Buffalo Bills

Picks

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Josh Allen comes in as one of the leading passers in the league last year, averaging an exceptional 212.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.. Josh Allen profiles as one of the most on-target QBs in the league last year with an impressive 71.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to throw 36.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.. Last year, the deficient Bills defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. C.J. Stroud's running efficiency (7.38 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league last year (97th percentile when it comes to QBs).. The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games last year, yielding 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 6.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all QBs.. Accounting for 19.7% of his team's carries last year (92nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in Buffalo's rushing attack.. With an exceptional total of 39.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Josh Allen places among the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league last year.. With a fantastic tally of 7.5 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (100th percentile), Josh Allen rates among the best rushing quarterbacks in the league last year.

The projections expect the Texans as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Bills defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best DT corps in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.

Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 89.0 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense last year.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to earn 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this contest (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (15.4% in games he has played).

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. David Montgomery profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, catching a stellar 91.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 77th percentile.. With a fantastic 7.3 adjusted yards per target (86th percentile) last year, David Montgomery stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.. Dalton Schultz has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 19.0% last year, which places him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this game, Dalton Kincaid is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.. As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends last year, averaging a superb 39.0 per game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. James Cook has run a route on 43.6% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.. The model projects James Cook to total 3.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Our trusted projections expect Nico Collins to accrue 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Nico Collins has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 24.8% last year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to earn 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.. Our trusted projections expect DJ Moore to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this contest (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (15.4% in games he has played).

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.3 per game) last year.. The Bills cornerbacks project as the 4th-best group of CBs in the NFL last year in defending pass-catchers.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. David Montgomery profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, catching a stellar 91.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.. With an impressive 4.0 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) last year, Dalton Schultz stands as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this game, Dalton Kincaid is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.. Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends last year, averaging an outstanding 2.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

The Texans pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.3%) vs. RBs last year (78.3%).

The projections expect the Texans as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Bills defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best DT corps in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.

Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. The projections expect Josh Allen to earn 6.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all QBs.. Accounting for 19.7% of his team's carries last year (92nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in Buffalo's rushing attack.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to throw 36.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Josh Allen profiles as one of the most on-target QBs in the league last year with an impressive 71.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to throw 36.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. While DJ Moore has garnered 16.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played last year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Buffalo's offense near the goal line in this game at 22.7%.. With a stellar ratio of 0.30 per game through the air (81st percentile), DJ Moore places among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs last year.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Nico Collins has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.7% last year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among wideouts last year, averaging a massive 104.0 per game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends last year, averaging a superb 39.0 per game.. Dalton Kincaid's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for TEs.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Dalton Schultz has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 14.1% last year, which ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Schultz has compiled a massive 40.0 air yards per game last year: 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. James Cook has put up a massive 3.0 air yards per game last year: 94th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. James Cook ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) with a superb 13.4 mark last year.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.. Buffalo's passing stats last year may be artificially too low (and rushing stats propped up a bit) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with improved conditions this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Josh Allen profiles as one of the most on-target QBs in the league last year with an impressive 71.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. David Montgomery profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, catching a stellar 91.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to throw 36.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.

The Houston Texans have intercepted 1.13 balls per game last year, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in the NFL by this stat.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Houston Texans offense has played at the 10th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) last year, averaging 28.18 seconds per snap.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to throw 36.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.