total (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Buffalo has scored 30-plus points in 14 of its last 18 regular season home games, and they've opened this season with 36 and 41 points. The Bills are rested for their second game in the new stadium, while Joe Brady’s offense still has that new car smell. The Chargers have already coughed up 26 points to both Arizona and Las Vegas. Buffalo can do considerably more damage.

Total
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Buffalo Bills image thumbnail o50.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

The Bills are 2-0 to the Over this year due to their potent offense. However, their defense is my primary selling point here. Buffalo has been involved in two shootouts this season, a 36-31 win in Week 1 against Houston and a 41-31 victory against the Lions in Week 2 - coughing 368 yards per game as a result. I'm expecting the Chargers to finally put together a game under Mike McDaniel here, with a total that should be closer to 55.5. Punts will be few and far between on Sunday.

Anytime Touchdown
Oronde Gadsden logo Oronde Gadsden Score a Touchdown (Yes: +310)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

With both David Njoku and Charlie Kolar out long-term, Oronde Gadsden is set to pick up some snaps and is coming off a TD in Week 2 that paid 5.75x last week. The price move is still within the buy range, as I have a fair price for a possible No. 2 pass-catcher in this offense as a hefty dog closer to 3x, compared to the 4.1x price tag early in the week. Ladd McConkey is playing through his rib injury, and the rest of the pass-catchers in this offense are invisible. The unit as a whole has been bad. However, there will be plenty of passing opportunities for this Los Angeles offense, as its defense is one of the worst in football, while the Bills' defense has still allowed 62 points in two games.

Spread
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC +7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Dropping games to Arizona and Las Vegas – on top of Buffalo looking like world beaters – has pumped five points into the Chargers’ spread, which sits as high as +7.5 as of this writing. There were already edges baked into the original spread, with L.A. drawing a 1 p.m. ET kickoff (10 a.m. PT) and facing a Bills team with extra days of rest. And yet, oddsmakers hung Buffalo short of a field goal fave. This reaction to two weeks of football has blown through key numbers of three, six and seven. Many of the Chargers’ woes are self-inflicted. Penalties and turnovers have swayed results in those opening losses but let’s not forget Los Angeles is dealing with new coordinators on both offense and defense in 2026.

3 LEG PARLAY
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.5
Spread
Omarion Hampton profile picture
Omarion Hampton o59.5 Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards
Omarion Hampton profile picture
Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Bolts are in a desperation spot, and the Bills haven’t shown off on defense with the fifth-highest EPA per play allowed while ranking 19th in defensive DVOA. Buffalo also grades 23rd in PFF run defense, and I’m expecting the Chargers to lean on Hampton early and often in an attempt to keep the clock churning and Bills superstar Josh Allen watching from the sideline. The go-to rusher has scored in consecutive games, too, and Buffalo has surrendered four touchdowns to opposing running backs through two games.

Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u227.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 214.88 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Josh Allen logo
Josh Allen o34.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Projection 43.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 8.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the most among all QBs.. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).. With an impressive rate of 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the best running quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Omarion Hampton logo
Omarion Hampton o59.5 Rushing Yards (-102)
Projection 71.14 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (127 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o19.5 Rushing Yards (-116)
Projection 27.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Justin Herbert has averaged 4.3 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the highest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (88th percentile).. Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (127 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
James Cook III logo
James Cook III o10.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 18.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has run a route on 44.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.. In this game, James Cook is expected by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.3 targets.. James Cook has accumulated a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey u59.5 Receiving Yards (+100)
Projection 48.93 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Quentin Johnston logo
Quentin Johnston o35.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 45.24 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Quentin Johnston has run a route on 85.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.. When talking about air yards, Quentin Johnston ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 69.0 per game.. With a terrific 44.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Quentin Johnston ranks among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
DJ Moore logo
DJ Moore o49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 57.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. The predictive model expects DJ Moore to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.. While DJ Moore has received 15.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's passing attack in this week's contest at 24.0%.. DJ Moore has accumulated a massive 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Oronde Gadsden logo
Oronde Gadsden o35.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 41.99 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 1.25 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Omarion Hampton logo
Omarion Hampton o10.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 13.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

66% picking Buffalo

34%
66%

Total Picks LAC 355, BUF 681

Spread
LAC
BUF
Total

69% picking L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over

69%
31%

Total PicksLAC 419, BUF 189

Total
Over
Under

LAC @ BUF · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.5 spread
5.59 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.5 spread

PROJECTION

5.59 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+7.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
Under 50.0 Total
47.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
18.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
Under 50.0 Total

PROJECTION

47.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
18.5% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u50.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u227.5 Passing Yards
214.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-12.6 DIFFERENCE
21.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u227.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

214.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-12.6 DIFFERENCE
21.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u227.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
43.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

43.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 8.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the most among all QBs.. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).. With an impressive rate of 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the best running quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.

o30.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards
71.14 OVER PROJECTION
+11.6 DIFFERENCE
25.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

71.14 OVER PROJECTION
+11.6 DIFFERENCE
25.61% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (127 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o55.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards
27.20 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

27.20 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Justin Herbert has averaged 4.3 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the highest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (88th percentile).. Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (127 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.

o18.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
18.60 OVER PROJECTION
+8.1 DIFFERENCE
25.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

18.60 OVER PROJECTION
+8.1 DIFFERENCE
25.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has run a route on 44.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.. In this game, James Cook is expected by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.3 targets.. James Cook has accumulated a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

o10.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u59.5 Receiving Yards
48.93 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u59.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.93 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u59.5 +100
Caesars logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards
45.24 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

45.24 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Quentin Johnston has run a route on 85.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.. When talking about air yards, Quentin Johnston ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 69.0 per game.. With a terrific 44.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Quentin Johnston ranks among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.

o35.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards
57.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
23.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

57.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
23.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. The predictive model expects DJ Moore to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.. While DJ Moore has received 15.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's passing attack in this week's contest at 24.0%.. DJ Moore has accumulated a massive 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

o49.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o35.5 Receiving Yards
41.99 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
22.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

41.99 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
22.71% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 1.25 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

o34.5 -125
theScore Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
13.23 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
20.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

13.23 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
20.96% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

o10.5 -109
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
19.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
19.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u4.5 +115
Caesars logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.17% EV

ANALYSIS

At only 28.04 seconds per play, the Bills offense grades out as the 10th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. Our trusted projections expect Khalil Shakir to notch 6.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.. With an extraordinary 20.5% Target% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

o3.5 -157
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has run a route on 44.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.. In this game, James Cook is expected by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.3 targets.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o1.5 -148
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. The predictive model expects DJ Moore to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.. While DJ Moore has received 15.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's passing attack in this week's contest at 24.0%.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o3.5 -135
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.06 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.06 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

o1.5 -136
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u3.5 -195
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts
4.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

4.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.62% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Justin Herbert has averaged 4.3 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the highest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (88th percentile).. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o3.5 -159
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
16.25 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.25 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o14.5 -140
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o7.5 Rushing Attempts
8.23 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o7.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

8.23 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 8.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the most among all QBs.. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).

o6.5 -240
theScore Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts
29.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-15.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-15.77% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) since the start of last season.

u30.5 -120
DraftKings logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions
19.53 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.53 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u20.5 -118
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's CB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

+210
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.58% EV

ANALYSIS

At only 28.04 seconds per play, the Bills offense grades out as the 10th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+230
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.56% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Justin Herbert has been one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 1.47 per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's CB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

+500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. While Dalton Kincaid has received 12.9% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Buffalo's pass game near the end zone in this game at 19.5%.. Dalton Kincaid has accrued a colossal 46.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Kincaid slots into the 91st percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 39.5 mark since the start of last season.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing game near the goal line in this game (22.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.5% in games he has played).. DJ Moore has accumulated a massive 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. With an impressive ratio of 0.32 per game through the air (83rd percentile), DJ Moore has been as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

+180
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

+270
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Quentin Johnston has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When talking about air yards, Quentin Johnston ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 69.0 per game.. With an outstanding ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (96th percentile), Quentin Johnston places among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

+310
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.66 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.66 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV

ANALYSIS

At only 28.04 seconds per play, the Bills offense grades out as the 10th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. Josh Allen has been one of the top TD passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 1.50 per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-129
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has accumulated a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. James Cook slots into the 75th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 13.9 mark since the start of last season.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. James Cook ranks in the 76th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 0.09 per game.

-165
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-14.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-14.01% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

-115
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u0.5 -105
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.77% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.01 seconds per play given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to throw 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.. Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) since the start of last season.

u0.5 -140
FanDuel logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.5 spread
5.59 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
LAC +7.5 spread

PROJECTION

5.59 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
9.41% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+7.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
Under 50.0 Total
47.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
18.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
Under 50.0 Total

PROJECTION

47.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
18.5% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u50.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u227.5 Passing Yards
214.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-12.6 DIFFERENCE
21.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u227.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

214.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-12.6 DIFFERENCE
21.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u227.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
43.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

43.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 8.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the most among all QBs.. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).. With an impressive rate of 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the best running quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.

o30.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards
71.14 OVER PROJECTION
+11.6 DIFFERENCE
25.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

71.14 OVER PROJECTION
+11.6 DIFFERENCE
25.61% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (127 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o55.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards
27.20 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

27.20 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Justin Herbert has averaged 4.3 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the highest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (88th percentile).. Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (127 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.

o18.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
18.60 OVER PROJECTION
+8.1 DIFFERENCE
25.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

18.60 OVER PROJECTION
+8.1 DIFFERENCE
25.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has run a route on 44.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.. In this game, James Cook is expected by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.3 targets.. James Cook has accumulated a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

o10.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u59.5 Receiving Yards
48.93 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u59.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.93 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u59.5 +100
Caesars logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards
45.24 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

45.24 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
25.45% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Quentin Johnston has run a route on 85.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.. When talking about air yards, Quentin Johnston ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 69.0 per game.. With a terrific 44.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Quentin Johnston ranks among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.

o35.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards
57.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
23.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

57.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
23.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. The predictive model expects DJ Moore to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.. While DJ Moore has received 15.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's passing attack in this week's contest at 24.0%.. DJ Moore has accumulated a massive 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

o49.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o35.5 Receiving Yards
41.99 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
22.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) o35.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

41.99 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
22.71% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 1.25 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

o34.5 -125
theScore Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
13.23 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
20.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

13.23 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
20.96% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

o10.5 -109
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
19.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
19.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u4.5 +115
Caesars logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.17% EV

ANALYSIS

At only 28.04 seconds per play, the Bills offense grades out as the 10th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. Our trusted projections expect Khalil Shakir to notch 6.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.. With an extraordinary 20.5% Target% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

o3.5 -157
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.33 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has run a route on 44.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.. In this game, James Cook is expected by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.3 targets.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o1.5 -148
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. The predictive model expects DJ Moore to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.. While DJ Moore has received 15.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's passing attack in this week's contest at 24.0%.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

o3.5 -135
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.06 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.06 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.23% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

o1.5 -136
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u3.5 -195
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts
4.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

4.76 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.62% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Justin Herbert has averaged 4.3 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the highest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (88th percentile).. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o3.5 -159
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
16.25 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.25 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
2.73% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o14.5 -140
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o7.5 Rushing Attempts
8.23 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) o7.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

8.23 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 8.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the most among all QBs.. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).

o6.5 -240
theScore Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts
29.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-15.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.62 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-15.77% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) since the start of last season.

u30.5 -120
DraftKings logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions
19.53 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.53 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u20.5 -118
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ladd McConkey logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
L. McConkey (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.41 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's CB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

+210
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Khalil Shakir logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
K. Shakir (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.58% EV

ANALYSIS

At only 28.04 seconds per play, the Bills offense grades out as the 10th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

+230
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.56% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Justin Herbert has been one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 1.47 per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's CB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

+500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dalton Kincaid logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Kincaid (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. While Dalton Kincaid has received 12.9% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Buffalo's pass game near the end zone in this game at 19.5%.. Dalton Kincaid has accrued a colossal 46.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Kincaid slots into the 91st percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 39.5 mark since the start of last season.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
DJ Moore logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
D. Moore (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing game near the goal line in this game (22.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.5% in games he has played).. DJ Moore has accumulated a massive 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. With an impressive ratio of 0.32 per game through the air (83rd percentile), DJ Moore has been as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

+180
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Oronde Gadsden logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Gadsden (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.33 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

+270
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Quentin Johnston logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
Q. Johnston (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.58% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).. Quentin Johnston has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When talking about air yards, Quentin Johnston ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 69.0 per game.. With an outstanding ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (96th percentile), Quentin Johnston places among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

+310
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.66 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.66 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV

ANALYSIS

At only 28.04 seconds per play, the Bills offense grades out as the 10th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. Josh Allen has been one of the top TD passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 1.50 per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

-129
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Cook III logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Cook III (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
1.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Buffalo's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and running stats inflated) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. James Cook has accumulated a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. James Cook slots into the 75th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 13.9 mark since the start of last season.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.. James Cook ranks in the 76th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 0.09 per game.

-165
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-14.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Omarion Hampton logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-14.01% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Chargers being a heavy -7-point underdog in this week's game.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

-115
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Herbert logo
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail
J. Herbert (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.. The leading projections forecast the Chargers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The Chargers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Chargers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

u0.5 -105
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Josh Allen logo
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail
J. Allen (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.77% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.01 seconds per play given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to throw 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.. Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) since the start of last season.

u0.5 -140
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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'My2bills' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Under (49.5)

My2bills is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'My2bills' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

My2bills is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'DREAMER693' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (50.5)

DREAMER693 is #10 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'DREAMER693' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

DREAMER693 is #10 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'luke44' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

luke44 is #2 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'luke44' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (50.5)

luke44 is #2 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'sophanseng' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (50.5)

sophanseng is #3 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'sophanseng' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

sophanseng is #3 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'number46' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (50.5)

number46 is #4 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'number46' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

number46 is #4 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'uncle_Pasha_DRW' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

uncle_Pasha_DRW is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'uncle_Pasha_DRW' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (50.5)

uncle_Pasha_DRW is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'teedoff_99' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.0)

teedoff_99 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'teedoff_99' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Under (50.5)

teedoff_99 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'muna624' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

muna624 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'muna624' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Under (50.5)

muna624 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'TomKirkman' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

TomKirkman is #7 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'dmoney1981' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

dmoney1981 is #8 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'dmoney1981' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (49.5)

dmoney1981 is #8 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Monsmon45' is picking Buffalo to cover (-7.5)

Monsmon45 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Monsmon45' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (49.5)

Monsmon45 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'bpcollins' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

bpcollins is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'bpcollins' picks L.A. Chargers vs Buffalo to go Over (49.5)

bpcollins is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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