Buffalo Bills

2nd in AFC East (12 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sat, Jan 17 16:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Courtland Sutton Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Courtland Sutton
C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Courtland Sutton logo

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.43
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.43

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

All Matchup props

Khalil Shakir Score a Touchdown Props • Buffalo

Khalil Shakir
K. Shakir
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which places him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. With a stellar 80.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

Khalil Shakir logo

Khalil Shakir

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.33
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.33

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which places him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. With a stellar 80.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

All Matchup props

Dalton Kincaid Score a Touchdown Props • Buffalo

Dalton Kincaid
D. Kincaid
tight end TE • Buffalo
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.27
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.27
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When it comes to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating a superb 39.0 per game. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. Dalton Kincaid's 80.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 62.0% mark. Dalton Kincaid ranks in the 90th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.38 per game.

Dalton Kincaid logo

Dalton Kincaid

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.27
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.27

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When it comes to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating a superb 39.0 per game. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. Dalton Kincaid's 80.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 62.0% mark. Dalton Kincaid ranks in the 90th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.38 per game.

All Matchup props

Evan Engram Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Evan Engram
E. Engram
tight end TE • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Evan Engram logo

Evan Engram

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.2

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

All Matchup props

RJ Harvey Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

RJ Harvey
R. Harvey
running back RB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.64
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.64
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

RJ Harvey logo

RJ Harvey

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.64
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.64

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

All Matchup props

James Cook III Score a Touchdown Props • Buffalo

James Cook III
J. Cook III
running back RB • Buffalo
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When talking about air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a colossal 3.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. With an outstanding ratio of 0.11 per game through the air (77th percentile), James Cook ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

James Cook III logo

James Cook III

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.47
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.47

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When talking about air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a colossal 3.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. With an outstanding ratio of 0.11 per game through the air (77th percentile), James Cook ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

All Matchup props

Bo Nix Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Bo Nix
B. Nix
quarterback QB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Bo Nix logo

Bo Nix

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.15
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.15

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

All Matchup props

Josh Allen Score a Touchdown Props • Buffalo

Josh Allen
J. Allen
quarterback QB • Buffalo
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable gain in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.7% mark.

Josh Allen logo

Josh Allen

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.33
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.33

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable gain in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.7% mark.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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