49ers @ Colts Picks & Props

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. The 49ers defense has been gouged for the most receiving TDs in the NFL to TEs: 0.64 per game this year.

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Michael Pittman to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this game (20.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.3% in games he has played). Michael Pittman slots into the 77th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 52.4 figure this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. With a remarkable 26.5% Red Zone Target% (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a massive 19.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Jauan Jennings has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts. With a stellar rate of 0.50 per game through the air (94th percentile), Jauan Jennings stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among WRs this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. With an exceptional 20.8% Red Zone Target Rate (90th percentile) this year, George Kittle has been among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in football. George Kittle places in the 96th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 46.0 figure this year.

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. While Jonathan Taylor has accounted for 5.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Indianapolis's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 10.8%. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year.

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. This year, the deficient 49ers defense has given up a colossal 1.71 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the league.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Brock Purdy grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a fantastic 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 86th percentile. With a remarkable rate of 1.50 per game (82nd percentile), Brock Purdy ranks among the top TD throwers in football this year.