Panthers @ Buccaneers Picks & Props

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An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.. The projections expect Tommy Tremble to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this game (11.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus tight ends this year (78.1%).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.. Rico Dowdle's 14.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 81st percentile for running backs.

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An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

With a top-tier 27.3% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, Mike Evans stands among the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.. After accruing 99.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has seen marked improvement this year, now boasting 117.0 per game.. Mike Evans grades out in the 85th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.4%) vs. tight ends this year (79.4%).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Panthers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.. Accounting for a mere 1.7% of his offense's red zone carries this year (23rd percentile among QBs), Bryce Young's lack of mobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier near the goal line.

Totaling zero red zone rush attempts this year, Baker Mayfield's immobility makes him a no threat on the ground near the end zone.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Mike Evans's 62.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 69.7.. Mike Evans's receiving performance has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 3.5 adjusted catches vs 5.2 last year.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Cade Otton's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 4.2 mark.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.5%) versus wide receivers this year (61.5%).

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Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Tommy Tremble has run fewer routes this year (44.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (55.7%).. Tommy Tremble's 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 80.0% mark.

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A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Baker Mayfield's 62.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 71.1% figure.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Baker Mayfield's 62.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 71.1% figure.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.9 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Bryce Young has been one of the least efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 16th percentile.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Baker Mayfield has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (194.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.. This year, the imposing Buccaneers defense has given up a paltry 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-best in the NFL.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus tight ends this year (78.1%).. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

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A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Mike Evans's 62.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 69.7.. Mike Evans has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.4%) vs. tight ends this year (79.4%).. This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a staggering 8.96 yards.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.5%) versus wide receivers this year (61.5%).

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Rico Dowdle's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 7.0% rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.6% run rate.. Bryce Young's running efficiency (6.12 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile among quarterbacks).

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. This year, the stout Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a mere 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Carolina's group of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.6% run rate.. The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to earn 13.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among running backs.. Rico Dowdle has picked up 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 7th-best in football.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.. Baker Mayfield's 7.34 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a material boost in his running prowess over last year's 6.54 figure.. This year, the stout Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a mere 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.6% run rate.. The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to earn 13.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among running backs.. Rico Dowdle has garnered 54.9% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.